Conditions should be favorable for development and already pretty close into the U.S.
Posted on 08/02/2008 11:46:18 AM PDT by nwctwx
Conditions should be favorable for development and already pretty close into the U.S.
Looks like Edouard is starting to organize. Convection is now almost completely wrapped around the center.
Yeah, this is going to be a storm I’m going to have to deal with. What I don’t know is whether the office will be open tomorrow or not. I’m not not particularly keen on coming in if the winds are 50 mph or so, and I’m definitely not interested in driving in a hurricane if there is some rapid intensification in the next 12 hours.
Right now, there’s not a hint of a storm in the local weather conditions. It will be the hottest day of the year and there is almost no breeze or clouds.
Ten seconds after I made that post, the company announced it’s closing early this afternoon and will not be open tomorrow.
Ya think, I am not seeing it but haven’t got any good links to look at either. If the storm is going to get it’s act together it better hurry. Only a few hours of day light left.
Fortunately, from what I've read, it doesn't have deep warm water in its path, which should prevent any explosive intensification. But it still looks a lot more organized than it did a few hours ago.
A belated thanks for your local update. Good info.
self ping to watch thread
bullets?? I always stock up on ammo...just in case I get lucky and get looter....
I trust the Army.
Yea, starting to look like a real tropical something. Might get a little stronger, but you’re right water temps are (relatively) cool in front of it so it can’t do a Charlie. Might (probably will) rain like heck tomorrow.
Galveston Bay here, so I can give yall good reports.
Skin-So-Soft has never worked for me or a number of people I know. Putting the Bounce dryer sheet in my pocket also didn’t work. Another wives tale (that I haven’t tried) is rubbing a banana peel on your exposed skin. I think I’ll pass on that one. :-)
Deep warm water is very beneficial to a storm that is stalling. Edouard is moving slowly but steadily.
It’s not as if it can sit over waters which it will upwell and provide coooler water to feed on. There is no cooler water it can get before landfall. Water depth at this point doesn’t matter.
The storm looks a whole lot more healthy than it did this morning, although the NW quadrant doesn’t quite have the convection to give it the classic hurricane image. But this morning the whole W/2 looked like crap and it’s much more impressive now.
They're warmer!
Tropical Storm Edouard is intensifying as it approaches landfall Tuesday morning along the Texas/Louisiana border. Visible satellite loops show Edouard's heavy thunderstorm activity has increased significantly in the past few hours, and is now starting to wrap all the way around the storm. Long range radar out of Lake Charles, Louisiana also shows an increase in the organization and intensity of the radar echoes. Edouard is over ocean waters of about 29°C, which extend to a moderate depth. The Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential, a measure of the total energy available for rapid intensification, is about 30 kJ/cm^2, which is less than the value of 80 typically associated with rapid intensification. Wind shear has fallen from about 10 knots last night to 5 knots this afternoon, which has allowed the storm to organize. A new hurricane hunter plane entered the storm at about 2pm EDT, and so far has measured top winds of 50 knots (57 mph) at the surface with its SFMR instrument.
The shear is forecast to remain below 5 knots through Monday night, but the depth of the warm waters get shallower, with the Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential decreasing to about 10 kJ/cm^2 Monday night.
Are you anywhere close to the Galveston-Port Bolivar ferrys?
I can almost see them from my front year but smiths point block the view. I am in San Leon pretty close to the tip of the peninsula
There’s only so much energy a storm can suck up from shallow hot waters because the amount of energy is quantifiable. It’s a factor of how fast the storm is moving.
An unlimited amount of shallow hot water is surely equivalent to deep hot water if the storm is moving at a rapid pace. Edouard is not moving at a fast clip, so I’d agree that rapid intensification is unlikely. Suits me.
Hey there! I think you and I chatted during a previous storm. I’m in Seabrook.
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