Posted on 10/23/2007 5:50:12 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
vs.
Curt Schilling vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
AccuScore has run more than 10,000 simulations for every World Series game for Yahoo! Sports, calculating how each team's performance changes in response to game conditions, opponent's abilities, roster moves, weather and more. Each game is simulated one play at a time and the game is replayed a minimum of 10,000 times to generate forecasted winning percentages, player statistics and a variety of game-changing scenarios.
Boston winning 66.8 percent of World Series simulations
AccuScore simulates each playoff game and the entire playoff series 10,000 times. This season, the team that has won over 50 percent of series simulations won their series with one exception: New York won 51 percent of simulations over Cleveland. AccuScore correctly projected Colorado to upset both Philadelphia and Arizona, but in simulations vs. Boston, the Red Sox ride home-field advantage and the dominant pitching of Josh Beckett to win 66.8 percent of series simulations.
The forecast below is based on the designated starters and was run on data available as of October 23. AccuScore's proprietary algorithm weights each game's data, and as each game is played the simulation winning percentages will change. The simulation winning percentages also will change if the projected starters change.
| Game | Starters | COL | BOS | |
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| Game 1 | Francis vs. Beckett | 31.2% | 68.8% | |
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| Game 2 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 3 | Matsuzaka vs. Fogg | 52.1% | 49.2% | |
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| Game 4 | Lester vs. Cook | 56.3% | 43.7% | |
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| Game 5 | Beckett vs. Francis | 45.9% | 54.1% | |
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| Game 6 | Jimenez vs. Schilling | 35.7% | 64.3% | |
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| Game 7 | Fogg vs. Matsuzaka | 39.0% | 61.0% |
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| WIN SERIES | 33.2% | 66.8% |
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PITCHERS (11): Josh Beckett, Manny Delcarmen, Eric Gagne, Jon Lester, Javier Lopez, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Hideki Okajima, Jonathan Papelbon, Curt Schilling, Kyle Snyder, Mike Timlin.
CATCHERS (2): Doug Mirabelli, Jason Varitek.
INFIELDERS (7): Alex Cora, Eric Hinske, Mike Lowell, Julio Lugo, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia, Kevin Youkilis.
OUTFIELDERS (5): Coco Crisp, J.D. Drew, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bobby Kielty, Manny Ramirez.
CATCHERS (2): Chris Iannetta, Yorvit Torrealba.
INFIELDERS (5): Garrett Atkins, Jamey Carroll, Todd Helton, Kazuo Matsui, Troy Tulowitzki.
OUTFIELDERS (7): Jeff Baker, Brad Hawpe, Matt Holliday, Seth Smith, Ryan Spilborghs, Cory Sullivan, Willy Taveras.
How often do we see a base-runner in a JACKET?! LOL!
Gotta love it:)
starter is gone. Lasted 2 2/3rds innings
Is it hanky time yet?
This series is over!!!
Ellsbury was tenth batter...
Samckdown in progress
I guess I can stop worrying about that Ortiz/Youk thing for now...
Dice K has that classic Japanese hitting style that hasn’t changed in 35 years or more.
Fogg gets chased off the mound after 67 pitches in 2 2/3rds.
No, we’ll have fun when a guy who was fighting for his very life 12 months ago pitches a gem in Game 4 to clinch the World Series for the Red Sox.
That is amazing. From the hype I thought he had more gas in the tank.
Here comes the Colorado bullpen to shut the Red Sox down.
LOL! Well, so much for the Dragon Slayer... NICE hit by Dice-K, huh?
Manny is ticking me off, though... that hair, do-rag and helmet-tossing while running the bases had better not cost the Red Sox the World Series... :-(
Morales is only 21 years old, appeared in 3 games this postseason and has sucked.
Guess he has to eat some innings.
That would be something special,for sure.
It’s astounding...time is fleeting...
From the rock musical
THE ROCKIES HORROR PITCHER SHOW
Reaching into the bullpen so early will once again limit Hurdle’s options for tomorrow’s game.
I smell a sweep.
If that happens, I'll need one of those stupid Colorado hankies.
*LOL* Madness....takes its toll...
They've got a long ways to go they have to pitch 6 1/3rd.
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