Posted on 02/26/2020 11:46:59 AM PST by Conserv
FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-Chief and influential political statistician Nate Silver said presidential candidate Mike Bloomberg is in “a lot of trouble,” Wednesday, after dropping in national and state polls following his two subpar debate appearances.
“Bloomberg is in quite a lot of trouble. His national polls have stalled out or begun to reverse themselves,” Silver claimed on Twitter. “He’s fallen to 11% in our CA polling average. In other Super Tuesday states, we aren’t seeing the leads we saw pre-NV debate; it’s a lot of stuff in the teens and low 20s.”
“Nor is there any obvious way to turn it around before Super Tuesday,” he continued, noting that Bloomberg, “isn’t competing in SC.”
“His performance in the debate last night was improved IMO but initial polling suggests that voters didn’t like it very much,” added Silver. “It’s not even clear what he wants to happen in SC. If Bernie wins, Bernie may open up a *very* formidable lead by Super Tuesday, and though Bloomberg might be 2nd (a) it’s likely to be a distant 2nd and (b) there’s much more evidence of a Bloomberg ceiling than a Bernie ceiling.”
Silver also claimed that if Biden “wins SC, the race remains more open, but Biden will have a fairly clear claim to being the best alternative to Sanders and, per our projections, would likely finish comfortably ahead of Bloomberg in ST delegates.”
“So Bloomberg might be in a fairly distant 3rd place,” Silver concluded.
FiveThirtyEight’s Democratic Primary forecast currently places Bloomberg behind Sanders and Biden, with a one in thirty chance.
A new Progress Texas/Public Policy Polling survey also shows Sanders and Biden tied at 24 percent support ahead of the Texas primary, followed by Bloomberg at 17 percent. A major finding of the poll was that even though Bloomberg jumped into the race to stop Sanders, he’s actually siphoning 7% support from Biden, and helping Sanders.
[What issues , base of support, does he have in the Democratic party? What is the reason for his candidacy?]
Marcus Crassus had no constituency in Rome. But he was the richest man there and probably the richest man the world has ever known. So he ran for consul. Without that consulship, no one would ever have heard of Crassus. But because of it, every student of Roman history has heard of him. His defeat at Carrhae actually made him even more famous. That’s the thing about politics - you want to elevate your name for posterity - nothing works as well as high political office.
[Mike Bumbleberg is not going to have the CHANCE to take a real shot at President Trump. Mike may be reduced to the role of bankrolling various state government offices around the nation and placing his own “fifth column” of subversive lawyers in positions in the various state administrations and legislatures, to pass his agenda (mostly anti-Second Amendment) in purple states and to attempt to convert red to at least purple.]
Biden, “These are not my pants “
At least Jeb wasn’t stupid enough to piss away his own money.
ML/NJ
Just throw a few more bales of money on the fire.
Buying a presidential nomination is expensive. A little billionaire like Tom Steyer doesn’t have a chance. Bloomberg can spend a couple billion dollars using interest earned on his billions during the campaign.
mini-mike falling flat on his face, good thing he doesn’t have far to fall.
railing against too much money in politics since Ralph Nader was a hot commodity.
Ralph Nader net worth: $6 million.
Nader was another fraud!
Can you name a politician who doesn't?
there always was..and always will be people that are malcontents...bitter, the world owes them a living...blow their money, everything is always someone elses fault...irresponsible, pissed because they never became rich and famous....never happy and just miserable and want every one else around them to be...
Great news! And let’s make sure Hitlary goes down the drain with him!!
Nate Silver is a DNC loyalist. Bloomberg sucks, so they are back to Biden as the “moderate” alternative to Sanders.
It is manipulation, not polling.
Big money in being a fraud apparently.
Yes Sir!
and who says crime doesn’t pay?
Wasting $millions of his own cash. Too funny.
. I am a fan of YT, but whenever a bloomturd ad pops up I downvote the video, stop watching, and leave a comment stating that I am downvoting for no other reason than the bloomturd ad.
. If enough people do this then perhaps this annoyance will cease.
Man, I know Mike has money to burn, but it seems like Liz lit that match.
Bloomberg’s reason to be in this race is not to win... He wants to play kingmaker.. he has no desire to be the “king”.
He knows the democrats need his money, he can do whatever he likes and they will let him do it...
I am torn. VA is an open primary. Should I vote for Bernie or Bloomberg? Thoughts?
For those who haven’t seen it—the anti-rich Democratic Party sold tickets to the debate for big bucks—what hypocritical jerks:
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