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Threat Matrix 2024
Jan 1, 2024 | Self

Posted on 01/01/2024 5:05:22 AM PST by Godzilla

Welcome to Threat Matrix 2024

For historical reference TM2023 link is 

https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4120141/posts?page=1#1

Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 23nd year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.

2023 has been “historic”: Continued inflation Record illegal immigration Record crime Record housing prices and Unprecedented prime lending rate increases. Push to globalize the economy, food production and energy

I expect 2024 to be even worse as we are facing, among many things -

- 2024 is a political year with all the deep divisions and turmoils that brings. - Political assassinations - The potential for a serious and deep recession - CBDC stripping Americans of their free use of money - Race and other ethnic wars in the US as illegals mark out territory - Continued massive increase in crime - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - - Continued combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Potential Chinese move on Taiwan – breaking analysis - Israel and Hezbollah/Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems. . And this is just a short list.

It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.

For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.

How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.

Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.

My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose and I don’t expect this to let up, only increase as the year progresses.

Will we even make it to the 2024 elections without things flying apart? Will the democrats / leftist manage a way to steal the election? Will the US find itself in the early stages of a civil war / national split up? The year promises to be very bumpy, so buckle up and prepare yourselves for what is to come.


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Military/Veterans; Miscellaneous; Society
KEYWORDS: globalism; news; threatmatrix; threats; tm
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
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To: Godzilla

The United States currently foots one-third of the United Nations’ budget. UN Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell said in a promotional video for COP29, “Climate finance is the great enabler.”

https://thenewamerican.com/world-news/un/united-nations-to-discuss-climate-change-at-cop2

_____________________________________________________

Trump needs to look into this because the world’s corrupt ‘elites’ might try to ‘assist’ the danger to the world by seeding the upper atmosphere to ‘get’ results that will shake then greenie money tree. (while endangering the planet) No one knows how evil they really are...


1,161 posted on 11/12/2024 9:41:17 AM PST by GOPJ (Offer illegals $2,000, free ticket home & place on list to come back IF they leave voluntarily )
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To: Godzilla
For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization. How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.

You've done a great job with this - always a nice selection of things to think about and to balance out...

1,162 posted on 11/12/2024 10:07:53 AM PST by GOPJ (Offer illegals $2,000, free ticket home & place on list to come back IF they leave voluntarily )
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To: GOPJ

Big FR thanks


1,163 posted on 11/12/2024 10:38:55 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

A little late this morning.


Globalism / Great Reset –

The True Animal Protein Price (TAPP) Coalition gave comments at the 2024 U.N. Climate Change (COP29) Conference Monday urging countries to begin taxing meat.

The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) issued a report Friday weighing the pros and cons of a tax on certain foods, including meat. TAPP Coalition raised the topic at COP29 this week, suggesting that countries should tax meat and subsidize vegetables while describing the U.S. and some Western nations as a “laggard” relative to other U.N. countries when it comes to its food pricing policies.

“We believe that COP29 and UNFCCC [United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change] conferences thereafter can only be successful if the closing statement includes transitioning away from animal protein overconsumption according to national or global dietary guidelines by implementing greenhouse gas emission pricing mechanisms in agri-food systems,” Willem Branten, public affairs and policy officer at TAPP, said at the conference this week. “We urge the EU Commission, the OECD and China to lead the way towards these harmonized pricing mechanisms.”

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/11/12/animal-protein-overconsumption-un-climate-confab-attendees-urge-countries-to-implement-tax-on-meat/

OBSERVATION - Screw them. Just put a half of beef into the freezer with an average price of $4.60/lb - can’t even get hamburger at the store for that price. Just another effort to kill agriculture for the bogus climate change mantra


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Down graded due to lack of activity.

“It is important to note at the outset that there is no reason Democratic activists should abandon their values just because they lost this election. Our system is strengthened by passionate and active advocacy.

Rather, it is the collective fury and delirium of the post-election protests that was so disconcerting. Pundits lashed out at the majority of voters, insisting that the election established that half of the nation is composed of racists, misogynists or domination addicts who long to submit to tyranny.

Others blamed free speech and the fact that social media allows “disinformation” to be read by ignorant voters. In other words, the problem could not possibly be themselves. It was, rather, the public, which refused to listen. . . .

Our prior periods of rage politics were largely ended by the public in major election shifts like the one this month. Things, however, are different this time around both politically and legally. The problem for the resistance is the very democracy that they claimed to be saving. . . .

The “second resistance” will try to use state power to oppose the very issues and policies that led to this historic political shift. That means that there will be a legal shift in the focus of litigation to inherent federal powers versus state powers. That battle will favor the Trump administration.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/11/resistance-2-0-why-the-campaign-against-trump-is-different-this-time/

OBSERVATION - This op-ed by Turley is insightful and may grant a peek under the hood for democrat actions going into Trump’s second term.

***
Federal officials are facing increased scrutiny after a whistleblower alleged that disaster relief efforts were intentionally denied to supporters of then-candidate Donald Trump. According to a report from The Daily Wire, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) supervisor Marn’i Washington told employees under her authority to “avoid homes advertising Trump” while administering disaster relief in Lake Placid, Florida, following the devastating 2024 hurricane season. At least 20 houses with Trump signs or Trump flags displayed were skipped over by FEMA with employees designating the houses with variations of “Trump sign no entry per leadership.”

https://harbingersdaily.com/fema-faces-national-outcry-after-employees-were-told-to-skip-over-hurricane-victims-who-displayed-trump-signs/

OBSERVATION - Marn’i Washington has since come out and publicly stated that she was following instructions that came from even higher up and others throughout the disaster areas were issuing the same edicts, but she was being scapegoated. The whole FEMA response in predominantly RED southeast US shows just how deep the woke and anti Trump cancer of weaponized govt has gotten. This is essentially war against the America people.

***
Leftist groups are starting to recruit forces to protest at Trump’s inauguration in January. This effort is a solid probability for violence and needs closer monitoring.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

OPEC lowered its global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 due to weaker demand revisions in China and other Asian markets.

This marks the fourth consecutive month of downward revisions by OPEC, reflecting concerns about a slowdown in China’s economic growth.

OPEC’s reduced demand forecast may impact its production cut decisions and lead to a weaker oil market outlook citing downward revisions in China and other Asian markets after seeing actual consumption data year to date.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/OPEC-Slashes-Oil-Demand-Growth-Estimate-Again.html

OBSERVATION - Global oil price weakness has been seen here in the US over the past couple of months. Key take away IMHO is that China’s manufacturing (and spill over into Asia in general) malaise is continuing and possibly worsening. Here in the US, similar manufacturing and economic woes are depressing the market in general. Good economy places demands on oil supplies because things are busy and moving. Economic slumps decrease demand and in turn decrease prices as supply exceeds use. While I’m happy paying 2.99/gal, I know things can whip-snap in an instant.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th

After years of feminizing the US military through DEI initiatives, a new executive order under consideration by the Trump transition team would establish a “warrior board” of retired senior military personnel which would be granted the power to review three- and four-star officers and recommend any removals of those deemed unfit for leadership.

A draft review of the Executive Order seen by the Wall Street Journal could fast-track generals and admirals found to be “lacking in requisite leadership qualities,” given President-elect Donald Trump’s past vow to fire “woke generals” who have promoted diversity among the ranks at the expense of military readiness.

As commander in chief, Trump can fire any officer at will, but an outside board whose members he appoints would bypass the Pentagon’s regular promotion system, signaling across the military that he intends to purge a number of generals and admirals.

The draft order says it aims to establish a review that focuses “on leadership capability, strategic readiness, and commitment to military excellence.” The draft doesn’t specify what officers need to do or present to show if they meet those standards. The draft order originated with one of several outside policy groups collaborating with the transition team, and is one of numerous executive orders under review by Trump’s team, a transition official said. -WSJ

The board would be made up of retired generals and noncommissioned officers, who would send their recommendations to Trump. Those identified for removal would be retired at their current rank within 30 days.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-warrior-board-would-purge-woke-generals-us-military-leadership

OBSERVATION - Anyone looking at Trumps appointments so far can plainly see he has declared war on the deep swamp. From this pending action against the perfumed princes in the Pentagon, to the slug infested netherworlds of the DoJ and FBI and beyond, he is taking no prisoners this time. He’s had 8 years to mull over what happened to him by the swamp and now apparent poor choices for cabinet officials, and has hit the ground far better prepared - and with a mandate.

***
Sens. John Thune (R-SD) and John Cornyn (R-TX) signaled they will work with Trump if they are elected as Senate GOP leader today.

OBSERVATION - Lucy with football. . . . . .

***
NYPost. Special Counsel Jack Smith plans to retire before Trump takes office.

OBSERVATION - Retirement will NOT stop the blowback as it is documented that he committed felonies in the prosecution of Trump.


Biden / Harris Watch –

The harris campaign and celebrities who endorsed her are facing legal issues now. The campaign paid millions for the endorsements from celebrities like Oprah Winfrey, Beyoncé and Usher. Because of the payment, FEC rules require that the public be informed that the endorsement is a paid endorsement, not one freely given (as portrayed by the campaign).


North/South Korea –

South Korea has accused North Korea of disrupting GPS signals from border areas, affecting dozens of flights and ship operations.
North Korea’s GPS signal jamming took place on Friday and Saturday and was detected from around the cities of Kaesong and Haeju, officials said.
“We urge North Korea to stop GPS interference provocations immediately and strongly warn that it will be held fully accountable for any resulting consequences,” South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff said.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/11/dozens-of-flights-ships-disrupted-after-north-korea-jams-gps-signals-seoul-says/


Phillipines –

China is stepping up pressure on the Philippines to concede its sovereign rights in the South China Sea, Manila’s Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro said Tuesday after meeting his Australian counterpart in Canberra.
The fifth such meeting since August 2023 reflects growing security ties between the countries, which have both voiced concern about Chinese activity in areas of the busy waterway claimed by the Philippines and other Southeast Asian nations.
“What we see is an increasing demand by Beijing for us to concede our sovereign rights in the area,” Teodoro said after meeting Australian counterpart Richard Marles, adding that the Philippines was a “victim of Chinese aggression.”

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/philippines-china-south-china-sea/2024/11/12/id/1187686/

***

Philippine President Marcos passed two maritime laws last week in a move that Manila says will strengthen its sovereignty over waters within the country’s archipelago and the South China Sea.

Using standards set forth by the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), the Philippine Maritime Zones Act and Philippine Archipelagic Sea Lanes Act identify the country’s internal waters, archipelagic waters, territorial sea, contiguous zone, exclusive economic zone, continental shelf and sea lanes. Manila wants these acts to solidify its rights and sovereignty within the Philippines’ maritime zones.

“With these pieces of legislation, we align our domestic laws with international law, specifically the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea or UNCLOS, improve our capacity for governance and reinforce our maritime policies for economic development and for national security,” Marcos said during the signing ceremony.

https://news.usni.org/2024/11/12/new-philippine-laws-define-maritime-zones-in-the-south-china-sea


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with scattered showers and rain in the forecast.

RUMINT –
Russian forces in the Kursk region plan to invade the Sumy region of Ukraine which borders the Kursk Oblast during the offensive.
Source: The Telegraph

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 37 Shahed-type drones, 2 ballistic Iskander-M/KN-23 missiles, 2 cruise missiles Kh-101. 4 ballistic missiles were launched at Kyiv

Russian Ministry of Defense claims shooting down 29 Ukrainian drones overnight, including over Penza and Tver regions

Ukrainian General Staff confirmed drone attack at the oil depot in Staryi Oskol district of Belgorod region

North Korean troops dispatched to Russia engaging in combat: South Korean spy agency

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Ukraine’s forces in the Kursk region repelled the initial phase of an expected Russian counteroffensive, resulting in Moscow suffering a one-day record number of casualties, according to Ukrainian officials.
Roughly 1,950 Russian troops were killed or wounded Monday, The Telegraph reported. This is an upward revision of the initial estimate of 1720 losses.

Summary —

Russians may be planning on its next cruise missile blitz. The two Kh-101 cruise missiles were fired by strategic bombers from over the Caspian Sea. Some analysts think this may have been a test of Ukraine ADA response and deployments in advance of a much larger attack. It has been a while since the last major missile attack.

Russia is pretty silent on any progress of its Kursk counter-offensive. Ukraine reports indicate that it has been a near disaster for Russian forces, using the same tactics that have stalled previous attacks.

Rumors of an attack into Sumy as well as in the south keep coming out. I see these as unlikely because Russia is already devoted a lot of resource to the Donbas as well as Kursk. Unless they have more equipped forces squirreled away, I don’t think they have the capability to do anything.

On the Donbas front, Russia has penetrated with a couple company sized attacks, but there doesn’t appear to be any way they can exploit them beyond their initial gains.


Europe / NATO General –

NATO chief said that Russia’s cooperation with North Korea, Iran and China threatens Europe, North America and the Indo-Pacific region


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- biden keeps arms coming to Israel

——— GENERAL ——————————-

The Biden administration said Tuesday that Israel has made good but limited progress in increasing the flow of humanitarian aid to Gaza and therefore it will not limit arms transfers to Israel as it had threatened to a month ago if the situation had not improved.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-aid-us/2024/11/12/id/1187765/

***
Rumors that Trump has told Netanyahu that he wants things wrapped up in Gaza and Lebanon by the time he steps into office this coming January. No conditions on Iran mentioned.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

Israel army consolidates its presence in Gaza Strip with new roads, infrastructure and buildings, according to Haaretz investigation. A senior army commander was quoted saying that the army will stay there at least until 2026

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

The IDF announced it has destroyed most of Hezbollah’s weapons manufacturing and storage sites in Beirut through recent airstrikes. Hezbollah had built numerous weapons facilities under civilian buildings in the Dahiyeh area over the past two decades, storing and manufacturing hundreds of missiles and rockets. Secondary explosions during the strikes confirmed IDF intelligence.

One major site, revealed by Israel at the UN in 2020, was under five residential buildings housing around 50 families and near a school.

Hezbollah has increased its rocket, missile and drone attacks in the past few days, probably in response.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Chief of Staff of the Israeli Army: We are carrying out many raids inside Syria and on its borders with Lebanon to prevent the transfer of weapons to Hezbollah

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Reports of explosions tonight near the Mission Support Site Conoco where coalition forces are based. Reports of helicopter and fast air activity over the region. Initial estimates explosions were artillery fire on IRGC backed militia positions.

US Central Command announces carrying out strikes against weapons depots of Iranian-backed militias in Syria

Syrian Observatory: 5 members of pro-Iranian militias killed in US strike in Albukamal

***
The Pentagon confirms that a few hours ago the Houthis attacked the two American destroyers in the Red Sea with at least eight drones, 5 ballistic missiles and 3 cruise missiles.
Both the U.S. Navy and Air Force responded with several overnight strikes on Tuesday, against Houthi Weapon Storage Facilities in Western Yemen; with the F-35C seeing its combat debut, as Marine Fighter Attack Squadron 314 (VMFA-314), stationed aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72), participated in the strikes.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Turkish President Erdogan: “We severed relations with Israel”

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

The Trump shockwave continues. As noted below under Iran, they claim that their response to Israel’s strike is on hold pending negotiations with Trump. Now remember, this report is borderline RUMINT but does make sense in a way given how iran’s threats have suddenly calmed down. What the warning message may be is unknown but may consist of reiterating that Trump fully supports Israel taking out Iran’s nuclear program among other things. What leverage Iran may have in these talks is uncertain, as Trump’s picks for key positions are very hawkish towards Iran.

An Iranian attack is still on the radar for now, but chances are dropping by the day.

So to is Israel’s threatened response to the assassination attempt on Netanyahu. Political changes in DC may be delaying that as well.

Hezbollah continues to be hammered with its key weapons facilities and stockpiles in Beirut being destroyed. Attacks by Hezbollah have picked up in the past few days but are still relatively low, in the few hundred combined range (rockets, missile and drones). Staging for the next phase of the ground offensive continue.

Gaza is well into the end game. N Gaza is virtually cleared of Hamas and now the rest of the country is under pressure. Will Trump get a hostage break like Reagan did? Hamas is not Iran, so I doubt it.


Iran –

Iranian sources to Sky News Arabia: Iran delayed its response to Israel to open negotiations with Trump after a warning message it received via Baghdad.

OBSERVATION - Trump’s appointments have set a clear message to Iran and now a rumored warning. We’ll see soon if this is a ruse or not.


Syria -

ISIS conducted 14 attacks in Syria over the past week, including 3 days of multiple, simultaneous raids on Assad government positions outside al-Sukhna in the Homs desert

OBSERVATION - ISIS is a growing threat once again within Syria and will force Syria to divert resources from its civil war to battle the resurgence.



1,164 posted on 11/13/2024 9:21:00 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
Leftist groups are starting to recruit forces to protest at Trump’s inauguration in January. This effort is a solid probability for violence and needs closer monitoring.

Reeks of an 'insurrection' to me. Maybe we can get an 'Ebbs' to 'help them along'... Just kidding we're not scum of the earth like them...

1,165 posted on 11/13/2024 9:30:49 AM PST by GOPJ (Offer illegals $2,000, free ticket home & place on list to come back IF they leave voluntarily )
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To: Godzilla

So how do the globalist plan on growing enough food to make up for the lack of meat in our diets when they are destroying the very agriculture they will need?

The fertilizers, herbicides, and pesticides they spray on crops are not good for us either.

I’ll take the meat, thankyouverymuch.

It’ll certainly be interesting to see what happens with RFK Jr involved with all this.


1,166 posted on 11/13/2024 9:42:15 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: metmom

They don’t plan to have enough food. Population control and reduction is their priority


1,167 posted on 11/13/2024 2:15:55 PM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla

And that is the obvious conclusion.

I know their big goal is population reduction.


1,168 posted on 11/13/2024 2:24:57 PM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024

U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) officers working at the El Paso port of entry stopped a 2011 Honda Ridgeline driven by a 32-year-old Mexican national as it crossed the Bridge of the Americas (BOTA) international crossing. At the primary screening checkpoint, CBP officers decided to direct the Honda Ridgeline to a secondary screening station, where officers ran the SUV through a low-energy portal scan. It identified possible anomalies hidden in the Mexican vehicle.

A Mexican man was arrested trying to smuggle 11,100 rounds of 7.62×39 into the United States from Mexico.

https://www.ammoland.com/2024/11/11000-rounds-of-7-62x39-seized-at-mexican-border/

OBSERVATION - Linked to illegal immigration as well. Some note that the movement of ammo is usually the other way around - from the US to Mexico. This has lead some to believe that this ammo is for Cartel and other criminal elements that don’t want any traceable munitions.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

More numbers coming out today and tomorrow.


Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The George Washington Carrier Strike Group began its participation in the second iteration of the U.S. – Japan – South Korea trilateral multi-domain exercise Freedom Edge, which began on Wednesday and wraps up on Friday.

The trilateral exercise, agreed to by the three countries during the Camp David summit in August 2023, comes in the wake of North Korea’s Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) launch on Oct. 31 and Short Range Ballistic Missile launches on Nov. 5. The U.S. had responded to North Korea’s ICBM launch with a joint air drill on Nov. 3 with Japan and South Korea involving a U.S. Air Force (USAF) B-1 bomber and fighter aircraft from all three countries.

“The three countries strongly condemned North Korea’s provocation, including its ICBM test launch, that undermine peace and stability in the region, including the Korean Peninsula, during recent high-level consultations, and this training reflected their will to deter and respond to such threats,” reads a South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) release on the exercise.

https://news.usni.org/2024/11/13/george-washington-carrier-strike-group-begins-u-s-japan-south-korea-exercise


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics

Growing evidence that the mRNA jabs do far more damage to the natural immune system that previously announced by the CDC and big pharma. One study showed that those infected with AIDS had their immune systems collapse very quickly (within as short as a year) after being jabbed.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th

Multiple leftist media mouthpieces are in a tailspin following the election. The Washington Post and the LA Times firing their editorial staff, tacking to be more ‘neutral’ in reporting. CNN and MSNBC are teetering on the end. Even the nefarious “The View” is taking shots at the water level for their rants. (why haven’t those hags deported themselves as promised?)

***
Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) has been elected Senate majority leader, setting the stage for him to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell (Ky.), who has held the top Senate GOP leadership job for the past 18 years.

OBSERVATION - MAGA is disappointed in the selection and the secret meeting to shield senators votes. Thune has promised to advance the MAGA agenda, but being the underling of McConnell, there are serious doubts about his sincerity and dedication to that promise.

***
Liberal and establishment republicans heads have been exploding at some of Trump’s appointments this week. None more than the nomination of Gaetz to AG. He has essentially burned the boats by resigning his house seat and is looking full on towards the confirmation process.
JD Vance weighed in tonight on the nomination of Matt Gaetz for Attorney General and it was awesome.

Here’s the tweet from Vance:

“The main issue with Matt Gaetz is that he used his office to prosecute his political opponents and authorized federal agents to harass parents who were peacefully protesting at school board meetings. Oh wait, that’s actually Merrick Garland, the current attorney general.”

https://therightscoop.com/jd-vance-weighs-in-on-matt-gaetz-ag-nomination-with-a-zinger/


Biden / Harris Watch –

People noting just how happy biden appeared to be in photos with Trump. Jill Biden feeling the love from both Harris as well as Meloina


Russia -

*****

November 14, 2024: There are things Russia does not want to deal with or be reminded of. One of these forgettable items is the loss of the Black Sea Fleet and the inability for the Russian navy to operate in the Black Sea. Russia recently held its annual naval exercises and this year none of those operations took place in the Black Sea. Over the last three years Russia has lost 29 warships in the Black Sea and doesn’t want to lose any more.

https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htwin/articles/202411140113.aspx#gsc.tab=0

NOTE - Ukraine has targeted elements of the Black Sea fleet in the adjacent Sea of Azov as well.

Economic Impact –

H/T TIK
Posted on 11/13/2024 7:46:59 AM PST by marcusmaximus
Russian staples including potatoes, bread and dairy are soaring in price thanks to Vladimir Putin’s war against Ukraine.
Russia’s soaring inflation is hitting basic supermarket staples with the price of potatoes rising a staggering 64%.
The increased cost of spuds has been put down to bad weather, rising production costs, wage increases and a shortage of labour amid Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Rosstat figures show Russians face widespread food price rises, with reports people are even stealing butter


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with snow in the first portions of the forecast period and rain/snow at the end of the period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Winter has arrived in Kharkiv. Today, icy roads and wet snow are expected across most of Ukraine.

The Ukrainian Air Force reported on a drone attack overnight. All 59 Shahed drones that were launched were taken down by air defense (21) or electronic warfare (38).

Russian losses per 14/11/24 reported by the Ukrainian general staff
+1690 men
+19 tanks
+51 AFVs
+64 artillery pieces
+3 MLRS

Current estimate of Russian losses is approximately 716,000 and that half of those losses are associated with 2024 operations.

Kurakhivka water reservoir lost half of its water volume due to the damage to the dam.

Besides operations in Kursk, Russia continues to press the fight in the Donbas region.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Reporting by either side is limited, but releases by Ukraine indicate that the Russian counter-offensive is not going as planned.

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Russian ministry of defense claims full occupation of Voznesenka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine

Bakhmut / Chasiv Yar -

Ukraine forces regained territory in the Chasiv Yar area.

Kupyansk axis -

Ukraine’s military said on Thursday its troops were in full control of the northeastern Ukrainian city of Kupiansk and that their forces had stopped a Russian advance towards the railway hub.
A Russian-installed official said earlier that Moscow’s forces were gaining a foothold on the outskirts of the city, more than 2½ years since Russia launched its full-scale invasion.
Kupiansk was seized by Moscow’s forces in the early days of their February 2022 invasion and recaptured by Ukrainian troops in a rapid counter-offensive months later. In recent months, the area has seen an upsurge of activity by Russian forces.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/ukraine-russia-war/2024/11/14/id/1188007/
.

Summary —

I haven’t posted personnel losses too much over the course of the war, given how they can be manipulated by both sides for propaganda purposes. However, as I’ve posted in the past, the Ukraine numbers are generally very close to those produced by Western nations/intelligence sources. A surge in losses during offensive operations is generally to be expected. But with the lack of terrain being captured, those losses take a big bite out of the Russian effort.

Russia assault pattern time and again seems to be a column of armor speeds down a road, lead vehicles get hit and stops the column or they try to bypass the disabled / destroyed vehicle (normally a tank) whereupon they start hitting mines or are taken out by ATGMs with FPV drones cleaning up the remainder and going after fleeing troops. No evidence of suppressive artillery fire or even use of smoke to cover the movement.

The onset of snow and heavier rains is going to slow down Russia’s assaults soon and their forces will be struggling to keep warm and avoid disease. This will give Ukraine time to reinforce defenses and even launch some limited attacks for tactical repositioning.

With winter, expect Russia to step up the attacks on Ukraine infrastructure - particularly power and heat. Could be why the Russian appeared to test the water with strategic bombers simulating attack runs and firing a few cruise missiles - to test Ukraine ADA responses.


Poland –

US and Polish officials inaugurated a Nato missile defense base in northern Poland, with Polish officials welcoming it as a significant step in securing the country and the Nato alliance at a time of war in neighboring Ukraine.
The US missile defense base, which is being integrated into Nato’s defense, was originally planned under US President George W. Bush as a way to protect Europe from ballistic threats from Iran.
Poland, however, has always seen it as a form of US protection in case of Russia aggression, fears that have grown since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

https://www.scmp.com/news/world/europe/article/3286512/us-opens-missile-defence-base-poland-russia-has-long-protested?utm_source=rss_feed


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Offensive expands in S Lebanon

- US spy caught in release of classified materials on Israel

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Israeli army: We attacked more than 100 targets in Gaza and Lebanon in the past 24 hours

***

Nearly a month ago highly classified US intelligence detailing Israeli plans for a retaliation attack against Iran appeared online. The pair of documents were prepared by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, and the leak immediately kicked off a massive federal investigation and hunt for the leaker.

On Wednesday federal prosecutors have revealed an arrest, with the NY Times reporting that “The man, Asif W. Rahman, was indicted last week in federal court in Virginia with two counts of willful retention and transmission of national defense information.” He had worked for the US government overseas, and is being charged with two counts of violating the Espionage Act. The Times has followed with an update identifying him as a CIA official.

He was arrested by the FBI in Cambodia and taken to Guam for holding.

OBSERVATION -
Just what the heck is he doing in Cambodia! Mission assignment or trying to get to a country that won’t extradite him. There is probably a lot more to this than what is being released.

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

Operations have slowed down, however, Hamas keeps getting hammered when they come out into the open. Israel is not afraid to engage Hamas even when they embed with refugees. Recent example is an airstrike on a rocket launcher set up in a tent refugee center - supposed to be demilitarized.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Heavy fighting reported between Israeli forces and Hezbollah fighters in the western sector of the border.

S Beirut hammered again overnight in the Hezbollah sector.

The IDF began to advance north to a second line of villages in southern Lebanon. Division 36 is advancing north, beyond the initial line of the 3-4 kilometer already occupied and many villages in it have been destroyed!

Times of Israel reports that if Hezbollah does not agree to the latest US-Israeli ceasefire proposal, the IDF will continue to advance further into Lebanon

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Israeli army: Our fighter jets attacked today the transport hubs of the Pro-Assad forces on the Syrian-Lebanese border.
A series of Israeli raids on Shinshar, Al-Daf Bridge, Al-Qusayr, and Al-Dabaa checkpoint in the Homs countryside

The IDF conducted airstrikes on routes between Lebanon and Syria used by Hezbollah’s Unit 4400 to smuggle weapons from Iran. Syrian state media reported significant damage to bridges and roads near al-Qusayr. The IDF claims this is a major setback for Hezbollah’s smuggling operations.

***
The Syrian news agency “SANA” reports on several explosions heard in the city of Homs, Syria.

***
Reports of massive explosions in Damascus, Syria overnight

———WEST BANK——————————-

Israeli Israeli security forces operation in the town of Beita, south of Nablus, and the town of Taybeh, west of Jenin, in the West Bank

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

I don’t always mention, but daily, a few drones come in from Iranian backed militias in Iraq and Syria.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Israeli intelligence officials have identified Dutch organizations with Hamas ties as the primary instigators of last week’s disturbances in Amsterdam, according to a report released Wednesday by Israel’s Diaspora Affairs Ministry.

The report details how several local organizations allegedly utilized social media platforms to heighten tensions and orchestrate attacks against Maccabi Tel Aviv soccer fans following their match against a Dutch team. Evidence includes screenshots from that evening showing explicit calls for violence and coordinated sharing of locations and tactical information.

The report identifies the Palestinian Community in the Netherlands (PGNL) as the primary organization behind the violence, claiming it maintains direct connections to Hamas.

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/israel-officials-hamas/2024/11/14/id/1188009/

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Realties of the Trump election continue to hover over the region. Evidence continues to point to Iran putting the brakes on an imminent missile strike on Israel and is trying to curry favor with Trump before he reenters the WH. Part of this may be accepting new UN scrutiny of their nuclear program as a way to mitigate likely Trump sanctions and/or Israeli - US airstrikes to eliminate the program.
IRGC is still beating their chests about revenge, but otherwise not doing anything else discernible in the OSINT realms.

In Lebanon, Hezbollah is helpless to prevent Israel from reducing its redoubt in S Beirut into rubble. They have lost a lot of facilities and munitions. In the south, elements of Hezbollah fighters are putting up reasonable resistance to Israel’s second phase of its movement toward the Litiani River. They suffer heavy losses when fixed in place by Israeli forces and are bombed into oblivion by the IAF. This is in part why they avoid being decisively engaged.

Peace talks continue between Israel and the Lebanese govt. This is in some ways odd since Israel isn’t at war with lebanon, but the terrorist of Hezbollah. But any long lasting peace has to be lead by a strong Lebanese govt and response. Until Hezbollah has been further reduced and the Lebanese govt believing it is strong enough to hold them in check, any final peace will be delayed.

Gaza continues to transition to Israeli controls and search and destroy operations rounding up the fragments of Hamas and its allies. Indicators continue to show that Israel intends to turn N Gaza into a military district to keep any future Hamas rocket launchers and infrastructure from threatening populated areas of Israel ever again. S Gaza, Israel has taken control of smuggling routes, cutting off Hamas supplies and materials. This leaves Gazans confined to portions of Central and S Gaza where Hamas is more easily controlled. The fact that Hamas is reaching out to its other arch enemy - Fatah - for an agreement on rulership of the rubble is evidence of just how torn apart Hamas is.

Right now, Israel’s biggest threat is Iran and readiness for an attack is still number one. How much Iran is willing to allow itself to be put back into the box in order to protect its covert nuclear weapons programs as well as its petroleum industry is yet to be seen.


Iran –

Deputy Commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards: said “We will deliver a harsh response to Israel”. His threats came after a report that Tehran delays its planned response to Israel’s attack - which was a response to Iran’s attack - for perusing talks with Trump

***
UN nuclear watchdog chief Rafael Grossi has arrived in Tehran. It’s his first visit to Iran since the relatively moderate Masoud Pezeshkian became president. Ahead of his visit, Grossi said the 2015 nuclear deal is now an ‘empty shell’ and called for a new negotiated arrangement


Turkey –

Turkey has now cut off all ties with Israel.


Mexico -

Mexico’s govt is eyeing impacts from Trump’s announced deportation plan. About 4% of Mexico’s economy relies upon remittance sent back by Mexicans - here legally and illegally - and authorities don’t want to lose that source of income.



1,169 posted on 11/14/2024 6:21:14 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla; Liz

current DNI.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avril_Haines

Godzilla and Liz - what’s your take on this issue and on Tulsi?


1,170 posted on 11/14/2024 6:34:42 AM PST by GOPJ (Offer illegals $2,000, free ticket home & place on list to come back IF they leave voluntarily )
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To: GOPJ

Tulsi has done some good things——as when she outed Harris for Trump WRT forcing Harris out of her first prez primary.

That carried some weight for Trump.

And when I see the sorry Biden DNI today......
yikes......Tulsi looks better and better.


1,171 posted on 11/14/2024 7:02:30 AM PST by Liz ( )
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To: GOPJ

I don’t see any problems the jump out. Yes she was a democrat now republican but then so was Reagan.


1,172 posted on 11/14/2024 7:52:49 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Liz
*And when I see the sorry Biden DNI today...... yikes......Tulsi looks better and better.

Same here - thanks.

1,173 posted on 11/14/2024 3:04:08 PM PST by GOPJ (Offer illegals $2,000, free ticket home & place on list to come back IF they leave voluntarily )
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To: Godzilla

LOL Me too - democrat for many years. Thanks zilla...


1,174 posted on 11/14/2024 3:04:58 PM PST by GOPJ (Offer illegals $2,000, free ticket home & place on list to come back IF they leave voluntarily )
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Running late - early morning errands.


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Down graded due to lack of activity.

The folks at Forward Observer are noting some initial planning for the resistance to Trump and the America First agenda. Over the past week, left wing political and social activists groups held multiple strategy calls to identify a way forward in opposing the incoming Trump administration. They note that fear mongering was very high and that there was a continuation of the Hitler, facist, etc mantra. The response and plans at this stage appear to be targeting political actions and not violent protests, though those haven’t been ruled out.

***
There are numerous pro-Hamas rallies at numerous cities this weekend. Potential for violence is low, but stay alert anyway.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

(FO) The euro plummets to its lowest mark in a year, as the U.S. dollar soars to its highest mark since November 2022. The dollar’s rally is gaining momentum alongside Donald Trump’s election victory and threats of sweeping tariffs, weakening the euro, yen, and Canadian dollar. Helen Given, a foreign-exchange trader at Monex, expects steady dollar strength into 2026, with the euro becoming one of the most vulnerable currencies in the world.

OBSERVATION - Strength of the dollar was also reflected in the significant drop in Gold and Silver prices over the past week.


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th

The fired FEMA supervisor who told subordinates to skip hurricane-ravaged homes with Trump signs did a sit-down interview on Fox News and said that staff had the right to not go to homes with Trump signs if they were uncomfortable, similar to them avoiding homes with aggressive dogs on the property.

Marn’i Washington says this was FEMA policy, and it applied in other states beyond Florida affected by the hurricanes. She says she’s being made the scapegoat because she wrote the directive, which was later leaked to Daily Wire.

https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1857163980017705139?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA

OBSERVATION - Some modification to her story, but this is getting worse in that FEMA viewed Trump supporters as the equivalent to ‘aggressive dogs’.

***
(FO) New Senate GOP leader Sen. John Thune (R-SD) said “all options are on the table” to clear President-elect Trump’s nominations through the Senate, including recess appointments. Thune added that he has talked with House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) about using the budget reconciliation process to fund Trump’s agenda.

OBSERVATION - He better hold to his word.

***
Word is coming from many agencies such as the FBI, DoJ, HHS and the DoD of mass resignations/retirements if Trump’s selected appointees are confirmed.

Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Sabrina Singh highlighted the potential consequences of President-elect Donald Trump’s stated goal to remove “woke” military leaders, during a Thursday press briefing, warning that such actions could significantly impact military operations and morale. Reportedly, Trump’s transition team is drawing up lists of military officers to be fired, potentially to include the Joint Chiefs of Staff and appointments made by Mark Milley (who is high on the list to be charged officially with treason.

OBSERVATION - Accountability is the word for all these agencies. 0bama purged over 170 generals / senior officers during his reign, and the ones he left were those who are under the microscope now for their commitment to social progress (and socialism ) versus maintaining the war fighting capability of the military.


Illegal Immigration –

The latest news comes from the great state of Tennessee which has unfortunately allowed TDA, a Venezuelan street gang, to set up operations in all major cities in the tri-star state.

The TBI said that not only is this dangerous gang growing nationwide, but it is also impacting every major city across Tennessee.
‘We know they are on a pathway to more violence,’ TBI director, David Rausch said.
Rausch warned Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee in a budget hearing Tuesday about the rising threat of ‘Tren de Aragua,’ a violent criminal group.
‘They are back in all our major cities. They are running human trafficking operations,’ he added.

https://notthebee.com/article/this-venezuelan-gang-is-now-operating-in-every-city-in-tennessee

OBSERVATION - Elimination of TDA and other imported gangs is on the top half of the agenda for the new border patrol chief. This group of illegals will have the least public support because of their violent actions in US cities.


North/South Korea –

North Korean State Media is reporting that Supreme-Leader Kim Jong Un has ordered the full-scale mass production of one-way aerial attack drones, as their “scope of use in military activities is expanding” and their Implementation on the battlefield has been observed during both the war in Israel and Ukraine.

OBSERVATION - This move has direct support from Russia written all over it. This is a whole new technology to NK and while Russia will be the immediate beneficiary once production gets ramped up, there will be as substantial threat to SK as Kim’s next step will be to tailor these drones for use the the theatre.


Russia -

Logistics –

North Korea’s Kim orders mass production of suicide attack drones: KCNA

Economic Impact –

The EU is preparing a 15th package of sanctions against Russia, targeting the “shadow fleet” of tankers used by Moscow to secretly deliver oil to the market.
The new sanctions, which may be approved by year-end, will also target individuals involved in illegal Russian oil trade.

***
The Ruble is now worth just 1 US cent again, as Russia’s currency continues a months-long slide, coupled with skyrocketing internal inflation.
The Russian Central Bank is getting increasingly worried about the rapidly increasing price inflation of essential items in the Russian consumer economy.

OBSERVATION - Some analysts are suggesting that the developing implosion in 2025 of the Russian economy could be the driving cause for Russia to move quicker towards some kind of agreement with Ukraine and to try to do so in the projected position of strength and not during a period of severe economic and resultant political and civic turmoil .


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with snow in the first portions of the forecast period and rain/snow at the end of the period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 25 Shahed-type drones and a Kh-59/69 missile overnight. There is damage to civilian infrastructure in Odesa from the attack.

Large-scale Ukrainian drone attack into Russia’s Krasnodar Krai overnight, with dozens of Ukrainian UAVs launched into Russia. The target was the Krymsk military airfield. The Russian MoD claims 51 drones were “shot down” during the night.

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Russia is maintaining a grim silence as things continue to not go well for them.

A summary of losses suffered by the Russian 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade during (ongoing) counterattacks in the Kursk region from Nov. 7 to 13. Cooperation mainly between SOF and the 95th Air Assault Brigade.

Destroyed/Damaged beyond repair:
30x BTR-82A armored carrier
10x 3-STS Akhmat armored vehicle
1x Tigr-M Gaz-233114 armored vehicle
3x T-72 tank
1x T-62 tank
1x MT-LB armored carrier
1x Ural-53099 Typhoon-UT armored vehicle

Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -

Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Stepanivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine

Bakhmut / Chasiv Yar -

Ukraine forces regained territory in the Chasiv Yar area.

Summary —

Actions on the ground by both sides are taking an increased importance in the light of Trump’s election and claim to get the fighting to stop.
putin is reportedly showing some desperation to regain Kursk so that he won’t have to worry about territory trades in any peace plan. Once thought that he had ordered the recapture of the territory by the end of October, now word is that if must be regained before trump is sworn in. In spite of 50K troops, Russian forces have been stopped again and again. The latest attacks have resulted in the highest casualty rates in over a year. The reported losses of the 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade above would indicate hundreds of casualties for that unit alone besides the loss of critical equipment.

I’m suspecting that Russia is building to another massive missile/drone attack soon now that the winter cold is beginning to set in and much of Ukraine is short of power / heat.

One wild card thought floating the inter webs concerns the potential for Ukraine to make its own atomic bomb. They have the smart people and more so - an abundant source of weapons grade plutonium found in the spent nuclear fuel rods. It is suspected that Ukraine can accomplish the creation of a bomb in a matter of weeks/months. This would be a act of desperation as it would throw the region into a nuclear war.


Europe / NATO General –

GEORGIA - Georgia’s breakaway region Abkhazia:
Protesters in Sukhumi, Abkhazia breached the perimeter fence of the regional parliament and clashed with police. And removing a fence around regional parliament building Protesting against “Russia investments agreement”

https://x.com/liveuamap/status/1857360495600157057?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA

OBSERVATION - the country is already tense following the disputed election. In the past it would be expected that Russia would ship troops into the breakaway region - that is not expected due to the Ukraine war.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Talks continue towards a Lebanese peace plan

- IDF continues to move northward in the western sector.

- S Beirut is hit some more, taking out Hezbollah targets

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Israeli army Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari says the military has struck over 300 Hezbollah targets in Lebanon in the past week, including 40 in Beirut. “We are striking across Lebanon, from Dahiyeh to Damascus,” he says in a press conference. The targets in Lebanon included weapons depots, commander centers, and rocket launchers according to Hagari. “We have identified that there are rockets and other weapons, that Hezbollah is launching at Israel, that were manufactured in Syria, and were transferred to Hezbollah from Syria,” he continues, vowing that the Israeli army will strike “all attempts to transfer weapons from Syria to Hezbollah and strike any infrastructure we identify in Syria that is being used to manufacture weapons for Hezbollah.”

***
Axios: The Israeli attack on Iran in late October destroyed an active top secret nuclear weapons research facility in Parchin, according to three U.S. officials, one current Israeli official and one former Israeli official.

***
President elect Donald Trump gave his approval to the outline of the agreement being negotiated to bring a cease-fire to the fighting between Israel and the Hezbollah terror group in Lebanon, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday.

Israeli officials told the paper that Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer, presented the outline of the agreement to Trump in their meeting last week and the incoming president expressed him hope that the agreement could come into effect before he took office on January 20, 2025.

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bkuypovmjx#autoplay

***
The US Department of State: We do not agree with the report of the UN committee on the occurrence of genocide in Gaza, and these are accusations without evidence

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

The Israeli army announces the assassination of Luqman Abdel Salam Anbar, one of the leaders of the Islamic Jihad movement, in raids on Gaza City

***
And in Gaza - more and more Hamas terrorists are either killed or captured by the Givati brigade in Jebaliya (northern Gaza)
Over the past 3 weeks 1300 were killed and 1200 were captured.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Iran will support any decision taken by the Lebanese government and Lebanon’s resistance in current talks on a ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, Ali Larijani, senior advisor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, said on Friday

Iran’s Ali Larijani and Lebanon’s speaker of parliament Nabi Berri are reportedly discussing efforts to secure a ceasefire in Lebanon

***
Israeli army continues to issue strikes warning against different areas in southern suburbs of Beirut: residents in Burj al-Barajneh and Ghobeiry according to latest

***
The Israel Defense Force announced this morning the completion of a wave of strikes against Hezbollah sites in the Dahieh suburb of Southern Beirut; with over 30 targets, including weapons depots, military headquarters and other terrorist infrastructures, being struck within a 48-Hour period.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1857060333598183434

***
Fighting between Hezbollah and Israeli troops has moved deeper inside Lebanon - reports of clashes in area of Chamaa, 5 km from border

Lebanese reports: the IDF advanced to a depth of 6 kilometers in the western sector.

The Lebanese newspaper Al Akhabar, which is affiliated with Hezbollah, claims to be reporting on Hezbollah’s battles with the IDF in the village of Shema 6 kilometers north of the border. According to the newspaper, the IDF arrived at Derech Huadi village near Tir Kharfa

Hezbollah itself confirms that it fired rockets at the village of Tir Harfa, which is on the second line after Yaron (firing rockets at IDF forces means that there is no fighting in this area and the village is occupied.

***
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported the daily rate of Hezbollah attacks have declined on average over the “past few weeks” and have decreased by half in the past week.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

The IDF attacked the Almazehh neighborhood in Damascus - shortly after a senior Iranian adviser landed in the city

The targets of the attack in Damascus: terrorist assets of the Islamic Jihad organization. The attack was aimed at the organization’s assets and headquarters in Damascus, and it is not a targeted attempt to eliminate a particular figure.

Syria’s state-run SANA news agency reports fresh Israeli airstrikes in the al-Qusayr area, near the border with Lebanon

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

A report from the Institute for the Study of Global Antisemitism and Policy (ISGAP) suggests that Iran, Qatar, and organizations tied to Hamas are financially backing South Africa’s genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ).

NOTE - Hamas has tens of billions of dollars stored away in Qatar.

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Peace in Lebanon is still in the talking stage. Unfortunately, Hezbollah is pressuring the Lebanese govt to hold a hard line on complete removal of Israel from Lebanon and refusal to hold to UN 1701 requirements. These demands are non-starters with Israel. Whether or not an agreement will be reached before Trump is sworn in is uncertain.

Israel is moving onto the second line of Hezbollah defenses. Some think that the push in the west will eventually curve to the Med, trapping a large number of Hezbollah. We’ll have to see how this develops.

Israel continues to level Hezbollah facilities in S Beirut, Tyre and Bekaa valley

Hamas forces are near death throw conditions. There are not that many places left in Gaza for them to hide in.

Iran appears to be backing off a missile attack more and more. However, IRGC has not been very reasonable in their decisions of late and may do something dumb.


Iran –

IRGC has resumed the drum beat of retaliation while the civilian leadership is pressing for some sort of peace agreement.
Does this mean they are pushing the attack option back onto the table? I’m personally not sure. The IRGC has been taking large risks lately.


Syria -

Protests Erupt in Syria’s Suwayda Province Demanding government change. On November 15, 2024, large demonstrations took place in Syria’s southern province of Suwayda, with protesters calling for the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad and his government



1,175 posted on 11/15/2024 10:55:30 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
"Word is coming from many agencies such as the FBI, DoJ, HHS and the DoD of mass resignations/retirements if Trump’s selected appointees are confirmed."


1,176 posted on 11/15/2024 2:13:26 PM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: Godzilla

“Accountability” would be new to those that lead the People of America. May “Accountability” be the course of America for the next 12 years along with “Common Sense”.


1,177 posted on 11/16/2024 12:30:09 AM PST by no-to-illegals (The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them.)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..


CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024

Reminder - numerous pro-hamas rallies and protests in many cities across the nation. No evidence of significant potential for violence, though some vandalism is a possibility based on previous events of similar nature. Be alert.


Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024

The FBI on Thursday confirmed the arrest of a Texas man who was allegedly planning an attack against the United States.

Anas Said, a 28-year-old man living in the Houston area, has been arrested for attempting to give material support to ISIS and plotting a terrorist attack from his home, FBI officials announced during a press conference. Said allegedly admitted to researching how to execute a terrorist attack on local military recruiting centers, offering his residence as a sanctuary to ISIS operatives, attempting to create terrorist propaganda and boasting about how he was willing to commit a Sept. 11-style attack if he had the capability.

“Today is a great day, we’ve taken a suspected terrorist off the streets of Houston,” stated Douglas Williams, special agent in charge of FBI Houston.

Said was arrested earlier in November at his apartment complex, prosecutors said, after FBI Houston’s Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) became aware that the 28-year-old was researching ways to commit “violent acts” on behalf of ISIS, a terrorist designated organization.

https://www.americanpartisan.org/2024/11/houston-man-arrested-for-allegedly-plotting-terrorist-attack-on-us-soil/

OBSERVATION - The article indicates that Said was here illegally as well, may even have been on the terror list of illegals released to the US pending hearings.

***
A Southwest Airlines jet has been struck by a gunfire at the Dallas Love Field Airport. The incident occurred while passengers were onboard. Southwest Airlines quickly initiated an inspection of the aircraft after the bullet hit the right side of the plane, just below the flight deck. The suspected shooter remains at large, and the situation is under investigation.

OBSERVATION - Still under investigation. Reports note that the airport is adjacent to what some refer to as a ghetto and the bullet could have been a stray rather than purposefully directed at the aircraft. It could also serve as a trial run given the cover provided by a high crime areas adjacent to the airport for shootings.


Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024

Concern rising from banking sector analysts over the Federal Reserve pulling about thirty billion dollars ($30 Billion) of available credit from its Bank Term Funding Program

In response to the 2023 United States banking crisis in March 2023 involving multiple failures of American banks, in 2023 the United States government took extraordinary measures to mitigate fallout across the banking sector.
On March 12, the Federal Reserve created the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), an emergency lending program providing loans of up to one year in length to banks, savings associations, credit unions, and other eligible depository institutions that pledge U.S. Treasuries, agency debt and mortgage-backed securities, and other qualifying assets as collateral. The “Bank Term Funding Program” was designed to provide liquidity to financial institutions, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and other bank failures. It was also created to reduce the risks associated with unrealized losses in the U.S. banking system, which totaled over $600 billion at the time of the program’s launch.

According to these financial people, SOME banks won’t be able to cover cash withdrawals. This is NOT because the banks don’t have the funds, but because the bank’s funds are locked-up in things like Treasury Notes. Little solace to a depositor who needs cash, now, or companies that need cash for things like payroll or inventory.

Some of these financial gurus are pointing out the very strange TIMING of the federal reserve’s move: The days AFTER the November Election. “It’s almost as if they timed this, so that if the “wrong” candidate won the election, they could pull the rug out from the entire economy” said one financial guy.

https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/national-news/setting-up-a-crash-federal-reserve-pulls-more-than-half-of-credit-available-through-bank-term-funding-program-btfp

OBSERVATION - Article links posts on “X” by some of these analysts. Moderate reliability of sources. If the Fed has moved this much money out of this fund, with no apparent justification, then the red flags being raised are valid.


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics

On Monday, it was announced that Arcturus Therapeutics is actively seeking a green light from the FDA to begin Phase 1 trials for self-replicating “vaccines” against bird flu.

Except perhaps for the genetic code contained within them, these are the same injections that were rolled out last month in Japan and which the Japanese have been referring to as the “third atomic bomb” because the effects could be so devastating.

Self-amplifying RNA (“saRNA”), also termed self-replicating RNA (“srRNA”), and self-amplifying mRNA (“sa-mRNA” or “samRNA”) are synonymous terms. Both refer to a synthetic mRNA molecule engineered to replicate itself within host cells. Vaccines using this self-replicating technology are also called “replicon” vaccines.

https://expose-news.com/2024/11/15/seeking-approval-from-the-fda-to-go-ahead-with/

OBSERVATION - The persistence of the mRNA wuhan jab and its own self replicating nature is bad enough. These are even worse and being pushed by pharma as safe.

RELATED - At a meeting of cardiologists in Auckland, an attendee said the spike protein generated by the mRNA covid injections is a cardiotoxin. As a result, cardiology waiting rooms and hospital cardiac wards are full, especially with young patients, and the problem is not going away. It is getting worse.
Meanwhile, Health New Zealand is delaying the release of health data, citing patient confidentiality concerns. And the New Zealand Medical Council continues to prosecute doctors who raise concerns about vaccine safety, creating a culture of fear among medical professionals.
“Continuing efforts to stop any public discussion of the official health data here in New Zealand is adding up to criminal folly,” Dr. Guy Hatchard writes.

https://expose-news.com/2024/11/14/spike-protein-is-a-cardiotoxin/


POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th

Incoming Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) is affirming his agreement with President-elect Donald Trump that all options must be on the table to get cabinet nominees into their roles.

Which means exercising the use of recess appointments to fill vacancies.

OBSERVATION - Again, the proof will be if he puts the Senate into recess. Otherwise RINOs and democrats will have these appointments tied up for years.


Illegal Immigration –

The Chicago Police Department reported having arrested more than 30 members of the dangerous Tren de Aragua Venezuelan street gang, only to find the courts releasing many of them right back out onto the streets.
Dozens of these gang members have been arrested over the last two years for an array of offenses, including drug dealing, human trafficking, gun charges, theft, and other charges, the New York Post reported.

However, thanks to the recent state-wide implementation of the SAFE-T Act, which eliminated cash bail in most cases, many of these gang members were released right after being arrested.The Chicago Police Department reported having arrested more than 30 members of the dangerous Tren de Aragua Venezuelan street gang, only to find the courts releasing many of them right back out onto the streets.

Dozens of these gang members have been arrested over the last two years for an array of offenses, including drug dealing, human trafficking, gun charges, theft, and other charges, the New York Post reported.

However, thanks to the recent state-wide implementation of the SAFE-T Act, which eliminated cash bail in most cases, many of these gang members were released right after being arrested.

https://www.breitbart.com/immigration/2024/11/15/chicago-pd-arrests-30-tren-de-aragua-gangbangers-many-walk-right-out-of-jail/

OBSERVATION - Lack of punishment for all criminals only encourages them to commit more crimes. This is triply so for criminal gang members like TDA.

***
Yesterday, incoming Trump Border Czar Tom Homan reiterated previous pledges he had made that, as a member of the new president’s administration, he would oversee the deportation of “nine out of ten” of the millions of migrants the Biden regime allowed to pour over the border


Russia -

Logistics –

Photos of North Korean long-range artillery systems arriving in Russia have emerged on Russian social media, sparking fresh discussions over recent military collaboration between Pyongyang and Moscow.
The images reportedly show the 170-mm M1989 “Koksan” self-propelled artillery unit being transported through Russian territory.

OBSERVATION - The introduction of this artillery piece also increases logistical challenges as the caliber is different from all the other Russian artillery and may face shortages.

Economic Impact –

OMV says Russia to suspend gas deliveries to Austria on Nov. 16.
NOTE - Russia’s oil and gas industry has been hit hard by sanctions from the Ukraine war but that isn’t stopping it from trying to use it as a weapon against European nations supporting Ukraine.


Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with snow in the first portions of the forecast period and rain/snow at the end of the period.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

The Ukrainian Air Force reported on an overnight Shahed drone attack.

Out of 83 launched, 53 were shot down and another 30 were lost on Ukrainian territory, likely due to electronic warfare.

Odessa, Kyiv and western Ukraine were major targeted areas.

Russian losses per 16/11/24 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff.
+1650 men
+8 tanks
+26 AFVs
+28 artillery systems

Ukraine Kursk Offensive-

Russia is maintaining a grim silence as things continue to not go well for them. More reports posted on social media and from the Ukraine army showing Russian armored columns being decimated - mostly from the Kursk region.

Summary —

Other than some minor advances in the Donbas region, the Russian offensive, including the Kursk counter offensive, seem to be sputtering out. Throwing large columns of tanks and armor absent covering fire, supporting axis and the like have turned them into shooting galleries for Ukraine forces. So much so that Ukraine ATGMs have returned as a major weapon again (don’t work so well against dismounted infantry). Reported Russian losses are still hanging at least 50% higher than earlier this summer.

Russia continues to throw a lot of Shahed drones at Ukraine, with limited successes. The volume of drones suggest that factories in Russia and Iran are working overtime to keep up with demand.

There are no areas were a Russia breakthrough is imminent.


ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- S Beirut hammered again by IAF airstrikes.

- IDF drives deeper into S Lebanon

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-

Fighting is focused again in and around Jabalia camp, N Gaza Strip.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Israeli army: About 20 launches from Lebanon towards the western Galilee were detected, some of them were intercepted.

A Hezbollah Drone struck a high-rise apartment this morning within the City of Nahariya in Northern Israel, resulting in minor damage and no injuries.

The IDF says it carried out a fourth wave of airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs this evening. The targets included Hezbollah command rooms and weapon depots, according to the military. The Hezbollah sites were located “in the heart of a civilian population,” the IDF says, accusing the terror group of using human shields. Before the strikes, the IDF issued evacuation warnings to civilians in the area.

IAF also hit Tyre with at least 3 waves of airstrikes as well.

IDF forces have penetrated as deep as the town of Shamaa, southern Lebanon, about 8 km from the border. From there the force could swing west to the Med Sea.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

Iraqi armed factions: We targeted a vital site in Eilat with a drone.
NOTE - Drone was shot down.

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

In S Lebanon, IDF drive in the western area is reaching a potential critical pivot point. Some have rumored that the IDF is seeking to encircle Hezbollah forces in the southwestern corner of the nation. The IDF has the opportunity to pivot west once they secure Shamaa and run to the Med Sea. Hezbollah defenses are oriented to the south, and not the east, which would make flanking them easy in the area. Also, there is a significant east -west trending road so speed access for Israel.

IAF continues to reduce the S Beirut district controlled by Hezbollah. According to Israel, Hezbollah has place military facilities and weapons/ammo beneath nearly ever building in the district. Israel provides warning of strikes, enough for local news to set up their cameras to capture the destruction of overlying buildings.

In N Gaza, Hamas elements hiding in Jabalia camp are being exposed and eliminated. Fighting in most of the rest of Gaza is down.

Iran’s situation continues in question. As noted below, recent news reports announce that IAF hit an undeclared nuclear weapons research facility at Parchin. The nuclear research aspect was noted then. What likely has stirred up more recent reports is that activity there has actually on the increase and was becoming very active. The site has equipment and computers designed to analyze and design nuclear triggering devices without actually having to build a bomb to test. Because it was an undeclared site, Israel could hit it with impunity.

Currently, the threat indicators of a strike by either Iran or Israel are moderate. Trump’s election has flipped a lot of the build up to a potential regional war and cooled things down - especially from Iran. Israel is now more focused on quickly eliminating Hezbollah than it is Iran’s nuclear and oil facilities.


Iran –

It has been three weeks since the Israeli Air Force struck sensitive military sites in retaliation for Iran launching the largest ballistic missile barrage in military history against Israel. Now, weeks later, we are learning that this Israeli counterstrike against Iran was far more painful for the Iranian regime than we initially knew.

After the dust has settled, we are now learning that Israel apparently struck a sensitive secret Iranian nuclear weapons research facility. It’s no wonder that the Iranian regime is vowing revenge.

The Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear research facility in Parchin destroyed sophisticated equipment that will make it much harder for Tehran to develop a nuclear weapon if it chooses to do so, two Israeli officials tell the Axios news site.

“This equipment is a bottleneck. Without it the Iranians are stuck,” a senior Israeli official tells Axios.

https://harbingersdaily.com/israels-counterstrike-against-iran-revealed-to-have-destroyed-secret-nuclear-facility/

OBSERVATION - If you were to go back to my posts on the Israeli air strike and post strike analysis, you would have seen that the facilities at Parchin were already identified as active and key to the Iranian development of a nuclear bomb. So articles like this are a bit late to the start.


Misc of Note –

I’ve noted going back to the OODA loop cycle to assess changes threats to my world as well as nationally. Another word is eternal vigilance.

The core elements of the progressive / globalist left are still foundationally spewing the same hitler, facist, hater etc tripe. The leadership is trying to cover that up with a ‘can’t we all get along’ message. This past week has demonstrated just how thin that bleat is, with Trump’s picks triggering the left all over the place and has them ranting and raving again on their poorly watched news and talk shows.

They are telling us who they are and they haven’t realized that they lost the American people and won’t win them back with the same rhetoric.

So we can’t be complacent but remain vigilant and even more on the offensive. I hate to sound like a doomer, but there is dangerous waters to ply ahead and if we let our guard down for a second, they will seize upon it.

What will be biggest vectors? To me one of the major ones will be the deportation of illegals. That has been the focus on many democrat governors and civic leaders. Next will be the cleaning house of the alphabet agencies. To get there Trumps appointees have to be put in place and if recess appointments are used, then the political scream from the left (as well as some RINOs) will be intense. The final big vector is most likely that of the economy. bidenomics has really twisted things up and untangling it will be difficult and may incur some economic hardship before things turn around and put back on the right path again.

Keep reviewing your readiness and keep your ear to the ground for sneaky business. The democrats/left have done it in the past, they will do it again - anything to regain power - in spite of what the people want.


1,178 posted on 11/16/2024 5:50:56 AM PST by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
Some of these financial gurus are pointing out the very strange TIMING of the federal reserve’s move: The days AFTER the November Election. “It’s almost as if they timed this, so that if the “wrong” candidate won the election, they could pull the rug out from the entire economy” said one financial guy.

They're not the first ones saying that.

My son told me last year that he sees it coming and it would happen by next summer at the latest if the democrats won, and earlier if Trump won, by design, as a deliberate move to sabotage his presidency and blame him for it.

I agreed. It made sense.

1,179 posted on 11/16/2024 6:07:57 AM PST by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon.” Amen. Come, Lord Jesus”)
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To: Godzilla

“Keep reviewing your readiness and keep your ear to the ground for sneaky business. The democrats/left have done it in the past, they will do it again - anything to regain power - in spite of what the people want.”

Exactly.


1,180 posted on 11/16/2024 6:12:37 AM PST by Danie_2023
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