Look at “new deaths”. It has been 250 plus or minus 20 for 3 days. It quit doubling three days ago.
Many of these early deaths are atypical, mostly very old and weak that died within a week of being infected. Most cases take 3-4 weeks to resolve, thus deaths lag new cases by about 3 weeks. 3 weeks ago we were barely getting started. As new cases ramp up, the Case Fatality Rate will at first decrease as most patients are early in the disease progression. Then as existing cases resolve and new cases drop, CFR will again climb. When South Korea was where we are now, they were about 0.7% fatalities. They are now 1.5%, and if their trend continues they will reach 2.4%.