NEW THREAD
Posted on 01/08/2020 8:56:52 PM PST by weston
That’s the critical question. If the regime collapses - unlikely but not impossible - what will be the successor? Unfortunately, the candidate could be effectively the the IRGC... No other significant political force on the ground. https://t.co/bCbCE0gNWG— Gérard Araud (@GerardAraud) January 11, 2020
>>>>And why is she getting paid?
Police Union
>>>>And why is she getting paid?
Police Union
Just getting caught up from being out all day. Thanks for the Webb video link.
Something to bear in mind.
Wifi has been out here most of the day. Too much wind and rain.
I’ve said this before but my sense is that if you asked Iranians if tomorrow they could have a secular and *accountable* government that most would be prefer not to have an Islamic government that is not held accountable in any meaningful way. But...— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
... would they be willing to risk their life for such a change in a revolution or dragged out civil war - I don’t think so. My guess is deep down inside most hope that these sporadic protests that are in the thousands somehow lead to structural change without major costs.— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
what no one wants to ask, or is not asking openly, is how do we go from protests and bloodshed to a representative government that is accountable to its citizens? It’s up to Iranians to ask this becuase this is not the priority for the US, which only wants a complaint state.— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
lol monarchists aren’t going to leave sunny southern CA in order to run a state as dysfunctional as Iran. If the clerics lose grip it will be the armed groups who take over, whether IRGC (under a diff name) or separatists https://t.co/U6FvMhCR2I— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
Sorry I can’t “cut and paste” better.
Need to get to the store. Mouse and keyboard too cheap for free shipping!
Russia wants Iran out of the way for spoils in Syria.
No wind or rain here. Just baseball games & then threw batting practice to my kid. He got walked & hit by pitch twice today so wanted to go batting.
From #Iran: “I’m angry about #Soleimani b/c it undermines our sovereignty, I’m angry that US actions may lead to war, I’m angry at my gov for its incompetence in downing a civilian plane, I’m most angry that I have no hope, no hope for sanctions relief, no hope for our future”— Assal Rad (@AssalRad) January 11, 2020
what no one wants to ask, or is not asking openly, is how do we go from protests and bloodshed to a representative government that is accountable to its citizens? It’s up to Iranians to ask this becuase this is not the priority for the US, which only wants a complaint state.— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
I recall that the Shaw was taken out with a protest that began with the college students, inspired by Soviet infiltration. Kinda like the Vietnam War protest began with the same, with the same folks inspiring them
A thing that gets me in western media coverage of Middle East is pundits extrapolating protest chants as representing demands of “the people.” Societies are diverse, protests of 1,000s do not represent entire population and chants may be cathartic but aren’t political manifestos.— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
Haven’t been able to post. But have been thinking
Go back to who was on which side during WWII
Iran was on side of Russia and US (isreal— doesn’t make sense that they are now against since they were/are enemies of the Nazi )
Seddam. Iraq and the Bath party were buddies with Germany HItler.
Does this clear up anything or muddy the water?
I think
It’s hard not to compare Ukraine plane crash to 1978 Cinema Rex fire in Iran which 420 Iranians were killed in a movie theater and acted as one of the catalysts for the protests which led to the 1979 revolution. Not saying it will end same result but the anger seems comparable.— Arash Karami (@thekarami) January 11, 2020
Good day for memories.
Jeanine Pirro
@JudgeJeanine
·
43m
The public humiliation of Nancy Pelosi and her democrat caucus of sycophants who dare not oppose her, is actually an embarrassment to watch. #OpeningStatement
https://twitter.com/i/status/1216181180770476033
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