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Iowa Caucus Predictions (Free Republic)

Posted on 02/01/2016 8:05:06 AM PST by the_boy_who_got_lost

Let's make our predictions for who wins the GOP caucus in Iowa.

Name at least the candidate you think will win and by how much you think they will win.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: caucus; iowa; prediction; predictions; predictionthread
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost
My predictions - Trump will disappoint and Rand Paul will do better than expected. Trump's support is a mile wide and an inch deep, and Rand will get some of his dad's base.

And Comrade Bernie will edge out the Hildabeast on the 'Rat side.

GOP:

1. Cruz
2. Rubio
3. Paul
4. Trump
5. Carson
6. Huckabee
7. Santorum
8. Bush
9. Christie
10. Kasich
11. Fiorina
12. Gilmore

RAT:

1. Sanders
2. Clinton
3. O'Malley

41 posted on 02/01/2016 9:04:59 AM PST by bassmaner (Hey commies: I am a' white male, and I am guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.)
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To: bassmaner

4th place????.... Wishful thinking. It would be a hoot though if it happened.


42 posted on 02/01/2016 9:06:43 AM PST by catfish1957 (I display the Confederate Battle Flag with pride in honor of my brave ancestors who fought w/ valor)
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To: IwaCornDogs

The Socialist shellacs The Criminal (for the record)


43 posted on 02/01/2016 9:16:59 AM PST by IwaCornDogs
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost
Microsoft Bing predicts Trump gets 40% of the Iowa vote, winning handily.

They successfully predicted 95% of the 2014 mid terms and 100% of the 2015 Oscars.

While not perfect, they're pretty good in their big data mining and analysis.

44 posted on 02/01/2016 9:19:01 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: Keen-Minded
"Sanders will just beat Hillary the Liar in a close race. "

Big says Hillary 50%, Sanders 45%.

45 posted on 02/01/2016 9:21:17 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: Jeff Head
See my post #44.

Bing expects very large turnout.

46 posted on 02/01/2016 9:23:09 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost

If Trump wins big and Sanders is close to or beats Clinton, Bloomberg joins the race and you will know the fix is in for Hillary. The libs didn’t expect Trump to do nearly this well. He was in it to split the GOP, just like Perot did for Slick Willie, but he’s exceeded expectations and actually believes he can win this thing. The libs didn’t plan on that.

I will never vote for a liberal. Ever. But I don’t trust Trump. And while he is running as a Republican I believe it is crystal clear that he is not a conservative. Not even close.


47 posted on 02/01/2016 9:23:34 AM PST by kpbruinfan (Modern day warrior, today's Tom Sawyer, floated down a river on a raft with a black guy! - Cartman)
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To: Mariner

If there is a very large turn out, I think Trump does win...and the larger the turnout over 150-160K, the larger his margin.

At 160K or below, I think it goes to Cruz.

I cannot say on Sanders and Hillary...but I hope sanders beats her, and then wins again soundly in New Hampshire.,


48 posted on 02/01/2016 9:27:37 AM PST by Jeff Head (Semper Fidelis - Molon Labe - Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost

Winner Trump by +5.70%


49 posted on 02/01/2016 9:28:16 AM PST by Signalman
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost

Well, according the the big experts at Fox News (Krauthammer, Rove et al.) the Trump supporters might wind up not going to the caucus because they’re on vacation, will fall asleep, it might snow, they might forget to attend or some other reason. It’s just possible that the polls are all wrong, and Jeb will triumph!


50 posted on 02/01/2016 9:31:45 AM PST by Cementjungle
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To: spel_grammer_an_punct_polise

I remember the MSM trying to say that the JC/Reagan race was “too-close-to-call” on the morning of the election when even JC was all but conceding the election that morning.


I lived in Atlanta then and saw that MSM up close in that mode, with our beloved Atlanta Journal carrying Jimmy’s water.

That experience was real eye opener for me.

The nail in the MSM coffin for me was Nightline’s “special” on Reagan’s presidency a few months later. I recorded it an expected to sit down later and watch an in depth chronicle of a great presidency. Instead all I got was a hatchet job concluding that the only reason Reagan was loved was because of sympathy for getting shot.

I will never forget the movement of thinking - “You know, I really don’t remember it that way, Nightline!”

We all get to Free Republic in some way. Those were two big steps in my path.

/rant


51 posted on 02/01/2016 9:43:56 AM PST by freedomlover
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost

Denver +7

Sorry wrong thread...


52 posted on 02/01/2016 9:54:19 AM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: mac_truck

Off Topic:
More people will probably watch the Super Bowl in the USA than will vote in the 2016 presidential elections.


53 posted on 02/01/2016 10:29:33 AM PST by the_boy_who_got_lost (ThingsITrustMoreThanHillary.com - GodBlessAmerica.us)
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost; All

I think no matter how this turns out, the media will spend the rest of the week claiming that Rubio, and ESPECIALLY Bush, did “Better than Expected!!!”.


54 posted on 02/01/2016 10:37:53 AM PST by tcrlaf (They told me it could never happen in America. And then it did....)
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To: so_real; Tennessee Nana

Trust your gut, I reckon -- Cruz wins Iowa :-)


55 posted on 02/01/2016 7:44:31 PM PST by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

what’s your NH prediction? :)


56 posted on 02/07/2016 11:49:02 AM PST by spacejunkie2001
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To: spacejunkie2001

Trump 32%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 15%
Christie 12%
Kasich 8%
Carson 7%
Bush 7%
Fiorina 2%


57 posted on 02/07/2016 12:02:37 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

Very interesting. Are your numbers taking into account the assertion that rubio got pummeled last night? I know that could be subjective on my part but I’d really like to see him slip to 4th+ and get him out.


58 posted on 02/07/2016 12:24:38 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
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To: spacejunkie2001

Yes, I was anticipating Christie to come out swinging that way and I knew that Rubio was in trouble. He had to avoid attacks from the governors while being aware of jabs from Trump and Cruz.

He was the major target from the lower tier and upper tier in the debate and he was destined to take some damage.

Christie did what he needed to do and I think the voter in New Hampshire will move his way because of it.

Rubio would likely have come in second in my predictions if it wasn’t for the debate.


59 posted on 02/07/2016 12:30:19 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

Tuesday should prove exciting. Let me know when you run your SC numbers!


60 posted on 02/07/2016 12:39:13 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
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