Posted on 01/28/2011 3:01:22 PM PST by MindBender26
As many of you know, am old network TV newsie. Just tapped former proven source, retired VERY senior CIA officer. No Hq paper-pusher type, he is the real deal, a highly successful very senior ME field operator. Retired as ES-4.
From an intel assesment stanspoint, he is a proven source, with access to information, extensive field work in the area, no reason to lie and has always given good data in past.
His assessment (in shorthand:)
1. If Egypt falls, disaster for US. Put succinctly; "the horse we bet all our life savings on may be about to drop dead in the backstretch."
2. If Egypt gmvt falls, radical Muslim Brotherhood will be the new power, totally.
3. If Egypt falls, Jordan and Saudi are in trouble, but not necessarily gone. Even Syria is not safe.
4. Although Muslim Brotherhood would take over, the cause of revolt is not religion but the lack of jobs, horrible standard of living. Saudi and Jordan citizens have somewhat better conditions, so might be saved.
5. Egyptian Army is the absolute key. If Army stays local, Mubarak may be safe. If they falter, he is absolute toast.
6. Problem is, Army does not like Mubarak. They loved Sadat, he was one of them, but they do not like Hosni.
7. If Egypt falls, biggest winners are Iran and Russia. Iran becomes big kid on block. Russia desperately needs crude oil prices to go up to help economy. They prosper at $90 barrel crude. This could create $220, $250 a barrel crude oil prices
8. Big loser? Surprisingly not Israel. Just more enemies... who all know Israel will take war nuc if necessary to save self.... but due to US aid, Egyptian Army has great American equipment.
9. Biggest loser #2; Western Europe
10. Biggest loser #1; USA. Oil prices cripple economy. Even worse, word in every diplomatic circle becomes "See what happens to America's friends."
Bottom line; possible/probable disaster for US
Every time Frantzie mentions TV, I buy another plasma and tune it to Al Waheed’s FOX news.
Screw the "polls". If they were accurate, we wouldn't have seen but a slight gain for the Republicans in November. What we saw in November was an historic shift right, all across the country.
Go out and talk to people. Look with your own eyes. Don't let these political operators make your observations for you.
Well, that's heartening. Your observations tell me that the spirit of freedom and independence still burn in the hearts of most Alaskans.
have a nice day
Maybe we can divide the region along ethnic lines and set them at each others throats?
Thinking about it, I've been pretty much TV-free since I was 19 in 1976 (not 1977 like I said in the post). Frantzie is NEW to this, only about a year into life without TV. He's wanting to shout out to the world and warn everybody; he's too new to the game to realize that it doesn't work.
I can guarantee you that the unemployment figure will be worse than that. The official figure may be 15% the unoffical one 20 to 25%.
I can guarantee you that the unemployment figure will be worse than that. The official figure may be 15% the unoffical one 20 to 25%.
It's the economy stupid!
M
Sadat led his army to their only modern victory, when they nearly defeated the Israelis during the 1973 Yom Kippur War.
His military respected him for that. Then he made peace so they could rest on their laurels, having defeated their own humiliation.
Despite having superior American equipment, an Arab army is still an Arab army, and the word is that any war with Israel would be a Six Hour War.
That said, it is always the best organized who succeed in revolutions, from the Bolsheviks to the Khomeni-ites.
The middle class is always too busy , while the ruffians have time on their hands.
It’s 3:00 am on 0bama’s watch.
`
I heard today on the radio a list of the places where the oil rigs have gone since 0bama shut down the Gulf for drilling.
0bama has destroyed the economy there, and thrown a spanner in the works to prevent us from drilling our way out of the coming catastrophe.
He won't be able to spin his way out of this.
Me too.
He is one of a very few leaders in my time that I admire.
mountn man - thanks for the ping.
MindBender26 - I concur with the eval. 25% of Europe’s LNG runs through the Suez canal ... they should be very worried.
The FED has created the mother of all house-of-cards in the US markets and in commodities ... and we are being led by children in the WH.
Hey, he wasn’t on the links at Andrews or Belvoir today. He’s sacrificing for the cause. Once he figures out which cause he favors.
Did you read the article?? That’s not what he said at all.
That's what happens when you bet on the wrong horse. We should have spread the bet around a little.
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