Posted on 08/10/2014 12:46:23 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe
I have spent a little time compiling links to threads about the Ebola outbreak in the interest of having all the links in one thread for future reference.
Please add links to new threads and articles of interest as the situation develops.
Thank You all for you participation.
a collapse of civilization in places Ebola really takes hold.
Do you think Islam will notice?
http://saharareporters.com/2014/08/31/will-ebola-end-port-harcourt-arnold-obomanu
[snip]
“...human behavior remains the weakest link in the control and resolution of the Ebola outbreak.”
Vespignani has analyzed the likelihood that Ebola will spread to other countries. Using data on millions of air travelers and commuters, as well as mobility patterns based on data from censuses and mobile devices, he has built a model of the world, into which he can introduce Ebola and then run hundreds of thousands of simulations.
In general, the chance of further spread beyond West Africa is small, Vespignani says, but the risk grows with the scale of the epidemic. Ghana, the United Kingdom, and the United States are among the countries most likely to have an introduced case, according to the model. (Senegal, which reported its first Ebola case last week, was in his top ten countries, too.)
“Ebola Epidemic Decimating Health Workers in Guinea”
“”After every task, you have to change gloves and wash your hands, yet we are only given one pack a week, which is clearly insufficient,” says Fikhe.
“Everybody knows that sponsors donate loads of them, so they should be used to treat patients... (yet) very often, after a few days, they can be found being sold on the local market.””
There's a company that's developed a technique of filling the room with a mix of ozone and hydrogen peroxide gas to sterilize everything.
These are the three passages that stand out for me from the link —
1. 10,000 cases by WHO data on 24 Sept 2014.
“Alessandro Vespignani hopes that his latest work will turn out to be wrong. In July, the physicist from Northeastern University in Boston started modeling how the deadly Ebola virus may spread in West Africa. Extrapolating existing trends, the number of the sick and dying mounts rapidly from the current toll—more than 3000 cases and 1500 deaths—to around 10,000 cases by September 24, and hundreds of thousands in the months after that.”
2. 100,000 WHO documented cases by Dec 1, 2014
“If the disease keeps spreading as it has, most of the modelers Science talked to say WHO’s estimate will turn out to be conservative. “If the epidemic in Liberia were to continue in this way until the 1st of December, the cumulative number of cases would exceed 100,000,” predicts Althaus. Such long-term forecasts are error-prone, he acknowledges. But other modelers aren’t much more encouraging. Caitlin Rivers of the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University in Blacksburg expects roughly 1000 new cases in Liberia in the next 2 weeks and a similar number in Sierra Leone.”
2. The rate of infection, ‘Re,’ is 1.5 people for every reported Ebola case. That is, for every two people WHO has documented with Ebola, three weeks later three more people will show up with Ebola. See —
“Rivers is evaluating interventions, such as increased use of protective equipment or campaigns to isolate infected people. In the most optimistic scenario, every contact of infected people is traced, and transmission in hospitals is reduced by 75%. Even that, while drastically reducing the number of Ebola deaths, did not push Re below one.
The challenge varies by country, Althaus says. “In Guinea and Sierra Leone, Re is close to 1 and the outbreak could be stopped if interventions improve a bit.” In Liberia, Re has been near 1.5 the whole time. “That means work is only just beginning there.” But Meltzer says there is no reason to believe the situation is any better in Sierra Leone. “We are not seeing any change in the rate of the accumulation of cases,” he says. “
It would take the entire three Division of the US Army’s 18th Airborne Corps plus two Divisions of the USMC to stop this ‘greater than 1.0 Re’ spread in West Africa...and they are not coming.
http://news.sciencemag.org/health/2014/08/disease-modelers-project-rapidly-rising-toll-ebola
“Disease modelers project a rapidly rising toll from Ebola”
Whoa, pretty horrific pictures on that site of ebola
symptoms.
Also a blurb about an ebola patient in Sri Lanka!
That’s an old article IIRC.
One look at that pic and I didn’t pay any attention to
the date.
I meant the sri lanka blurb.
Pic is pretty gruesome I agree.
“Suspected Ebola Case Found in Sweden”
“WHO: Senegal Ebola case ‘a top priority emergency’”
“US should do more to contain Ebola outbreak, Sen. McCain says”
He’s right. But he’s probably gone long PPE manufacturer stocks as well.
http://www.barnorama.com/the-story-of-finda-kamanos-battle-with-ebola/
“The Story Of Finda Kamano’s Battle With Ebola”
They’re beginning to learn to respect certain cultural mores. This is a good thing. Families had no way of knowing if it were their family member’s body in the body bag or not.
“Ebola Outbreak 2014: Ebola Suspected In Sweden, Stockholm Tourist Returned From African Trip”
“Advice for Colleges, Universities, and Students about Ebola in West Africa”
“EBOLA: European shipowners increase freight rates on Nigeria-bound cargoes”
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