Running late - early morning errands.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Down graded due to lack of activity.
The folks at Forward Observer are noting some initial planning for the resistance to Trump and the America First agenda. Over the past week, left wing political and social activists groups held multiple strategy calls to identify a way forward in opposing the incoming Trump administration. They note that fear mongering was very high and that there was a continuation of the Hitler, facist, etc mantra. The response and plans at this stage appear to be targeting political actions and not violent protests, though those haven’t been ruled out.
***
There are numerous pro-Hamas rallies at numerous cities this weekend. Potential for violence is low, but stay alert anyway.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
(FO) The euro plummets to its lowest mark in a year, as the U.S. dollar soars to its highest mark since November 2022. The dollar’s rally is gaining momentum alongside Donald Trump’s election victory and threats of sweeping tariffs, weakening the euro, yen, and Canadian dollar. Helen Given, a foreign-exchange trader at Monex, expects steady dollar strength into 2026, with the euro becoming one of the most vulnerable currencies in the world.
OBSERVATION - Strength of the dollar was also reflected in the significant drop in Gold and Silver prices over the past week.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
The fired FEMA supervisor who told subordinates to skip hurricane-ravaged homes with Trump signs did a sit-down interview on Fox News and said that staff had the right to not go to homes with Trump signs if they were uncomfortable, similar to them avoiding homes with aggressive dogs on the property.
Marn’i Washington says this was FEMA policy, and it applied in other states beyond Florida affected by the hurricanes. She says she’s being made the scapegoat because she wrote the directive, which was later leaked to Daily Wire.
https://x.com/mrandyngo/status/1857163980017705139?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - Some modification to her story, but this is getting worse in that FEMA viewed Trump supporters as the equivalent to ‘aggressive dogs’.
***
(FO) New Senate GOP leader Sen. John Thune (R-SD) said “all options are on the table” to clear President-elect Trump’s nominations through the Senate, including recess appointments. Thune added that he has talked with House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) about using the budget reconciliation process to fund Trump’s agenda.
OBSERVATION - He better hold to his word.
***
Word is coming from many agencies such as the FBI, DoJ, HHS and the DoD of mass resignations/retirements if Trump’s selected appointees are confirmed.
Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Sabrina Singh highlighted the potential consequences of President-elect Donald Trump’s stated goal to remove “woke” military leaders, during a Thursday press briefing, warning that such actions could significantly impact military operations and morale. Reportedly, Trump’s transition team is drawing up lists of military officers to be fired, potentially to include the Joint Chiefs of Staff and appointments made by Mark Milley (who is high on the list to be charged officially with treason.
OBSERVATION - Accountability is the word for all these agencies. 0bama purged over 170 generals / senior officers during his reign, and the ones he left were those who are under the microscope now for their commitment to social progress (and socialism ) versus maintaining the war fighting capability of the military.
Illegal Immigration –
The latest news comes from the great state of Tennessee which has unfortunately allowed TDA, a Venezuelan street gang, to set up operations in all major cities in the tri-star state.
The TBI said that not only is this dangerous gang growing nationwide, but it is also impacting every major city across Tennessee.
‘We know they are on a pathway to more violence,’ TBI director, David Rausch said.
Rausch warned Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee in a budget hearing Tuesday about the rising threat of ‘Tren de Aragua,’ a violent criminal group.
‘They are back in all our major cities. They are running human trafficking operations,’ he added.
https://notthebee.com/article/this-venezuelan-gang-is-now-operating-in-every-city-in-tennessee
OBSERVATION - Elimination of TDA and other imported gangs is on the top half of the agenda for the new border patrol chief. This group of illegals will have the least public support because of their violent actions in US cities.
North/South Korea –
North Korean State Media is reporting that Supreme-Leader Kim Jong Un has ordered the full-scale mass production of one-way aerial attack drones, as their “scope of use in military activities is expanding” and their Implementation on the battlefield has been observed during both the war in Israel and Ukraine.
OBSERVATION - This move has direct support from Russia written all over it. This is a whole new technology to NK and while Russia will be the immediate beneficiary once production gets ramped up, there will be as substantial threat to SK as Kim’s next step will be to tailor these drones for use the the theatre.
Russia -
Logistics –
North Korea’s Kim orders mass production of suicide attack drones: KCNA
Economic Impact –
The EU is preparing a 15th package of sanctions against Russia, targeting the “shadow fleet” of tankers used by Moscow to secretly deliver oil to the market.
The new sanctions, which may be approved by year-end, will also target individuals involved in illegal Russian oil trade.
***
The Ruble is now worth just 1 US cent again, as Russia’s currency continues a months-long slide, coupled with skyrocketing internal inflation.
The Russian Central Bank is getting increasingly worried about the rapidly increasing price inflation of essential items in the Russian consumer economy.
OBSERVATION - Some analysts are suggesting that the developing implosion in 2025 of the Russian economy could be the driving cause for Russia to move quicker towards some kind of agreement with Ukraine and to try to do so in the projected position of strength and not during a period of severe economic and resultant political and civic turmoil .
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with snow in the first portions of the forecast period and rain/snow at the end of the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 25 Shahed-type drones and a Kh-59/69 missile overnight. There is damage to civilian infrastructure in Odesa from the attack.
Large-scale Ukrainian drone attack into Russia’s Krasnodar Krai overnight, with dozens of Ukrainian UAVs launched into Russia. The target was the Krymsk military airfield. The Russian MoD claims 51 drones were “shot down” during the night.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russia is maintaining a grim silence as things continue to not go well for them.
A summary of losses suffered by the Russian 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade during (ongoing) counterattacks in the Kursk region from Nov. 7 to 13. Cooperation mainly between SOF and the 95th Air Assault Brigade.
Destroyed/Damaged beyond repair:
30x BTR-82A armored carrier
10x 3-STS Akhmat armored vehicle
1x Tigr-M Gaz-233114 armored vehicle
3x T-72 tank
1x T-62 tank
1x MT-LB armored carrier
1x Ural-53099 Typhoon-UT armored vehicle
Pokrovsk axis (Formerly Ocheretyne) -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Stepanivka village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Bakhmut / Chasiv Yar -
Ukraine forces regained territory in the Chasiv Yar area.
Summary —
Actions on the ground by both sides are taking an increased importance in the light of Trump’s election and claim to get the fighting to stop.
putin is reportedly showing some desperation to regain Kursk so that he won’t have to worry about territory trades in any peace plan. Once thought that he had ordered the recapture of the territory by the end of October, now word is that if must be regained before trump is sworn in. In spite of 50K troops, Russian forces have been stopped again and again. The latest attacks have resulted in the highest casualty rates in over a year. The reported losses of the 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade above would indicate hundreds of casualties for that unit alone besides the loss of critical equipment.
I’m suspecting that Russia is building to another massive missile/drone attack soon now that the winter cold is beginning to set in and much of Ukraine is short of power / heat.
One wild card thought floating the inter webs concerns the potential for Ukraine to make its own atomic bomb. They have the smart people and more so - an abundant source of weapons grade plutonium found in the spent nuclear fuel rods. It is suspected that Ukraine can accomplish the creation of a bomb in a matter of weeks/months. This would be a act of desperation as it would throw the region into a nuclear war.
Europe / NATO General –
GEORGIA - Georgia’s breakaway region Abkhazia:
Protesters in Sukhumi, Abkhazia breached the perimeter fence of the regional parliament and clashed with police. And removing a fence around regional parliament building Protesting against “Russia investments agreement”
https://x.com/liveuamap/status/1857360495600157057?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - the country is already tense following the disputed election. In the past it would be expected that Russia would ship troops into the breakaway region - that is not expected due to the Ukraine war.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Talks continue towards a Lebanese peace plan
- IDF continues to move northward in the western sector.
- S Beirut is hit some more, taking out Hezbollah targets
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Israeli army Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari says the military has struck over 300 Hezbollah targets in Lebanon in the past week, including 40 in Beirut. “We are striking across Lebanon, from Dahiyeh to Damascus,” he says in a press conference. The targets in Lebanon included weapons depots, commander centers, and rocket launchers according to Hagari. “We have identified that there are rockets and other weapons, that Hezbollah is launching at Israel, that were manufactured in Syria, and were transferred to Hezbollah from Syria,” he continues, vowing that the Israeli army will strike “all attempts to transfer weapons from Syria to Hezbollah and strike any infrastructure we identify in Syria that is being used to manufacture weapons for Hezbollah.”
***
Axios: The Israeli attack on Iran in late October destroyed an active top secret nuclear weapons research facility in Parchin, according to three U.S. officials, one current Israeli official and one former Israeli official.
***
President elect Donald Trump gave his approval to the outline of the agreement being negotiated to bring a cease-fire to the fighting between Israel and the Hezbollah terror group in Lebanon, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday.
Israeli officials told the paper that Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer, presented the outline of the agreement to Trump in their meeting last week and the incoming president expressed him hope that the agreement could come into effect before he took office on January 20, 2025.
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bkuypovmjx#autoplay
***
The US Department of State: We do not agree with the report of the UN committee on the occurrence of genocide in Gaza, and these are accusations without evidence
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
The Israeli army announces the assassination of Luqman Abdel Salam Anbar, one of the leaders of the Islamic Jihad movement, in raids on Gaza City
***
And in Gaza - more and more Hamas terrorists are either killed or captured by the Givati brigade in Jebaliya (northern Gaza)
Over the past 3 weeks 1300 were killed and 1200 were captured.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Iran will support any decision taken by the Lebanese government and Lebanon’s resistance in current talks on a ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, Ali Larijani, senior advisor to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, said on Friday
Iran’s Ali Larijani and Lebanon’s speaker of parliament Nabi Berri are reportedly discussing efforts to secure a ceasefire in Lebanon
***
Israeli army continues to issue strikes warning against different areas in southern suburbs of Beirut: residents in Burj al-Barajneh and Ghobeiry according to latest
***
The Israel Defense Force announced this morning the completion of a wave of strikes against Hezbollah sites in the Dahieh suburb of Southern Beirut; with over 30 targets, including weapons depots, military headquarters and other terrorist infrastructures, being struck within a 48-Hour period.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1857060333598183434
***
Fighting between Hezbollah and Israeli troops has moved deeper inside Lebanon - reports of clashes in area of Chamaa, 5 km from border
Lebanese reports: the IDF advanced to a depth of 6 kilometers in the western sector.
The Lebanese newspaper Al Akhabar, which is affiliated with Hezbollah, claims to be reporting on Hezbollah’s battles with the IDF in the village of Shema 6 kilometers north of the border. According to the newspaper, the IDF arrived at Derech Huadi village near Tir Kharfa
Hezbollah itself confirms that it fired rockets at the village of Tir Harfa, which is on the second line after Yaron (firing rockets at IDF forces means that there is no fighting in this area and the village is occupied.
***
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported the daily rate of Hezbollah attacks have declined on average over the “past few weeks” and have decreased by half in the past week.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The IDF attacked the Almazehh neighborhood in Damascus - shortly after a senior Iranian adviser landed in the city
The targets of the attack in Damascus: terrorist assets of the Islamic Jihad organization. The attack was aimed at the organization’s assets and headquarters in Damascus, and it is not a targeted attempt to eliminate a particular figure.
Syria’s state-run SANA news agency reports fresh Israeli airstrikes in the al-Qusayr area, near the border with Lebanon
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
A report from the Institute for the Study of Global Antisemitism and Policy (ISGAP) suggests that Iran, Qatar, and organizations tied to Hamas are financially backing South Africa’s genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ).
NOTE - Hamas has tens of billions of dollars stored away in Qatar.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Peace in Lebanon is still in the talking stage. Unfortunately, Hezbollah is pressuring the Lebanese govt to hold a hard line on complete removal of Israel from Lebanon and refusal to hold to UN 1701 requirements. These demands are non-starters with Israel. Whether or not an agreement will be reached before Trump is sworn in is uncertain.
Israel is moving onto the second line of Hezbollah defenses. Some think that the push in the west will eventually curve to the Med, trapping a large number of Hezbollah. We’ll have to see how this develops.
Israel continues to level Hezbollah facilities in S Beirut, Tyre and Bekaa valley
Hamas forces are near death throw conditions. There are not that many places left in Gaza for them to hide in.
Iran appears to be backing off a missile attack more and more. However, IRGC has not been very reasonable in their decisions of late and may do something dumb.
Iran –
IRGC has resumed the drum beat of retaliation while the civilian leadership is pressing for some sort of peace agreement.
Does this mean they are pushing the attack option back onto the table? I’m personally not sure. The IRGC has been taking large risks lately.
Syria -
Protests Erupt in Syria’s Suwayda Province Demanding government change. On November 15, 2024, large demonstrations took place in Syria’s southern province of Suwayda, with protesters calling for the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad and his government
“Accountability” would be new to those that lead the People of America. May “Accountability” be the course of America for the next 12 years along with “Common Sense”.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate THREAT - up dated Nov 12, 2024
Reminder - numerous pro-hamas rallies and protests in many cities across the nation. No evidence of significant potential for violence, though some vandalism is a possibility based on previous events of similar nature. Be alert.
Terrorism - HIGH THREAT as of Oct 20, 2024
The FBI on Thursday confirmed the arrest of a Texas man who was allegedly planning an attack against the United States.
Anas Said, a 28-year-old man living in the Houston area, has been arrested for attempting to give material support to ISIS and plotting a terrorist attack from his home, FBI officials announced during a press conference. Said allegedly admitted to researching how to execute a terrorist attack on local military recruiting centers, offering his residence as a sanctuary to ISIS operatives, attempting to create terrorist propaganda and boasting about how he was willing to commit a Sept. 11-style attack if he had the capability.
“Today is a great day, we’ve taken a suspected terrorist off the streets of Houston,” stated Douglas Williams, special agent in charge of FBI Houston.
Said was arrested earlier in November at his apartment complex, prosecutors said, after FBI Houston’s Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) became aware that the 28-year-old was researching ways to commit “violent acts” on behalf of ISIS, a terrorist designated organization.
OBSERVATION - The article indicates that Said was here illegally as well, may even have been on the terror list of illegals released to the US pending hearings.
***
A Southwest Airlines jet has been struck by a gunfire at the Dallas Love Field Airport. The incident occurred while passengers were onboard. Southwest Airlines quickly initiated an inspection of the aircraft after the bullet hit the right side of the plane, just below the flight deck. The suspected shooter remains at large, and the situation is under investigation.
OBSERVATION - Still under investigation. Reports note that the airport is adjacent to what some refer to as a ghetto and the bullet could have been a stray rather than purposefully directed at the aircraft. It could also serve as a trial run given the cover provided by a high crime areas adjacent to the airport for shootings.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Concern rising from banking sector analysts over the Federal Reserve pulling about thirty billion dollars ($30 Billion) of available credit from its Bank Term Funding Program
In response to the 2023 United States banking crisis in March 2023 involving multiple failures of American banks, in 2023 the United States government took extraordinary measures to mitigate fallout across the banking sector.
On March 12, the Federal Reserve created the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), an emergency lending program providing loans of up to one year in length to banks, savings associations, credit unions, and other eligible depository institutions that pledge U.S. Treasuries, agency debt and mortgage-backed securities, and other qualifying assets as collateral. The “Bank Term Funding Program” was designed to provide liquidity to financial institutions, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and other bank failures. It was also created to reduce the risks associated with unrealized losses in the U.S. banking system, which totaled over $600 billion at the time of the program’s launch.
According to these financial people, SOME banks won’t be able to cover cash withdrawals. This is NOT because the banks don’t have the funds, but because the bank’s funds are locked-up in things like Treasury Notes. Little solace to a depositor who needs cash, now, or companies that need cash for things like payroll or inventory.
Some of these financial gurus are pointing out the very strange TIMING of the federal reserve’s move: The days AFTER the November Election. “It’s almost as if they timed this, so that if the “wrong” candidate won the election, they could pull the rug out from the entire economy” said one financial guy.
OBSERVATION - Article links posts on “X” by some of these analysts. Moderate reliability of sources. If the Fed has moved this much money out of this fund, with no apparent justification, then the red flags being raised are valid.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
On Monday, it was announced that Arcturus Therapeutics is actively seeking a green light from the FDA to begin Phase 1 trials for self-replicating “vaccines” against bird flu.
Except perhaps for the genetic code contained within them, these are the same injections that were rolled out last month in Japan and which the Japanese have been referring to as the “third atomic bomb” because the effects could be so devastating.
Self-amplifying RNA (“saRNA”), also termed self-replicating RNA (“srRNA”), and self-amplifying mRNA (“sa-mRNA” or “samRNA”) are synonymous terms. Both refer to a synthetic mRNA molecule engineered to replicate itself within host cells. Vaccines using this self-replicating technology are also called “replicon” vaccines.
https://expose-news.com/2024/11/15/seeking-approval-from-the-fda-to-go-ahead-with/
OBSERVATION - The persistence of the mRNA wuhan jab and its own self replicating nature is bad enough. These are even worse and being pushed by pharma as safe.
RELATED - At a meeting of cardiologists in Auckland, an attendee said the spike protein generated by the mRNA covid injections is a cardiotoxin. As a result, cardiology waiting rooms and hospital cardiac wards are full, especially with young patients, and the problem is not going away. It is getting worse.
Meanwhile, Health New Zealand is delaying the release of health data, citing patient confidentiality concerns. And the New Zealand Medical Council continues to prosecute doctors who raise concerns about vaccine safety, creating a culture of fear among medical professionals.
“Continuing efforts to stop any public discussion of the official health data here in New Zealand is adding up to criminal folly,” Dr. Guy Hatchard writes.
https://expose-news.com/2024/11/14/spike-protein-is-a-cardiotoxin/
POLITICAL FRONT –
Merchan sentencing of trump - Nov 26th
Incoming Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) is affirming his agreement with President-elect Donald Trump that all options must be on the table to get cabinet nominees into their roles.
Which means exercising the use of recess appointments to fill vacancies.
OBSERVATION - Again, the proof will be if he puts the Senate into recess. Otherwise RINOs and democrats will have these appointments tied up for years.
Illegal Immigration –
The Chicago Police Department reported having arrested more than 30 members of the dangerous Tren de Aragua Venezuelan street gang, only to find the courts releasing many of them right back out onto the streets.
Dozens of these gang members have been arrested over the last two years for an array of offenses, including drug dealing, human trafficking, gun charges, theft, and other charges, the New York Post reported.
However, thanks to the recent state-wide implementation of the SAFE-T Act, which eliminated cash bail in most cases, many of these gang members were released right after being arrested.The Chicago Police Department reported having arrested more than 30 members of the dangerous Tren de Aragua Venezuelan street gang, only to find the courts releasing many of them right back out onto the streets.
Dozens of these gang members have been arrested over the last two years for an array of offenses, including drug dealing, human trafficking, gun charges, theft, and other charges, the New York Post reported.
However, thanks to the recent state-wide implementation of the SAFE-T Act, which eliminated cash bail in most cases, many of these gang members were released right after being arrested.
OBSERVATION - Lack of punishment for all criminals only encourages them to commit more crimes. This is triply so for criminal gang members like TDA.
***
Yesterday, incoming Trump Border Czar Tom Homan reiterated previous pledges he had made that, as a member of the new president’s administration, he would oversee the deportation of “nine out of ten” of the millions of migrants the Biden regime allowed to pour over the border
Russia -
Logistics –
Photos of North Korean long-range artillery systems arriving in Russia have emerged on Russian social media, sparking fresh discussions over recent military collaboration between Pyongyang and Moscow.
The images reportedly show the 170-mm M1989 “Koksan” self-propelled artillery unit being transported through Russian territory.
OBSERVATION - The introduction of this artillery piece also increases logistical challenges as the caliber is different from all the other Russian artillery and may face shortages.
Economic Impact –
OMV says Russia to suspend gas deliveries to Austria on Nov. 16.
NOTE - Russia’s oil and gas industry has been hit hard by sanctions from the Ukraine war but that isn’t stopping it from trying to use it as a weapon against European nations supporting Ukraine.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures in the 30-40s with snow in the first portions of the forecast period and rain/snow at the end of the period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
The Ukrainian Air Force reported on an overnight Shahed drone attack.
Out of 83 launched, 53 were shot down and another 30 were lost on Ukrainian territory, likely due to electronic warfare.
Odessa, Kyiv and western Ukraine were major targeted areas.
Russian losses per 16/11/24 reported by the Ukrainian General Staff.
+1650 men
+8 tanks
+26 AFVs
+28 artillery systems
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
Russia is maintaining a grim silence as things continue to not go well for them. More reports posted on social media and from the Ukraine army showing Russian armored columns being decimated - mostly from the Kursk region.
Summary —
Other than some minor advances in the Donbas region, the Russian offensive, including the Kursk counter offensive, seem to be sputtering out. Throwing large columns of tanks and armor absent covering fire, supporting axis and the like have turned them into shooting galleries for Ukraine forces. So much so that Ukraine ATGMs have returned as a major weapon again (don’t work so well against dismounted infantry). Reported Russian losses are still hanging at least 50% higher than earlier this summer.
Russia continues to throw a lot of Shahed drones at Ukraine, with limited successes. The volume of drones suggest that factories in Russia and Iran are working overtime to keep up with demand.
There are no areas were a Russia breakthrough is imminent.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- S Beirut hammered again by IAF airstrikes.
- IDF drives deeper into S Lebanon
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————-
Fighting is focused again in and around Jabalia camp, N Gaza Strip.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli army: About 20 launches from Lebanon towards the western Galilee were detected, some of them were intercepted.
A Hezbollah Drone struck a high-rise apartment this morning within the City of Nahariya in Northern Israel, resulting in minor damage and no injuries.
The IDF says it carried out a fourth wave of airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs this evening. The targets included Hezbollah command rooms and weapon depots, according to the military. The Hezbollah sites were located “in the heart of a civilian population,” the IDF says, accusing the terror group of using human shields. Before the strikes, the IDF issued evacuation warnings to civilians in the area.
IAF also hit Tyre with at least 3 waves of airstrikes as well.
IDF forces have penetrated as deep as the town of Shamaa, southern Lebanon, about 8 km from the border. From there the force could swing west to the Med Sea.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iraqi armed factions: We targeted a vital site in Eilat with a drone.
NOTE - Drone was shot down.
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
In S Lebanon, IDF drive in the western area is reaching a potential critical pivot point. Some have rumored that the IDF is seeking to encircle Hezbollah forces in the southwestern corner of the nation. The IDF has the opportunity to pivot west once they secure Shamaa and run to the Med Sea. Hezbollah defenses are oriented to the south, and not the east, which would make flanking them easy in the area. Also, there is a significant east -west trending road so speed access for Israel.
IAF continues to reduce the S Beirut district controlled by Hezbollah. According to Israel, Hezbollah has place military facilities and weapons/ammo beneath nearly ever building in the district. Israel provides warning of strikes, enough for local news to set up their cameras to capture the destruction of overlying buildings.
In N Gaza, Hamas elements hiding in Jabalia camp are being exposed and eliminated. Fighting in most of the rest of Gaza is down.
Iran’s situation continues in question. As noted below, recent news reports announce that IAF hit an undeclared nuclear weapons research facility at Parchin. The nuclear research aspect was noted then. What likely has stirred up more recent reports is that activity there has actually on the increase and was becoming very active. The site has equipment and computers designed to analyze and design nuclear triggering devices without actually having to build a bomb to test. Because it was an undeclared site, Israel could hit it with impunity.
Currently, the threat indicators of a strike by either Iran or Israel are moderate. Trump’s election has flipped a lot of the build up to a potential regional war and cooled things down - especially from Iran. Israel is now more focused on quickly eliminating Hezbollah than it is Iran’s nuclear and oil facilities.
Iran –
It has been three weeks since the Israeli Air Force struck sensitive military sites in retaliation for Iran launching the largest ballistic missile barrage in military history against Israel. Now, weeks later, we are learning that this Israeli counterstrike against Iran was far more painful for the Iranian regime than we initially knew.
After the dust has settled, we are now learning that Israel apparently struck a sensitive secret Iranian nuclear weapons research facility. It’s no wonder that the Iranian regime is vowing revenge.
The Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear research facility in Parchin destroyed sophisticated equipment that will make it much harder for Tehran to develop a nuclear weapon if it chooses to do so, two Israeli officials tell the Axios news site.
“This equipment is a bottleneck. Without it the Iranians are stuck,” a senior Israeli official tells Axios.
OBSERVATION - If you were to go back to my posts on the Israeli air strike and post strike analysis, you would have seen that the facilities at Parchin were already identified as active and key to the Iranian development of a nuclear bomb. So articles like this are a bit late to the start.
Misc of Note –
I’ve noted going back to the OODA loop cycle to assess changes threats to my world as well as nationally. Another word is eternal vigilance.
The core elements of the progressive / globalist left are still foundationally spewing the same hitler, facist, hater etc tripe. The leadership is trying to cover that up with a ‘can’t we all get along’ message. This past week has demonstrated just how thin that bleat is, with Trump’s picks triggering the left all over the place and has them ranting and raving again on their poorly watched news and talk shows.
They are telling us who they are and they haven’t realized that they lost the American people and won’t win them back with the same rhetoric.
So we can’t be complacent but remain vigilant and even more on the offensive. I hate to sound like a doomer, but there is dangerous waters to ply ahead and if we let our guard down for a second, they will seize upon it.
What will be biggest vectors? To me one of the major ones will be the deportation of illegals. That has been the focus on many democrat governors and civic leaders. Next will be the cleaning house of the alphabet agencies. To get there Trumps appointees have to be put in place and if recess appointments are used, then the political scream from the left (as well as some RINOs) will be intense. The final big vector is most likely that of the economy. bidenomics has really twisted things up and untangling it will be difficult and may incur some economic hardship before things turn around and put back on the right path again.
Keep reviewing your readiness and keep your ear to the ground for sneaky business. The democrats/left have done it in the past, they will do it again - anything to regain power - in spite of what the people want.