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Nothing Changed Yesterday—And Trump Is Still Not on the Path to Nomination
National Review ^ | 04/20/2016 | Jeremy Carl

Posted on 04/21/2016 8:20:11 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd

Before we begin debunking, let’s start with the obvious: It was undoubtedly a good night for Trump and unsurprisingly so, as NR’s Henry Olsen predicted on election eve.

Trump looks to have taken 90 delegates and 60 percent of the vote, somewhat better than projections, although most election-eve forecasts had him taking at least 85 or so of New York’s 95 delegates (Olsen had him pegged for 87).

But despite his victory, Trump got only a very modest bump from New York last night. And despite the breathless TV and print commentary from our New York–centered media, he still faces huge obstacles if he wants to get a sufficient number of delegates to be nominated on the first ballot. And if he is not nominated on the first ballot, given Cruz’s wildly successful delegate strategy, it is unlikely he will be nominated at all.

In fact, according to the analysis of the widely-respected 538.com, Trump actually fell just short of the number of delegates he needed in New York to put himself on the path to the magic number of 1,237.

And, though he should have a good week next week when Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote, he will need a New York–level performance, not just a victory, if he wants to substantially improve his nomination odds.

New York and the five states voting next Tuesday are all part of the Democrats’ “blue wall.” Democrats have won all of these states in each of the last six elections. Only one of these states (Pennsylvania) has given more than 45 percent of its vote to the GOP candidate in any of the last six elections. New York and Rhode Island have never even given 40 percent to GOP candidates during this time.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016gopprimary; connecticut; cruzisobama2; cruzstraitjacket; cuckservatives; delaware; election2016; hillary; howarddeanredux; ilovetowhine; lemonadestand; maryland; moosebitsister; nationalgopereview; nationalreview; newyork; nrsux; oprah; pennsylvania; rhodeisland; richlowry; tds; tdswindup; transsexual; trump; waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah
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Input from The National Review.
1 posted on 04/21/2016 8:20:12 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd
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To: Responsibility2nd

NR meets the official Rumsfeld definition of “dead-enders”.


2 posted on 04/21/2016 8:21:04 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Responsibility2nd

You can just see the morons at NR sitting around in a circle, their hands over their ears, shouting

“LA LA LA LA LA LA I can’t hear you LA LA LA LA.”


3 posted on 04/21/2016 8:21:09 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Responsibility2nd

National Review printing Redstate trash?

Dang how low you all have gone.


4 posted on 04/21/2016 8:21:15 AM PDT by winoneforthegipper ("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Input from The National Review.
********************************

Same as the output I just flushed


5 posted on 04/21/2016 8:21:35 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: LS
ou can just see the morons at NR sitting around in a circle, their hands over their ears, shouting “LA LA LA LA LA LA I can’t hear you LA LA LA LA.”

LOL! That's almost exactly what I was going to post except I was going to say they had their fingers in their ears!

6 posted on 04/21/2016 8:22:22 AM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent Majority Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

NR is just upset Trumpers didn’t all die yesterday.


7 posted on 04/21/2016 8:22:36 AM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Ha Ha. They are losing like their candidate. Cruz needs to take his own advice he gave to ksick. DROP OUT.


8 posted on 04/21/2016 8:23:01 AM PDT by showme_the_Glory ((ILLEGAL: prohibited by law. ALIEN: Owing political allegiance to another country or government))
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To: Responsibility2nd

They’re so deep in denial, there’s no turning back.


9 posted on 04/21/2016 8:23:24 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Responsibility2nd

Even if all those ‘know it all people’ that write the trash for NR think Trump is out, they are wrong...

Trump is the President-Elect...


10 posted on 04/21/2016 8:23:55 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

So St. Ted does better than expected in WI and it’s “THE RACE HAS CHANGED” but Donald of Queens does better and it’s “NOTHING HAS CHANGED.”

Interesting double standard.


11 posted on 04/21/2016 8:24:12 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Responsibility2nd; onyx; Jane Long; PA Engineer; Grampa Dave; KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle; ...
Input from the National Review

Feedback from real conservatives who no longer buy into their editorial fecal matter:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
12 posted on 04/21/2016 8:25:10 AM PDT by mkjessup (If you stand with Cruz, you stand with the GOPe, Jeb, Mitt, iSnarly, Reince & Karl. What's that say?)
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To: Responsibility2nd

13 posted on 04/21/2016 8:25:17 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: LS

What’s hilarious is that Trump will win more primaries in ONE DAY next tuesday than Cruz has the ENTIRE campaign season.


14 posted on 04/21/2016 8:25:27 AM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: Responsibility2nd

National Review, you are disgusting. Bill Buckley is twisting in the grave over most of the crap you print. Belongs in the New York Times.


15 posted on 04/21/2016 8:26:16 AM PDT by ZULU (Trump is the answer. The Establishment is the problem.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

The article...yet another infectious, eruptive, drip, designed to contaminiate the heart, soul, and mind of decent, gentle people who love this country, seeking to salvage it from filthy pustules intent to destroy it.


16 posted on 04/21/2016 8:26:46 AM PDT by PrairieLady2 (Choose Cruz...and looze.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

These yokels are as delusional as sCruzballs!


17 posted on 04/21/2016 8:27:45 AM PDT by dware (sCruzballs are working awful hard to elect Hitlery! Why do they hate America so?)
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To: Responsibility2nd
 

I present to you....

The Editorial Board for the National Review

 

DENIAL: It aint just a river in Egypt anymore. It is the core principle of a magazie that has jumped off the track and is headed off the cliff.

18 posted on 04/21/2016 8:27:53 AM PDT by TheShaz
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To: Responsibility2nd

538 is based on averaging old polls which will not reflect current situation nor affect future results of campaigning, advertising and momentum building. 538 also needs a close race to keep interest.


19 posted on 04/21/2016 8:28:20 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: lodi90

What’s a Trumper?


20 posted on 04/21/2016 8:28:48 AM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common any more.)
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