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Planet hunt delayed (Kepler problem...Noise confounds NASA mission to find an Earth twin)
Nature ^ | 10/30/09 | Eric Hand

Posted on 11/02/2009 7:47:52 AM PST by LibWhacker

NASA's Kepler mission is unlikely to detect any Earth-like exoplanets before 2011 due to an electronic glitch

Kepler, NASA's mission to search for planets around other stars, will not be able to spot an Earth-sized planet until 2011, according to the mission's team. The delays are caused by noisy amplifiers in the telescope's electronics. The team is racing to fix the issue by changing the way data from the telescope is processed, but the delay could mean that ground-based observers now have the upper hand in the race to be the first to spot an Earth twin.

"We're not going to be able to find Earth-size planets in the habitable zone — or it's going to be very difficult — until that work gets done," says Kepler principal investigator William Borucki, who revealed the problem on Thursday to the NASA advisory council at a meeting at Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, California.

Kepler, which launched on 6 March, is staring at 100,000 stars in a specific patch of sky. The telescope is designed to look for the slight dimming of light that occurs when a planet transits, or crosses in front of a star.

The problem is caused by amplifiers that boost the signals from the charge-coupled devices that form the heart of the 0.95-metre telescope's 95-million-pixel photometer, which detects the light emitted from the distant stars. Three of the amplifiers are creating noise that compromises Kepler's view. The noise affects only a small portion of the data, Borucki says, but the team has to fix the software — it would be "too cumbersome" to remove the bad data manually — so that it accounts for the noise automatically. He says that the fix should be in place by 2011. Wobble watchers

The noisy amplifiers were noticed during ground testing before the device was launched. "Everybody knew and worried about this," says instrument scientist Doug Caldwell. But in the end, he says, the team thought it was riskier to pry apart the telescope's electronic guts than to deal with the problem after launch.

Borucki points out that the team was probably going to have to wait at least three years to find an extrasolar Earth orbiting in the habitable zone anyway. Astronomers typically wait for at least three transits before they confirm a planet's existence; for an Earth-sized planet orbiting at a distance similar to that between the Earth and the Sun, three transits would take three years. But Borucki says that the noise will hinder searches for a rarer scenario: Earth-sized planets that orbit more quickly around dimmer, cooler stars — where the habitable zone is closer in. These planets could transit every few months.

Kepler, and the Convection, Rotation and Planetary Transits (COROT) mission, a French satellite that also looks for transits, are in a fierce race with ground-based telescopes to spot Earth-like planets. Whereas Kepler and COROT rely on transits to determine a planet's size, the ground-based telescopes identify planets by their mass. They look for tiny wobbles in the motion of the parent stars caused by the planets' gravity, a technique known as 'radial velocity' measurement. Greg Laughlin, an astronomer based at the University of California at Santa Cruz, says that the delay for Kepler makes it "more likely that the first Earth-mass planet is going to go to the radial-velocity observers".


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS: amplifiers; astronomy; confounds; delayed; goldilocks; goldilocksplanet; goldilockszone; kepler; noise; science; space; telescope; xplanets
But from SpaceDisco there is this:

“There is a mistake in the Nature article. The Kepler Mission is actually doing very well and is producing planet discoveries that will be announced early next year. Data from 3 of the 84 channels that have more noise than the others will be corrected or the data flagged to avoid being mixed in with the low noise data prior to the time an Earth twin could be discovered.”


1 posted on 11/02/2009 7:47:53 AM PST by LibWhacker
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To: LibWhacker

I just wish they wouldn’t use the term “earth Twin”.


2 posted on 11/02/2009 7:50:07 AM PST by cripplecreek (Seniors, the new shovel ready project under socialized medicine.)
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To: KevinDavis

Space ping.


3 posted on 11/02/2009 7:51:23 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Joe Wilson speaks for me.)
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To: LibWhacker

if it’s a software problem, maybe, hardware problem not a great idea - what if the noise was indicative of a critical component on the verge of failure - hard to find a software fix.

“The noisy amplifiers were noticed during ground testing before the device was launched. “Everybody knew and worried about this,” says instrument scientist Doug Caldwell. But in the end, he says, the team thought it was riskier to pry apart the telescope’s electronic guts than to deal with the problem after launch.”


4 posted on 11/02/2009 8:00:29 AM PST by bsf2009
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To: LibWhacker

Johannes Kepler was a big believer in the “music of the spheres.” Maybe that’s the “noise” they are picking up.


5 posted on 11/02/2009 8:22:57 AM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: LibWhacker

6 posted on 11/02/2009 8:23:03 AM PST by Dallas59 (No To O -Time is going by really really really really slow.)
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To: LibWhacker

What an incredible waste anyway!

There are no ‘Earth twins.’

Earth is unique.


7 posted on 11/02/2009 8:23:14 AM PST by editor-surveyor (The beginning of the O'Bomb-a administration looks a lot like the end of the Nixon administration)
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To: bsf2009

Launch garbage, sort later?


8 posted on 11/02/2009 8:25:45 AM PST by editor-surveyor (The beginning of the O'Bomb-a administration looks a lot like the end of the Nixon administration)
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To: bsf2009

It’s a good argument for not building the darn thing in such a way that it has to be “pried apart” to fix a problem that pops up just prior to launch.


9 posted on 11/02/2009 8:25:54 AM PST by LibWhacker (America awake!)
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To: Verginius Rufus
"Maybe that’s the “noise” they are picking up."

No, its cross-talk between components. - This has always been a problem in solid state circuits because they are so tiny that shielding is essentially impossible.

10 posted on 11/02/2009 8:29:30 AM PST by editor-surveyor (The beginning of the O'Bomb-a administration looks a lot like the end of the Nixon administration)
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To: LibWhacker

First, find another G2V star that isn’t in a binary or trinary system. Good luck.


11 posted on 11/02/2009 8:33:16 AM PST by onedoug
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To: LibWhacker
Not going to fix a noisy amp unless they have a spare.....

Noise is due to a component operating out of spec.

12 posted on 11/02/2009 8:35:42 AM PST by Cold Heat
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To: editor-surveyor
No way it's a waste. Some here would disagree, but Ferdinand and Isabella were right to fund Columbus. We're right to fund this.

Count on it: Earth has innumerable twins By 'twin' they don't mean identical down to the last atom, but a rocky world roughly half to five times as massive as Earth, in a Goldilocks orbit around a stable star, and having water on the surface. Some would require an oxygen rich atmosphere, but even that's not necessary.

13 posted on 11/02/2009 8:41:29 AM PST by LibWhacker (America awake!)
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To: onedoug

Can be type F, G, K or M. Binary or trinary systems are fine, depending; e.g., put a small to medium-sized star or two out at 50 - 1,000 AU, no problem.


14 posted on 11/02/2009 8:49:59 AM PST by LibWhacker (America awake!)
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To: LibWhacker

If you loosen-up the qualifications sufficiently, the term becomes meaningless.

Anyway, no significant number of Earthlings will ever leave the trophos of planet Earth. Life is incredibly delicate, and totally dependent on Earth for its continuance.


15 posted on 11/02/2009 8:51:34 AM PST by editor-surveyor (The beginning of the O'Bomb-a administration looks a lot like the end of the Nixon administration)
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To: LibWhacker
Can be type F, G, K or M. Binary or trinary systems are fine, depending; e.g., put a small to medium-sized star or two out at 50 - 1,000 AU, no problem.

Very doubtful they could support technological life.

16 posted on 11/02/2009 9:15:32 AM PST by onedoug
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To: LibWhacker
Count on it: Earth has innumerable twins By 'twin' they don't mean identical down to the last atom, but a rocky world roughly half to five times as massive as Earth, in a Goldilocks orbit around a stable star, and having water on the surface. Some would require an oxygen rich atmosphere, but even that's not necessary.

Don't forget the importance of our big moon in making Earth the hotbed for life that it is:

All this, because we were so stinkin' lucky to have "Theta", a planet as big as Mars, slam into us at EXACTLY the right angle, at EXACTLY the right speed to reform the resulting debris into a nice, big, close moon. Thanks, God!

I want other "twin earths" to be out there, if for no other reason than to give humanity back-up locations to ensure our survival. However, I think the presence and nature of our moon - in addition to the rest of the "Goldilocks criteria" - makes the odds of ever finding as nice as a home s our current one pretty low.

17 posted on 11/02/2009 9:39:31 AM PST by Yossarian
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To: KevinDavis; annie laurie; garbageseeker; Knitting A Conundrum; Viking2002; Ernest_at_the_Beach; ...
 
X-Planets
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Google news searches: exoplanet · exosolar · extrasolar ·

18 posted on 11/02/2009 2:41:11 PM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: LibWhacker

I smell a conspiracy. They have found another Earth-like planet and it’s inhabited by giant democRats. Our ‘rats will take all of our money. These big guys will take our planet.


19 posted on 11/02/2009 3:29:23 PM PST by LiberConservative ("Sarah Palin irritates all the right people." -Dennis Miller)
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