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The Inflation Predictions Were Just Wrong, And Now They're Hurting People
Business Insider ^ | 06/21/2013 | CULLEN ROCHE, PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

Posted on 06/21/2013 6:19:51 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Remember back when QE started and we saw charts of high powered money going vertical all over the place and everyone who didn’t understand modern banking said that the reserves would flood out into the economy causing high inflation or even hyperinflation? And do you also remember how most of those same people also said that the only way you’d be able to protect yourself from this hyperinflation was by owning hard assets like gold or silver? Well, the inflation never came.

The most recent reading of 1.7% pretty much proves that we’re much more Japan than we are Weimar (and yes, even independent gauges confirm the low inflation story). And now the portfolio recommendations are falling apart as well….

It’s one thing to be wrong about the way banking works and the way inflation might spread. But most of these people were explicitly recommending a substantial overweight in gold and silver as well. And they’ve been annihilated in recent years.

Gold is down 33% from its 2011 highs. And silver is down a staggering 60% since the time I started referring to it as a bubble. These are massive moves and if you’ve been substantially overweight these metals in your portfolio then you’ve experienced substantial pain based on sheer misunderstandings by people who are posing as experts.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Society
KEYWORDS: inflation; investment
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1 posted on 06/21/2013 6:19:51 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
SeekAndFind, I must live on a different planet than this author. I have seen nothing in my neck of the woods but prices for essential rising.
2 posted on 06/21/2013 6:22:01 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Scrutinize our government and Secure the Blessing of Freedom and Justice)
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To: SeekAndFind

If you’re not including fuel and food, then any measure I’d inflation is useless


3 posted on 06/21/2013 6:22:19 AM PDT by Mamzelle
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To: SeekAndFind

They were not wrong. They were early. And that is common.


4 posted on 06/21/2013 6:22:22 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: no-to-illegals

I have seen nothing in my neck of the woods but prices for essential rising.


There is the rub. Taxes are up. Prices for essentials are up, but you can still get a lot of flat screen TV for your money.

And where would we be without the fracking boom. Seriously.


5 posted on 06/21/2013 6:23:32 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: SeekAndFind

When was the last time this writer went to a grocery store, out of touch much!!!
And a Rick Santelli said Wednesday, it’s the velocity of money that is keeping inflation down, it’s socked away in computers and vaults all over america. If that money ever reaches the consumer we are going to be in real trouble!


6 posted on 06/21/2013 6:26:58 AM PDT by qman (The communist usurper must go!)
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To: Mamzelle
One has to suppose the new books for keeping inflation figures do not include essentials, as is figured. Is a pity most reports regarding inflation being nonexistent are blatant lies. I've seen meat prices continue to soar. Well maybe meat isn't essential. Have seen general food prices soar. Well maybe food isn't essential. Have seen fuel prices soar. Well since I don't need food, fuel must not be essential either. What a crock. Why am I expected to believe there is no inflation? My eyes and brain must not be essential either in the obamanation.
7 posted on 06/21/2013 6:29:35 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Scrutinize our government and Secure the Blessing of Freedom and Justice)
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To: SeekAndFind
Not to worry.

Bernanke's triple-digit hyperinflation is just around the corner.

8 posted on 06/21/2013 6:30:01 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Religious faith in government is far crazier than religious faith in God.)
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To: SeekAndFind

This guy is either an idiot or intentionally a FOS agent of disinformation. Which is it?


9 posted on 06/21/2013 6:31:28 AM PDT by WKUHilltopper (And yet...we continue to tolerate this crap...)
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To: cuban leaf

Maybe there is no inflation in EBT lines for essential. Guess the D.C. folks have those people’s backs.


10 posted on 06/21/2013 6:33:05 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Scrutinize our government and Secure the Blessing of Freedom and Justice)
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To: SeekAndFind
Well, the inflation never came.

When was the last time this author purchased food or gasoline? At the grocery store alone, my purchasing power has decreased by 30% over the last four years.

11 posted on 06/21/2013 6:37:48 AM PDT by Hoodat (BENGHAZI - 4 KILLED, 2 MIA)
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To: SeekAndFind
Inflation is coming.

And the longer it is before it gets here — the worse it will be.

12 posted on 06/21/2013 6:39:07 AM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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To: no-to-illegals

I’ve seen the word “biflation” recently. We actually are in a deflationary economy in general, but the three things which everybody sees right in front of their faces, food, fuel, and medical costs, have been being manipulated.


13 posted on 06/21/2013 6:40:34 AM PDT by varmintman
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To: varmintman

Its not just food and energy.....its taxes and fees too...all those government fees have gone up..new licenses needed...property taxes up...federal taxes up...state taxes too...Insurance costs going up..


14 posted on 06/21/2013 6:43:45 AM PDT by Youngman542012
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To: SeekAndFind

uh-huh...That’s why a box of doughnuts costs $5.40? Milk is more expensive than a gas? Low cut hamburger meat is a luxury for some right now?


15 posted on 06/21/2013 6:45:39 AM PDT by Ghost of SVR4
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To: SeekAndFind
What hasn't risen much is the Consumer Price Index. That's the government's phony calculation of inflation. What has risen much faster than the CPI is the price of essentially everything.

Read this for some enlightenment on the subject of inflation:

Peter Schiff Exposes Phony Inflation Numbers

16 posted on 06/21/2013 6:48:11 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (If I had a tag line this is where you would find it)
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To: qman
If that money ever reaches the consumer we are going to be in real trouble!

For that money to reach the consumer, wages will have to go up. With real unemployment and underemployment somewhere north of 13% and Obamacare starting to kick in, I don't see wages increasing anytime soon.

17 posted on 06/21/2013 6:49:35 AM PDT by Roccus
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To: no-to-illegals

No problem - they just change the definition of “essentials” and voila! no inflation.


18 posted on 06/21/2013 6:50:09 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: SeekAndFind

Just give it time.

All this QE money is going into the stock market...and what are alot of comapnies doing with this investment money?

Nothing. They’re just holding onto it.

If the economy ever starts to really grow again, commodities from fuel to copper to drywall are going to shoot up in price.

You can’t just throw money into an economy faster than its growth rate, without eventually getting inflation.


19 posted on 06/21/2013 6:50:51 AM PDT by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: Ghost of SVR4
“””””””””And do you also remember how most of those same people also said that the only way you’d be able to protect yourself from this hyperinflation was by owning hard assets like gold or silver? Well, the inflation never came.””””””

Just because gold and silver were in a bubble does not mean that there was no inflation.

Not just foods and gas have gone up. I purchased lumber last year and this year both and the price is up as well for these items.

I believe the statement above about the velocity of money being to low for very high inflation.

20 posted on 06/21/2013 6:52:01 AM PDT by jimpick
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