Posted on 02/01/2016 8:05:06 AM PST by the_boy_who_got_lost
Let's make our predictions for who wins the GOP caucus in Iowa.
Name at least the candidate you think will win and by how much you think they will win.
And Comrade Bernie will edge out the Hildabeast on the 'Rat side.
GOP:
1. Cruz
2. Rubio
3. Paul
4. Trump
5. Carson
6. Huckabee
7. Santorum
8. Bush
9. Christie
10. Kasich
11. Fiorina
12. Gilmore
RAT:
1. Sanders
2. Clinton
3. O'Malley
4th place????.... Wishful thinking. It would be a hoot though if it happened.
The Socialist shellacs The Criminal (for the record)
They successfully predicted 95% of the 2014 mid terms and 100% of the 2015 Oscars.
While not perfect, they're pretty good in their big data mining and analysis.
Big says Hillary 50%, Sanders 45%.
Bing expects very large turnout.
If Trump wins big and Sanders is close to or beats Clinton, Bloomberg joins the race and you will know the fix is in for Hillary. The libs didn’t expect Trump to do nearly this well. He was in it to split the GOP, just like Perot did for Slick Willie, but he’s exceeded expectations and actually believes he can win this thing. The libs didn’t plan on that.
I will never vote for a liberal. Ever. But I don’t trust Trump. And while he is running as a Republican I believe it is crystal clear that he is not a conservative. Not even close.
If there is a very large turn out, I think Trump does win...and the larger the turnout over 150-160K, the larger his margin.
At 160K or below, I think it goes to Cruz.
I cannot say on Sanders and Hillary...but I hope sanders beats her, and then wins again soundly in New Hampshire.,
Winner Trump by +5.70%
Well, according the the big experts at Fox News (Krauthammer, Rove et al.) the Trump supporters might wind up not going to the caucus because they’re on vacation, will fall asleep, it might snow, they might forget to attend or some other reason. It’s just possible that the polls are all wrong, and Jeb will triumph!
I remember the MSM trying to say that the JC/Reagan race was “too-close-to-call” on the morning of the election when even JC was all but conceding the election that morning.
That experience was real eye opener for me.
The nail in the MSM coffin for me was Nightline’s “special” on Reagan’s presidency a few months later. I recorded it an expected to sit down later and watch an in depth chronicle of a great presidency. Instead all I got was a hatchet job concluding that the only reason Reagan was loved was because of sympathy for getting shot.
I will never forget the movement of thinking - “You know, I really don’t remember it that way, Nightline!”
We all get to Free Republic in some way. Those were two big steps in my path.
/rant
Denver +7
Sorry wrong thread...
Off Topic:
More people will probably watch the Super Bowl in the USA than will vote in the 2016 presidential elections.
I think no matter how this turns out, the media will spend the rest of the week claiming that Rubio, and ESPECIALLY Bush, did “Better than Expected!!!”.
what’s your NH prediction? :)
Trump 32%
Cruz 17%
Rubio 15%
Christie 12%
Kasich 8%
Carson 7%
Bush 7%
Fiorina 2%
Very interesting. Are your numbers taking into account the assertion that rubio got pummeled last night? I know that could be subjective on my part but I’d really like to see him slip to 4th+ and get him out.
Yes, I was anticipating Christie to come out swinging that way and I knew that Rubio was in trouble. He had to avoid attacks from the governors while being aware of jabs from Trump and Cruz.
He was the major target from the lower tier and upper tier in the debate and he was destined to take some damage.
Christie did what he needed to do and I think the voter in New Hampshire will move his way because of it.
Rubio would likely have come in second in my predictions if it wasn’t for the debate.
Tuesday should prove exciting. Let me know when you run your SC numbers!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.