Ebola Surveillance Thread

Free Republic Threads ^ | August 10, 2014 | Legion

[Smokin' Joe]

I have spent a little time compiling links to threads about the Ebola outbreak in the interest of having all the links in one thread for future reference.

Please add links to new threads and articles of interest as the situation develops.

Thank You all for you participation.

[Thud]

My opinion concerning the odds of a significant Ebola "event" in the US by the end of July 2015 has been about 10% for the past month, and nothing I've seen yet has changed that.

My definition of a significant Ebola "event" in the U.S. includes major economic and/or financial impact alone, not merely those sick from or killed by the virus. Loss of strategic mineral or agricultural imports (such as gum Arabic) from Africa due to the Ebola epidemic might have a significant economic impact in the U.S.

A national air travel shutdown of more than three days, or a one-week quarantine of an area inhabited by 100,000 Americans, would also constitute a significant Ebola "event".

[Dark Wing]

The Chicago Boyz Weblog had an article back on 8 August 2014 titled “Why Ebola will not stay in Africa” where the commentors went on at length about the implications of a major Ebola break out from Africa.

See This is the link:

http://chicagoboyz.net/archives/44711.html

The issue we are going to see soon — think 4-to-9 months — is a recession of about 2008-2009 magnitude caused from the necessary quarantine measures plus, and maybe especially from, the panic.

When there are between 200K and 1.6 million Ebola cases, mostly in Africa, but spread by air traveling quarantine runners world wide. There will be a complete cratering of the international air passenger transportation system.

And the voluntary effects of trip cancellations by the public and airline union strikes will hit weeks before the official quarantine measures.

Quarantine measures after the panic bites will cause extensive/expensive/slow 100% border inspections of ISO containers to keep out Ebola infected quarantine runners.

I don't want to know what it means to the Silicon Valley economy when they can't get their electronic components overnight or their strategic metals at all.

When “just-in-time” logistics just _stops_.

So will the world economy and much of America's.

[Thud]

My wife just told me that a majority of the cacao beans used to produce cocoa, aka chocolate, are grown in Africa.

[Dark Wing]

Time to go short on cacao bean futures.

[PA Engineer]

Interesting link. Thanks for the post. A couple of items stood out, specifically

FREE SAFETY DATA SHEET INDEX - Ebola virus

and

Lethal experimental infections of rhesus monkeys by aerosolized Ebola virus..

These are both must reads. I did not know about the vitality of the virus in dry blood lasting 23 days.

[Jim Noble]

This Just In (Literally) - To Be Given Out At Airports (Not a Joke):

They're Looking Out For YOU!

[PA Engineer]

Sierra Leone to impose 4-day, countrywide anti-Ebola "lockdown"

[Oorang]

Heavily Haredi Hospital Gets First Ever Possible Ebola Case In Israel

[DouglasKC]

In Israel since Wednesday. Went to the hospital Friday. Was she sitting by herself in an empty room for all those days?

[PJ-Comix]

And this does not include today's report of cases exceeding 4000.

[Covenantor]

Was just about to ping you.

Posted on new thread:

2014-09-05 22:28
Geneva - More than 2,000 people have died in the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, the World Health Organisation said on Friday, out of about 4,000 patients thought to have been infected in the three countries worst hit by the disease.

The death toll in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone totalled 2,097 as at 5 Sept, out of 3,944 cases, a WHO document said.

The data did not include patients in Nigeria or Senegal, which have also been affected, nor Democratic Republic of Congo, which has been hit by an unrelated outbreak of the disease.

[PJ-Comix]

According to Dark Wing, 1000 new cases PER DAY starting around Sept. 16. Just 11 days away. The graphs will be going straight up then.

[Thud]

No, they’ll make the graphs logarithmic and enlarge the scale to a zillion to one.

[PJ-Comix]

The big increase will happen if there is an uncontrollable outbreak in Lagos...population over 20 million.

[PA Engineer]

A youtube video discussing Biosafety Levels

[PA Engineer]

Youtube video of NEIDL: Biosafety Level 4

[Smokin' Joe]

Assessment of the Risk of Ebola Virus Transmission from Bodily Fluids and Fomites

[PA Engineer]

A final youtube video Biosafety level for now. The important point is that the CDC is recommending level one protection for medical personal, while Ebola has always been classified as a Level 4 pathogen.

[PA Engineer]

Foreigners flee Rivers over Ebola

[RinaseaofDs]

Not sure what cumulative cases means here. Does it mean all cases during the outbreak - living or dead?