Posted on 02/26/2020 11:46:59 AM PST by Conserv
FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-Chief and influential political statistician Nate Silver said presidential candidate Mike Bloomberg is in “a lot of trouble,” Wednesday, after dropping in national and state polls following his two subpar debate appearances.
“Bloomberg is in quite a lot of trouble. His national polls have stalled out or begun to reverse themselves,” Silver claimed on Twitter. “He’s fallen to 11% in our CA polling average. In other Super Tuesday states, we aren’t seeing the leads we saw pre-NV debate; it’s a lot of stuff in the teens and low 20s.”
“Nor is there any obvious way to turn it around before Super Tuesday,” he continued, noting that Bloomberg, “isn’t competing in SC.”
“His performance in the debate last night was improved IMO but initial polling suggests that voters didn’t like it very much,” added Silver. “It’s not even clear what he wants to happen in SC. If Bernie wins, Bernie may open up a *very* formidable lead by Super Tuesday, and though Bloomberg might be 2nd (a) it’s likely to be a distant 2nd and (b) there’s much more evidence of a Bloomberg ceiling than a Bernie ceiling.”
Silver also claimed that if Biden “wins SC, the race remains more open, but Biden will have a fairly clear claim to being the best alternative to Sanders and, per our projections, would likely finish comfortably ahead of Bloomberg in ST delegates.”
“So Bloomberg might be in a fairly distant 3rd place,” Silver concluded.
FiveThirtyEight’s Democratic Primary forecast currently places Bloomberg behind Sanders and Biden, with a one in thirty chance.
A new Progress Texas/Public Policy Polling survey also shows Sanders and Biden tied at 24 percent support ahead of the Texas primary, followed by Bloomberg at 17 percent. A major finding of the poll was that even though Bloomberg jumped into the race to stop Sanders, he’s actually siphoning 7% support from Biden, and helping Sanders.
Poor mini mike. He is such a damn joke.
Classic case of standing in the middle of the road and becoming roadkill.
He left the GOP and started trashing us.
But he not nearly far Left enough to satisfy the Dem voting base.
Face it, Mike, NOBODY likes you.
We have to get the money out of politics. </sarcasm>
His hopes are SHRINKING.
He has only a SMALL chance.
Sanders DWARVES him in the amount of support each has.
[A major finding of the poll was that even though Bloomberg jumped into the race to stop Sanders, he’s actually siphoning 7% support from Biden, and helping Sanders.]
Poor mini mike. He is such a damn joke.
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Little Gulp has proven he’s a bigger loser than Yeb!
I think the author is of the opinion that Bloomberg can’t win the nomination outright, so he will need to secure the nomination at a brokered convention — and “stopping Sanders” is almost certainly necessary for him to do that.
Mike can’t go away fast enough for me.
I’ve had to quit listening to the radio in the mornings again because I can’t handle his damned ads running every five minutes.
No, he's not in any trouble. He can keep spending more money than any candidate in the history of America all the way through November, not get a single vote, and still be one of the wealthiest people in the world with his own news service, able to keep buying politians and maybe even entire political parties, and holding onto a continued revenue stream that ensures he remains so for life. That's not a route to election, but it's also not trouble. Bloomburg wpuld be "in trouble" if laws were passed to prevent the ultra wealthy, such as himself, from having such an outsized voice in politics. Politicians, including ones that he "bought", would have to pass those laws though.
I know the way mini-Mike can turn things around. He could pay every Freeper $100k per month to post on social media for him. (Of course we get to choose what we post, since fabricated and duplicate posts would result in social media accounts being suspended or deleted.)
Actually he is right in line with their Democrat Fascist control everything mindset, problem is average Dems have a mindless hate for “the rich”
Begs a lot of questions as to why Bloomberg got into this race in the first place. What issues , base of support, does he have in the Democratic party? What is the reason for his candidacy? Is he just skirting campaign finance regulations since he’s spending unlimited amounts of his own money on his own campaign, and can do so as long as he’s a declared candidate? Is it perhaps that simple? Does he have a big ego?
Mike’s probably got a lot of explaining to do - to his wife.
Running for President is an expensive pastime.
I’ll never forgive Judge Judy for endorsing the turd.
[I think the author is of the opinion that Bloomberg can’t win the nomination outright, so he will need to secure the nomination at a brokered convention — and “stopping Sanders” is almost certainly necessary for him to do that.]
Mike Bumbleberg is not going to have the CHANCE to take a real shot at President Trump. Mike may be reduced to the role of bankrolling various state government offices around the nation and placing his own “fifth column” of subversive lawyers in positions in the various state administrations and legislatures, to pass his agenda (mostly anti-Second Amendment) in purple states and to attempt to convert red to at least purple.
Mike’s means, motives and potential opportunities are not entirely hidden, but there has to be a continuous hammering and throwing of light in dark corners to keep the threat at least manageable.
Termites and cockroaches are a bear to control once they get established.
Mike can spend a billion, he can spend 10 billion and he is not going to hurt.
He’s blanketing Youtube and cable TV as well.
Now I know what blowing a half a billion looks like.
He never had a snowball’s chance, from day one. But he sure can spend the money with media and staffer/web-bots.
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