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Vanity: Trump and Electoral Math
Me, with assist from 270 to Win ^ | 9/9 | Yours Truly

Posted on 09/09/2019 9:16:05 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue

Ok all, let me know what you think....

(Excerpt) Read more at 270towin.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 2020election; 270towin; abortion; arizona; clickbait; election2020; electoralcollege; faithlesselectors; florida; illinois; infanticide; iowa; maine; medicareforall; michigan; minnesota; nationalpopularvote; nevada; newhampshire; newjersey; newmexico; newyork; northcarolina; npv; obamacare; ohio; pennsylvania; trump2020; vermont; virginia; wisconsin
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So I was playing with this map today. I let the colors fly in places that I thought were "traditional" and that includes giving Ohio and Florida to Trump.

Question....

If states revert to "form" Trump loses a close election. He needs to win one of: PA, MI, and/or WI.

Which do you think he takes? I think the likelihood are in the order I listed. I seriously doubt he wins WI again.

Thoughts?

1 posted on 09/09/2019 9:16:05 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: TangledUpInBlue
Thoughts?

It's going to be close, so that said, keep every Trump voter you know on board, and in addition, try & register five new, pro-Trump voters.

2 posted on 09/09/2019 9:19:07 AM PDT by JonPreston
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To: TangledUpInBlue

The Dems are gong to lose. That’s all you need to know. They are picking their John Dole McRomney.


3 posted on 09/09/2019 9:19:59 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: TangledUpInBlue

I think PA was a bigger deal than winning WI.


4 posted on 09/09/2019 9:21:34 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
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To: JonPreston

If the election was held today ....it would be close, but the DEMS Climate Change agenda destroys the economy in MI, OH and PA. The Wall should move AZ into the GOP column.....

having said that....THE EVENTS WHICH SHAPE THE ELECTION WILL NOT HAPPEN UNTIL NEXT YEAR. Relax and revisit in spring.


5 posted on 09/09/2019 9:25:01 AM PDT by The Klingon
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To: TakebackGOP

I don’t see the President as losing a single voter but he will potentially add up to 20 million more.

The Black vote will be key, I see Trump Winning over 50% of it


6 posted on 09/09/2019 9:25:12 AM PDT by WashingtonFire (We stand for God, For Country and for Trump)
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To: WashingtonFire

And where does that help him? I’m already giving him NC and most of the south. Will the black vote get him VA? WI? MI?

Math is Math. The people in states that are reliably blue will vote for a dead squirrel before Trump so voting for Warren or Bernie will be easy for them.

I think it’s going to be very close.


7 posted on 09/09/2019 9:35:27 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: central_va

How?

There has to be an electoral path forward. Will Trump take VA? I colored that blue.

The states I mentioned are the only ones I left in play.


8 posted on 09/09/2019 9:36:31 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: The Klingon

Those are good points. But I gave Trump OH and FL in my projection.


9 posted on 09/09/2019 9:37:31 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: TakebackGOP

Maybe, but I think WI is generally way more liberal. Philly is the wild card.


10 posted on 09/09/2019 9:38:41 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: TangledUpInBlue

PA, MI and WI are must wins.
I give NH a move to the Trump table and a possible MN and NV


11 posted on 09/09/2019 9:40:51 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: TangledUpInBlue

Minnesota will go red


12 posted on 09/09/2019 9:41:03 AM PDT by Spruce
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To: TangledUpInBlue

He’ll probably hold on to Florida, Arizona is a maybe. Iowa could be tricky. He needs Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin again.


13 posted on 09/09/2019 9:42:21 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: DoodleDawg

I made IA blue and AZ red. But we agree. There’s not a lot of wiggle room.


14 posted on 09/09/2019 9:44:03 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: Spruce

Can you elaborate on why you think that?


15 posted on 09/09/2019 9:44:27 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: The Klingon

Also, are you referring to any specific events? Or just things like election interference, October surprises, track of the economy, storms etc? Things that may happen but nothing specific you’re referring to.


16 posted on 09/09/2019 9:51:59 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: TangledUpInBlue

President Trump remains the only thing keeping the USA from becoming the USSA. The press is keeping a ‘full court press’ (pun intended) of lies and innuendo
against PDJT so that all the ‘undecided’ (uninformed?) voters hear, is how bad and evil PDJT is, all in an effort to defeat him and usher in their ‘revolution’.

It is incumbent upon US citizen FReepers to keep spreading the word to other citizens, those less informed, about the media’s (and Democrats’) lies and falsehoods, and talking up PDJT’s successes. And PRAY! If you let up, they can easily win! Just look at the absolute mess that my Province, Amberta, is in after four years of socialist control! Just look at the absolute fustercluck that is Kanadahar after four years of True-dope!

As Winston Churchill once said almost eighty years ago, at a time when EVERYTHING was against the UK, and its survival was anything but certain. He said, “Never give in. Never, never, never, never—in nothing, great or small, large or petty—never give in, except to convictions of honour and good sense. Never yield to force. Never yield to the apparently overwhelming might of the enemy.”


17 posted on 09/09/2019 9:53:26 AM PDT by A Formerly Proud Canadian (I once was blind but now I see...)
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To: TangledUpInBlue

Minnesota is DEEP red once you get outside the Twin Cities, Duluth, and Rochester.
The iron range will pull Duluth red. Rochester will stay the same. The Twin Cities have a lot of smug liberals. But mostly what you hear is “Oh. Ya. I’m independent. Don’t vote by party”. Those folks are becoming closet Trump supporters now. The economy up here is “Pretty sweet” as we say.
Plus the rats always take those 10 electors for granted. 2016 was very close up here.


18 posted on 09/09/2019 9:55:53 AM PDT by Spruce
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To: Spruce

Well, most all states are deep red once you get outside the cities, but the cities count!

I hope you’re right, but I’d be surprised if MN was red.


19 posted on 09/09/2019 10:01:47 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: TangledUpInBlue
Thoughts?

Trump.

In a F'en landslide.

I predict that he will even beat the monster cheating machine and win the "popular" vote and kicks the ass of which ever COMMUNIST becomes the demonRAT nominee.

20 posted on 09/09/2019 10:02:30 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist mooselimb savages, today.)
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