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538 now projects Trump winner of 2024 election...This is the first time Trump has, in any of his three campaigns, led a 538 forecast.
Post Millennial ^ | June 14, 2024 | Hannah Nightingale

Posted on 06/17/2024 5:48:01 AM PDT by Red Badger

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1 posted on 06/17/2024 5:48:01 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Just wait till the first debate.


2 posted on 06/17/2024 5:49:53 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: Red Badger

What distraction will Joe Biden and company do now?

/shiny side out


3 posted on 06/17/2024 5:50:16 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Red Badger

Keep on believing, but it ain’t gonna happen. Trump’s going to lose, unless he makes an effort to molify the female vote, who pretty much hate him due to his caviler treatment of women in general.


4 posted on 06/17/2024 5:52:23 AM PDT by rod5591
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To: Red Badger

Biden will probably come out and repeatedly say that he has the greatest voter fraud machine in history. Greater than in 2018, 2020, and 2022. No one will protest it.


5 posted on 06/17/2024 5:53:55 AM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: SaveFerris
> What distraction will Joe Biden and company do now?

Are there any sites running odds that PDJT will live to see the election? The Left is more desperate every day, and they are not known for subtlety. I hope he has the best personal security available.

6 posted on 06/17/2024 5:55:15 AM PDT by dayglored (Strange Women Lying In Ponds Distributing Swords! Arthur Pendragon in 2024)
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To: Red Badger
Newsweak claims that DJT is now trailing The Big Guy in Michigan and Wisconsin. They're also suggesting that DJT's lead in other battleground states is slipping.

Who knows...maybe The Big Guy's strategy of emptying our petroleum reserves tanks to get gas prices down is being noticed by tossup voters who think that The Big Guy deserves thanks for lower prices.

7 posted on 06/17/2024 5:55:46 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Never Trust A Man Whose Uncle Was Eaten By Cannibals)
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To: Red Badger

This is just a cheap trick to make the supporters of Trump and MAGA overconfident of victory, and thus, stop striving. But the effort must continue, with a vision we are ten points behind, and everything must still be done to close that gap.

It is still within the margin of the potential fraud, that the elections could still go against Trump. No matter how badly Joe Biden’s phony façade of an administration may botch things up, they are still within striking distance of re-election.


8 posted on 06/17/2024 5:56:09 AM PDT by alloysteel (Most people slog through life without ever knowing the wonders of true insanity.)
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To: Red Badger

“this is the first time Trump has, in any of his three campaigns, led a 538 forecast. “

In other words the 538 forecasts were not terribly accurate in 2016.


9 posted on 06/17/2024 5:56:52 AM PDT by JSM_Liberty
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To: Red Badger
A 52% chance of a Trump victory isn't good enough. It's gotta be much higher than that to overcome the Fraud Factor.
10 posted on 06/17/2024 5:57:43 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Never Trust A Man Whose Uncle Was Eaten By Cannibals)
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To: Red Badger

Trump is leading Biden but don’t get excited over 538. They probably are wanting a new candidate.


11 posted on 06/17/2024 5:58:00 AM PDT by dforest ( )
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To: Gay State Conservative

How many people who don’t like either candidate will just stay home?


12 posted on 06/17/2024 5:59:31 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: JSM_Liberty
I've seen it suggested that pollsters have,in 2016 and 2020,underestimated DJT’s strength in their polls. Assuming that's true it's easy to imagine that they're doing so this year as well.
13 posted on 06/17/2024 6:00:07 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Never Trust A Man Whose Uncle Was Eaten By Cannibals)
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To: rod5591

I don’t believe so, frankly. Remember back when Megyn Kelly was a moderator and Trump made the “blood out of the eyes or wherever” comment?

Lots of kickback there and media speculation/condemnation. BUT! Go take a look at Megyn’s youtube feed on any given day now. She’s 100% on Trump’s side for the win.

The big offset factor here for anyone (even women) is Biden’s disastrous handling of the economy (i.e., the GROCERY STORE and the GAS STATION). This coupled with everyone in Democratdom hiding the fact he’s a bumbling, decrepit mentally impaired habitual liar isn’t something to hang one’s hat on.


14 posted on 06/17/2024 6:00:52 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: nwrep

Trump says during the debate, “something smells odd. Joe, did you poop your pants again?”

Biden denies and the CNN hosts get all uppity.

Trump responds, “then, Joe, why are you wearing diapers? I don’t have to wear diapers, but you do.”

Then he can challenge Joe to show that he’s not wearing diapers and tells the audience how it is known by the Secret Service that Joe poops his pants often.

Now this might not be the actual line of attack, but have the line of attack be something that is factually true, but being hidden by the MSM and Democrats. Trump says, “we have the proof. Admit it now or if you continue to deny, we will release the proof to the public right after this debate.”


15 posted on 06/17/2024 6:03:08 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: dayglored

I don’t know what will happen - it’s obvious that they’ve tried just about everything


16 posted on 06/17/2024 6:03:41 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: dfwgator
IMO that's the key. It seems to me that very few,if anyone,who voted for the Rat nominee in 2016 and 2020 will be voting for DJT this year. OTOH,how many,if any,of those people will just stay home this year? It's hard for me to imagine many of DJT’s past voters staying home...or voting for The Big Guy.
17 posted on 06/17/2024 6:04:41 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Never Trust A Man Whose Uncle Was Eaten By Cannibals)
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To: Red Badger

Means nothing. If they have been so wrong before, what makes them accurate now?


18 posted on 06/17/2024 6:05:26 AM PDT by CodeToad (Rule #1: The elites want you dead.)
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To: Red Badger
Does this factor in cheating? only two states, of the battleground states changed election laws for the better and none of the battleground states have been held accountable for any of the rampant vote stuffing that occurred in 2020.

If that doesn't change, and there is no indication it has or will, Trump will be cheated out again.

19 posted on 06/17/2024 6:06:40 AM PDT by Solson (2024 doesn't matter until we learn how to cheat better.)
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To: Red Badger

Do not underestimate the stupidity of your average low information voter.

I still think Biden wins.


20 posted on 06/17/2024 6:06:52 AM PDT by Hoboto (I blame Hippies.)
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