Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
Oh, we saw that dog (or a similar dog) at a University of Connecticut women's basketball game last winter. I think there was one "star" dog, and several other dogs that did some amazing tricks. You're right... that show was spectacular!
No clue but I noticed it as well. Some of them look plastic. I thought one of the men had a rosary around his neck.
stat:
F. Morales COL 0 0
ERA 94.50
You have to wonder how stretched out Cook can be since he hasn’t started a game since August 10th. They may only get 3 or 4 out of him.
Dice and Matsui were team-mates...
now back to the show
geeeeez these commentators SUCK. My 8 yr old son would be more entertaining and would make a hell of a lot more sense.
Dice-K K
He’s a GB kind of guy so he’s not likely to run up a huge pitch count.
That said, if Morales has to pitch tonight and gets beat on what does Hurdle do? He’s got Speier but after that he’s got to eat into his quality relievers like Herges, Affeldt, Hawkins and Daisy Fuentes. Fogg did his team no favors tonight.
This is the best I can remember seeing Dice-K all season.
Your just spoiled from listening the the Boston announcers. McCarver make me want to pull my own teeth out with pliers, though.
Let’s add five more!!
No kidding. I miss Jerry Remy.
Speaking of Dante Bichette. After his best hitting days were over he tried to teach himself to throw the knuckleball. It didnt work out.
Ortiz looks fine at 1st base.
I agree.... it's a strange fad, IMHO. Real men don't wear necklaces...
Yes. Dice-K picked a great night to be "on". And I still can't believe his great hit!
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=270405107
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=270514102
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=270627112
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=270724105
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=270703102
I miss Tina Cervasio
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