Posted on 12/15/2014 4:38:51 AM PST by wtd
"Does Kaci Hickox, the Maine nurse who cared for Ebola patients in West Africa, have a case against Maine's quarantine restrictions? World Health Organization's Lawrence Gostin discusses. Cuomo: Health Workers in "
(Excerpt) Read more at jobs.aol.com ...
"Passengers from Ebola-Hit Countries to Be Screened at Five U.S. Airports The United States will begin screening passengers arriving at U.S. airports from West Africa for fever starting this weekend, U.S. officials said "
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"WASHINGTON: Ebola can pass from one individual to another through organ donation, but the risk is very small and the simplest safety precautions can prevent transmission, according to a new study. While serious "
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"Liberia has begun treating Ebola patients with serum therapy - a treatment made from the blood of recovered survivors. Doctors hope the experimental treatment could help combat the virus that has been sweeping West "
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"LAKEWOOD, Colo., Dec. 15, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- The Government of Ghana has endorsed a project proposed through the collaboration of AABB, Global Blood Fund (GBF) and Terumo BCT to respond to the emerging Ebola crisis within West Africa, as "
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"Victor Willoughby is the country's 12th physician to become infected, 10 of whom have died. Government Chief Medical Officer Dr Brima Kargbo confirmed on Sunday Willoughby had tested positive for Ebola. Nearly "
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"The United Kingdom says it has succeeded in gaining the global support from countries around the world who have stepped up backing of Londons efforts towards defeating the Ebola disease in Sierra Leone.As "
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"Bruce Aylward, the head of Ebola response at the World Health Organization, said Sierra Leone was well placed to contain the disease -- its worst outbreak on record -- with infrastructure, organization and aid. The problem is that its people have yet to be ..."
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"A large group of men, women and children, all in their best clothes, is gathered in the yard of a house in Wellington, an Ebola-hit western area of Freetown. The dresses and headscarves are bright but the faces are sombre. Alie Kamara, the owner of the ..."
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" [EBOLA Outbreak] In 2003, the outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) received much attention as a highly contagious airborne disease ravaging China and other Asian nations. Jinhee experienced the level of precaution "
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"Following the declaration by the World Health Organisation (WHO) last October that Nigeria is an Ebola-free nation, the Catholic Bishops Conference at the weekend ordered all its priests and the lay faithful to revert to the normal practices of receiving ..."
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"Amid a spike in Ebola transmission rates in Sierra Leone, the United Nations envoy coordinating the massive global crisis response has travelled to the West African nation to help implement a surge in efforts to contain "
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"Meet two heroes of our Time. These Bronx health-care workers are taking their skills to the frontline of the fight against Ebola. Dr. Julie Hoffman, an infectious disease specialist at Jacobi Medical Center, and Sara Back "
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"(NaturalNews) Mainstream media's attention in America to the Ebola crisis in West Africa has long since wandered off, but that doesn't make the crisis any less real for the people living there. As of December 7, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control (CDC ..."
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"The declaration of Nigeria as an Ebola-free country by the World Health Organisation (WHO) in October has prompted many Nigerians to discontinue the practice of maintaining a good level of hygiene as a measure of "
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"University of Utah researchers ran biochemical analysis and computer simulations of a livestock virus to discover a likely and exotic mechanism to explain the replication of related viruses such as Ebola, measles and rabies. The mechanism may be a "
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"World Vision Ghana (WVG), an International Non-Governmental Organisation, has launched Ebola Preparedness Project in Paga, a border town in the Kassena-Nankana West District of the Upper East Region. The four months project dubbed; 'The "
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"An Ebola waste task force has been created by WasteAid International and Disaster Waste Recovery to help meet West Africas waste disposal needs in the midst of the Ebola crisis. Its now calling upon the "
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"HINCKLEY, Ohio, Dec. 15, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Clinical Research Management, Inc. (ClinicalRM) today announced that the clinical trial evaluating the safety and efficacy of Ebola convalescent plasma (ECP) for the treatment of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in ..."
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"PROVIDENCE (WPRI) The Rhode Island Department of Health is being honored for their work with the local West African community during the Ebola outbreak. In recent months, the health department has printed "
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" [Freetown market women receive £25,000 from the English FA and Premier League for Ebola sensitization and sanitation] Freetown, 12 December 2014 The English Football Association and English Premier League and have donated £25,000 through UNICEF to Sierra Leones Union of Womens Traders Association to help support "
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"Meliandou, Guinea When 2-year-old Emile Ouamouno caught a fever, started vomiting, passed blood in his stool and died two days later, nobody knew why. Nor did anyone really ask. Life is unforgiving in this part "
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"Rather than head home for the holidays, Nina Weisenhorn flew straight into the heart of the Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone. Weisenhorn, 33, grew up in West Des Moines and has spent her last seven years with the "
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"It appears that Nigeria and Mali have contained their outbreaks of Ebola. However, Sierra Leone has more than half of the more than 18,000 cases reported and over 70 percent of the new cases in the past three weeks "
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"PROVIDENCE As the Ebola outbreak flares anew in Sierra Leone surpassing Liberia as the nation most affected by the deadly outbreak Emelia Kamara says every phone call from relatives overseas brings "
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"MONROVIA (Reuters) - Liberia will hold delayed senatorial elections on Dec. 20, the National Election Commission said on Sunday, a day after the Supreme Court ruled the vote should go ahead despite the Ebola outbreak in the West African country. The ..."
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"For example, the World Health Organization reports that "targets of isolating and treating 70% of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) cases and burying 70% of EVD-related deaths safely have likely been met in most districts of
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"Kufo alleged that doctors were owed salary for the period it joined the Nigerian Medical Association (NMA) to embark on national strike in April and May of 2012 and September this year when Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) "
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"In the past the EVD would have reigned supreme in Lagos as it now does in Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea. The international community has also been very quick in recognizing the metamorphosis of Lagos into a world-class modern state to live in or visit ..."
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"RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, N.C., Dec. 15, 2014 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq:BCRX) today announced the dosing of the first subject in a randomized, placebo-controlled Phase 1 clinical trial to evaluate intramuscular "
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"The patients all presented with potential Ebola-like symptoms (such as fever, gastrointestinal distress, headache), and several of them had traveled recently in western African countries. Fortunately, the New York Times "
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"Five major U.S. airports to screen travelers from West Africa for Ebola Five major U.S. airports will begin screening travelers entering the country from the three West African nations hit hardest by the ongoing Ebola "
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"Nigerians are highly mobile, moving across borders and are highly represented in West African countries, where some of these countries are still anxiously grappling with the management of the Ebola cases in their domain. The Guardian was at the Seme "
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"At the end of the year, Jabbie will return to the US where he owns Jabs Group Inc- a tax and accounting service Company, and will volunteer himself on landing for quarantine. This is a safety routine that will keep him "
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"BEIJING, Dec. 15 (Yonhap) -- North Korea's strict quarantine efforts against the spread of the Ebola virus have been affecting regular diplomatic exchanges with its only ally, China, a diplomatic source with direct knowledge of the situation said Monday."
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"Emerson Musa Conteh and Aminata Amara after they jointly agreed to dishonestly appropriate 100 bags of rice from the 300 meant for Ebola quarantine homes in Kenema. Dates for their appearance in court will be "
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Quarantine. Keep them out of America....... Is not my problem or Americas. Europe got though the plague and black death. Maybe Africa needs the same to produce a stronger people who can elevate their nations. Cruel but true!
There could be 10,000 new ebola cases a month . . . or not
This information was a guess several weeks ago, but it is now outdated.
I have been tracking the exponential growth of Ebola in the three most heavily affected West African nations. As of December 12, 2014, the total number of cases was 18,188 with a total death toll of 6,583. The number of new cases per day (as of today) is averaging about 160.
If the outbreak continues on its present course, the total number of Ebola cases will cross 100,000 in approximately June of 2015. The daily multiplier growth rate computed based on the last 30 days of WHO data is approximately 1.00876. That is, take the total number of cases each day and multiply by 1.00876 to get the total number of cases for the next day.
The Ebola outbreak is NOT slowing. It is relentless. It is just slower than the original projections predicted.
The combined population of the three West African nations is about 22 million. That means that less than one in one thousand in those nations have contracted the disease. However, that is NOT good news. It simply means that there remains a huge population yet to be infected with nothing standing in the way of their becoming infected.
I fully expect the Ebola numbers growth to continue unabated through at least ten percent of the population. That means approximately two million cases by the summer of 2016.
Send billions. Black lives matter. Thank you. Later.
Thanks for posting. Health/life BUMP!
Do you think there are cases here that are being kept under wraps?
But not a peep about it here. Ignorance is paramount for the success of an epidemic here.
Thanks for posting.
I do not know, but I absolutely do not trust anyone in government. An Ebola outbreak in the United States would be just the kind of thing that leads to martial law and worse.
Why do you believe any number they are giving you at this point? The death rate is 84%. Unless there has been a huge jump in the last week of new cases, say 10,000, you know the death number is bogus.....so why are we being told the truth on the number of total cases.
I think it is long past time to not take the reported numbers seriously.
With the way they are playing with the reported numbers, we do not know if that is even true.
I have two questions. 1. How long is it between Ebola first being introduced into a population and it becoming a general health threat? 2. Is there a “critical mass” of exposure that makes its spread more likely in that new location?
In gold mining, the quality of ore is always greatest the closer you are to the surface. The deeper you dig, the lower quality the ore. But those who are bitten by the gold bug refuse to believe this, hoping that if they can just go deep enough, they will hit “the mother lode” of high grade ore.
When selling a nearly played out mine to suckers, its owners will go to lengths to convince them of “the deeper the richer”, even “salting” the mine with gold to make its ore look richer than it is.
It is good to remember this lesson with many things in life, including communicable diseases. It is called “The Law of Diminishing Returns.”
http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/2014-west-africa/case-counts.html
These are the current stats, by the CDC, of the entire outbreak. I know that someone here at FR is plotting the “actuals”, the real cases, not projections, to figure out the growth curve of the disease.
To date that rate of growth has not been extraordinary. And while still bad for West Africa, the possibility of “10,000 new cases per week” is miniscule.
If Ebola was indeed growing at an exponential rate, by now millions would have been infected, and it would have transcended the ability to count them all.
The truth is that Ebola is winding down. It just doesn’t have the right combination of things to make a gigantic plague.
past a certain point (which they are close to already) they will have completely saturated all existing facilities and can handle no new cases- at which point ALL new cases are going to be like case #1 - out in the public
except there will be 10,000 of them (per week)
With the way they are playing with the reported numbers, we do not know if that is even true.
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Ebola numbers are now like those Obamacare enrollment numbers & the unemployment rate ..... can’t believe anything any more.
Yes we can! Make America "know how it feels" to be a third world country.
Grania,
I do not have answers for you. I am just mapping the reported numbers and attempting to make reasonable assumptions about where this is all headed.
I realize that, and I appreciate the very fine research you provide about the Ebola outbreak. The reason for questions such as these is for points of discussion and things I wonder about.
Sorry if you thought I intended to put you on the spot
grania
Obama will refuse to close off travel to and from. He’s part of the Soros borderless society.
I use a seventy percent (70%) death percentage in my internal calculations. It could be higher, and probably is, such as you have suggested at 84%. I am just being conservative.
However, infected persons do not show symptoms immediately and they to not die immediately upon becoming infected.
The death percentage follows the case count, but lags by anywhere from a few days to several weeks.
In my internal calculations, I have assumed a seventy percent (70%) death percentage will occur by sixty days from the date of infection.
If you do not take the lag into account, it appears that the death percentage is much lower than it actually is.
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