Posted on 04/21/2016 8:20:11 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd
Before we begin debunking, let’s start with the obvious: It was undoubtedly a good night for Trump and unsurprisingly so, as NR’s Henry Olsen predicted on election eve.
Trump looks to have taken 90 delegates and 60 percent of the vote, somewhat better than projections, although most election-eve forecasts had him taking at least 85 or so of New York’s 95 delegates (Olsen had him pegged for 87).
But despite his victory, Trump got only a very modest bump from New York last night. And despite the breathless TV and print commentary from our New York–centered media, he still faces huge obstacles if he wants to get a sufficient number of delegates to be nominated on the first ballot. And if he is not nominated on the first ballot, given Cruz’s wildly successful delegate strategy, it is unlikely he will be nominated at all.
In fact, according to the analysis of the widely-respected 538.com, Trump actually fell just short of the number of delegates he needed in New York to put himself on the path to the magic number of 1,237.
And, though he should have a good week next week when Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote, he will need a New York–level performance, not just a victory, if he wants to substantially improve his nomination odds.
New York and the five states voting next Tuesday are all part of the Democrats’ “blue wall.” Democrats have won all of these states in each of the last six elections. Only one of these states (Pennsylvania) has given more than 45 percent of its vote to the GOP candidate in any of the last six elections. New York and Rhode Island have never even given 40 percent to GOP candidates during this time.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Actually Ted was right when he said Wisconsin was a turning point. That was Cruz’s last state. It’s all Trump from here on out.
National Denial
They loved them some $100-million-dollar Jeb.
Hilarious.
If he gets there or not he is the nominee
Translation: We want our F****** Cheap Labor, and unfettered Trade!!!
New York and Rhode Island have never even given 40 percent to GOP candidates during this time.
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Don’t know about Rhode Island but New York has less than 25% of total
voters registered as GOP. So it would require a bunch of Dems/others to
cross over and vote GOP in order to reach 40%.....
The NeverTrump forces are destroying the rebelling and re-establishing GOPe control of the party!
He SAID it was a turning point, but really, I think, we’ll look back and see CO was the turning point. The backlash has been really significant-—more, unfortunately, than Cruz’s comments about the Chicago violence being Trump’s fault.
But something about voters being denied the vote really riles people up. That whole Reconstruction thing . . . .
Oh, well, having endorsed the defeaTED humiliaTED and mathematically eliminaTED candidate, he's probably deep in his cups at this point.
(I wonder if the Soviet propaganda poster artist they cribbed the design from is still alive, and if so whether he has standing to sue for copyright infringement.)
Many still cannot understand that graphic of the mathematically-eliminated.
Just wait until next Tuesday night passes.
Trumpheads just cannot tolerate any opinion that challenges their emotional investment in a non-conservative.
Do you Trumpers favor raising taxes on the ‘wealthy” as trump wants to. That contradicts Reaganomics. First, no definition of ‘wealthy’. This money that is taken away from the rich, would decrease money donated to charities, investments in our economy , and it would slow down the economy.
Oh, they’ve got their heads stuck in something less pleasant than sand....
I think Colorado hurt him a little, but really when you look at the states that are left and how they are polling, it should have been obvious to everyone that Cruz was about to be left behind.
It’s nuts. “Hey, lets pretend Trump isn’t killing Cruz. That will make it all better.” Good grief.
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