World Series Live Thread: Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox

YahooSports.com ^ | 10-23-07 | Yahoo! Sports

[GraniteStateConservative]

vs.

Game 1 at Boston (Wed., Oct. 24, 8:35 p.m.)

Josh Beckett vs. Jeff Francis

Game 2 at Boston (Thurs., Oct. 25, 8:29 p.m.)

Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez

Game 3 at Colorado (Saturday, Oct. 27, 8 p.m.)

Daisuke Matsuzaka vs. Josh Fogg

Game 4 at Colorado (Sunday, Oct. 28, 8 p.m.)

Aaron Cook vs. Jon Lester

Game 5* at Colorado (Monday, Oct. 29)

Game 6* at Boston (Wednesday, Oct. 31)

Game 7* at Boston (Thursday, Nov. 1)

AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios. 

Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations

AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.

The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.

Game	Starters	COL	BOS
Game 1	Francis vs. Beckett	31.2%	68.8%
Game 2	Jimenez vs. Schilling	35.7%	64.3%
Game 3	Matsuzaka vs. Fogg	52.1%	49.2%
Game 4	Lester vs. Cook	56.3%	43.7%
Game 5	Beckett vs. Francis	45.9%	54.1%
Game 6	Jimenez vs. Schilling	35.7%	64.3%
Game 7	Fogg vs. Matsuzaka	39.0%	61.0%
	WIN SERIES	33.2%	66.8%

Red Sox 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.

CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.

INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.

OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.

Rockies 25-man Roster

PITCHERS (11): Jeremy Affeldt, Aaron Cook, Manuel Corpas, Josh Fogg, Jeff Francis, Brian Fuentes, LaTroy Hawkins, Matt Herges, Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ryan Speier.

CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.

INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.

OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.

[nutmeg]

Papelbon's Dancing & Language A Hit With Letterman

World Series celebration and parade photos also at the above WBZ link.

[UlmoLordOfWaters]

Thanks for the link! I just LOVE this guy—just picked up the latest SI.

[Boston Blackie]

I have been dreaming of Joe Torre managing the Dodgers for more than a decade now. He’s the one to shape them up. Oh man, I hope this is more than rumor.

Congratulations .... sometimes dreams do come true! See you at the World Series!!

[La Enchiladita]

I immediately thought of that song, “Don’t Let Me Lose This Dream” and I thought, yeah, just hold on and it could happen....:) It worked for you and all the faithful BoSox fans!

The Dodgers are overdue for some postseason play. Did you know that Vin Scully is still calling Dodger games? Same golden voice, and next year will be 50th anniversary of the L.A. Dodgers. Suddenly, I feel incredibly OLD....:(

So, any word on when your team goes to the White House?

[warsaw44]

10 minutes ago on WEEI it was reported by Dale and Arnold that Schilling has signed with the Sox; 1 year, 8 million with incentives.

[warsaw44]

Schilling just signed with the Red Sox: one year, 8 million with 2 million in incentives.

[warsaw44]

9 percent increase in tickets prices announced. No idea what a hot dog now costs. The two seats I once had for Saturday games, section 27, box 153, row HH, seats 5 and 6 were $40.00 each in 2000. Looking over my old tickets you can see the prices rise from $40.00 / $50.00 / $55.00 / $60.00 and finally $70.00 in 2004, the last year I purchased tickets for these seats. They are now $85.00. Amazing. I do not think I could afford such an expense these days.

[misterrob]

Their inability to build a new ballpark is going to haunt them for a long time. They should have been able to build a 45-48K stadium that would have provided 8-10K reasonably priced seats. Instead they will top out at 38K and that means they keep raising prices.

I will be curious to see how they will deal with ticket prices as the payoll comes down in the next two years. I estimate that at least $70 million will be subtracted from what they started with in the beginning of 2007.

[warsaw44]

The ‘ list ‘ was announced on WEEI minutes ago. Jason Variteks name is on the list. Will you be posting a Red Sox faithful thread about this?

[GraniteStateConservative]

That’s not “the list.” It’s a rumor.

[warsaw44]

Glad this has been cleared up. Huge difference between the names mentioned on air ( the fake list ) and the names on the real list. Brother, was I ever shocked about Varitek. Actually, I refused to believe it but wondered if I was just being stubborn out of loyalty.