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Just Briefed By VERY Senior Retired CIA Officer. "Egypt Is Possible/Probable Disaster For US"
Old proven source | Friends and Fiends

Posted on 01/28/2011 3:01:22 PM PST by MindBender26

As many of you know, am old network TV newsie. Just tapped former proven source, retired VERY senior CIA officer. No Hq paper-pusher type, he is the real deal, a highly successful very senior ME field operator. Retired as ES-4.

From an intel assesment stanspoint, he is a proven source, with access to information, extensive field work in the area, no reason to lie and has always given good data in past.

His assessment (in shorthand:)

1. If Egypt falls, disaster for US. Put succinctly; "the horse we bet all our life savings on may be about to drop dead in the backstretch."

2. If Egypt gmvt falls, radical Muslim Brotherhood will be the new power, totally.

3. If Egypt falls, Jordan and Saudi are in trouble, but not necessarily gone. Even Syria is not safe.

4. Although Muslim Brotherhood would take over, the cause of revolt is not religion but the lack of jobs, horrible standard of living. Saudi and Jordan citizens have somewhat better conditions, so might be saved.

5. Egyptian Army is the absolute key. If Army stays local, Mubarak may be safe. If they falter, he is absolute toast.

6. Problem is, Army does not like Mubarak. They loved Sadat, he was one of them, but they do not like Hosni.

7. If Egypt falls, biggest winners are Iran and Russia. Iran becomes big kid on block. Russia desperately needs crude oil prices to go up to help economy. They prosper at $90 barrel crude. This could create $220, $250 a barrel crude oil prices

8. Big loser? Surprisingly not Israel. Just more enemies... who all know Israel will take war nuc if necessary to save self.... but due to US aid, Egyptian Army has great American equipment.

9. Biggest loser #2; Western Europe

10. Biggest loser #1; USA. Oil prices cripple economy. Even worse, word in every diplomatic circle becomes "See what happens to America's friends."

Bottom line; possible/probable disaster for US


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: clinton; cw2; egypt; egyptcrisis; egyptriots; foreignpolicy; hosnimubarak; islam; mubarak; muslimbrotherhood; obama; oil; palin; unverifiable; vanity
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To: MindBender26; kabar
Every one of these countries that is pegged to the $US dollar is feeling the effects of Ben's monetary policy (fully backed by his helicopter thesis). The Fed's exercise in printing & debasing the dollar, while causing prices to escalate domestically, is absolutely impoverishing less wealthy/stable nations.

It will be interesting to see whether the debate over increasing the debt ceiling will begin to encompass global strategic considerations. That is, while continued money printing is imperative to keep the US government operating, it's creating massive instability around the world that is now biting us in the ass.

Like many predicted, Ben is caught in a pincer. He's damned if he does, and damned if he doesn't. They tied, oh boy did they try, to kick the can rather than deal banker fraud & abuse. Looks like attempting to paper over criminal behavior, rather than enforce the rule of law, is going to have, shall we say "unexpected consequences".

41 posted on 01/28/2011 3:17:00 PM PST by semantic
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To: Crawdad

The guy went back to Egypt in Dec of 2008. He was here long before the 2008 election. I W is a part of this, why cut him slack. Again, we don’t know what W or obama knew or knows.


42 posted on 01/28/2011 3:18:06 PM PST by Terry Mross (We need a SECOND party.)
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To: MindBender26

Zer0 knew this was coming and he still stopped oil drilling in the Gulf and takes steps to shut down coal. Sounds more like conspiring against his own country . . . bald-faced treason in my book.


43 posted on 01/28/2011 3:18:19 PM PST by RatRipper (I'll ride a turtle to work every day before I buy anything from Government Motors.)
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To: nascarnation

Hell no! We THROW Obummer out and drill baby drill as well as cook oil shale . Let the Middle East drink their petro.Its insane that we have bigger reserves than Saudi Arabia and can’t go after it . The survival of the nation will rest on getting rid of legislators who inhibit our ability to supply our own petroleum reserves.


44 posted on 01/28/2011 3:18:46 PM PST by Renegade
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To: MindBender26

GFL? (Good effin luck?)


45 posted on 01/28/2011 3:18:51 PM PST by DallasDeb
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To: Conservative Vermont Vet
Or for informed, intelligent FReepers to bombard their local leaders via e-mail, phone calls, letters to the editor and word of mouth to take the actions your describe.

WE must seize this opportunity.

I'm starting with Michele Bachmann.

46 posted on 01/28/2011 3:19:26 PM PST by Aevery_Freeman (Fear God and Government - especially when one tries to become the other!)
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To: nascarnation
Will be interesting to see Baraq running for re-election on 4 years of 10% unemployment and $5 gas.

Especially if he still won't let us drill.

47 posted on 01/28/2011 3:19:58 PM PST by DallasDeb
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To: MindBender26

Nice report - does he have any idea what we should do?


48 posted on 01/28/2011 3:20:35 PM PST by GOPJ (http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/index2.php - World Disaster Map)
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To: Terry Mross

How so?


49 posted on 01/28/2011 3:20:51 PM PST by MagnoliaB
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To: MindBender26

This has tremendous Biblical implications for those of us who are dispensationalists.


50 posted on 01/28/2011 3:20:51 PM PST by DallasDeb
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To: MindBender26
Excellent post.

Now is the chance for Barry's secret Harvard Affirmative Action skills to shine!


Today is a good day to die.
I didn't say for whom.

51 posted on 01/28/2011 3:21:02 PM PST by The Comedian (It's 3am all over the planet.)
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To: MindBender26

Tell this old CIA guy to go find Obama’s BC. Get back to us when he finds it. Obama Probably Disaster for America.


52 posted on 01/28/2011 3:21:25 PM PST by Frantzie (Slaves do not have freedom only the illusion of freedom & their cable TV to drool at)
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To: RWGinger

John Bolton thinks Egypt is headed for democracy, not sharia.


53 posted on 01/28/2011 3:21:53 PM PST by DallasDeb
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To: Obadiah

Obama’s drilling ban will exasperate the situation for us.


54 posted on 01/28/2011 3:22:43 PM PST by opentalk
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To: MindBender26

LOL! Stupid brainwashed idiots watching Tv elkected a muslim in 2008. Maybe reality may interupt Oprah, Dancing with The Stars and a few ball games. Bring it on.


55 posted on 01/28/2011 3:23:11 PM PST by Frantzie (Slaves do not have freedom only the illusion of freedom & their cable TV to drool at)
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To: DallasDeb

I was wondering also.


56 posted on 01/28/2011 3:23:13 PM PST by MagnoliaB
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To: MagnoliaB

Here is a solution.

1. Open up all US oil fields for drilling.
2. Hire the unemployed.

Jobs like riggers, truckers, firemen, secretaries, executives, accountants, doctors, construction workers, etc... would have near instant employment. It could be the single most beneficial move the government could do to spur the economy.


57 posted on 01/28/2011 3:24:46 PM PST by Dutch Boy
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To: RWGinger
some sources have said we, the USA, backed this oppostion. I can not understand how or why we would back anyone who wants sharia law

Yeah and the stories put this as ongoing for the past 3 years which would mean, Bush.

If so, would not be surprised for Bush was naive and duped by advisors (such as FAUX Conservative and Jihadist Supporter Grover Norquist) about emphasizing the difference between Islamo-Fascists and the religion Islam, which is wishful thinking.

WHY we have not done more to forement, encourage (and support) and internal revolution in Iran, I'll never know!

58 posted on 01/28/2011 3:25:00 PM PST by Conservative Vermont Vet ((One of ONLY 37 Conservatives in the People's Republic of Vermont. Socialists and Progressives All))
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To: MagnoliaB

It already is.

Unemployment numbers are cooked.


59 posted on 01/28/2011 3:25:00 PM PST by sauropod (The truth shall make you free but first it will make you miserable.)
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To: Terry Mross

Bush started movement towards Mid East democracies but where Obama has taken it, and how he has been ‘played’ by others...

I don’t feel good about having a fool of a community organizer executing this.


60 posted on 01/28/2011 3:25:40 PM PST by mrsmith
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