Posted on 03/27/2020 5:00:58 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Listen to the experts, follow the real data and ignore the corrupt news media. – As our corrupt news media establishment continues to work overtime to try to foment panic among the public, it is becoming increasingly apparent from the real numbers on the ground that the outbreak of the China Virus, COVID-19, is not likely to be as widespread as some have feared. You don’t have to believe me about it: All you have to believe is the experts, and the numbers.
Let’s start in England, where alarmists at Imperial College dramatically downgraded their previous wild projections of the spread of the disease this week:
2/ He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. – more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) March 26, 2020
So, in one day, the projection drops from a wildly over-blown 500,000 UK deaths to 20,000, a reduction of 96%.
Oh.
Now, let’s move to America, where our corrupt news media, in its endless zeal to do harm to President Donald Trump, has been making similar wild projections on a daily basis through either rank stupidity or – more likely – an intentional effort to create mass panic. Over the past two days, Dr. Deborah Birx, a woman renowned for her expertise in this field, has twice lectured the media for its outrageous conduct, albeit in a calm and pleasant way that only she can do.
In case you missed them because you either could not watch the press conferences live or because your favorite media outlet refused to mention these crucial facts, below are two clips followed by transcripts lovingly and laboriously prepared by yours truly.
First, from Wednesday’s press conference:
Very important point from Dr. Birx 👇
Models with zero controls lead to inaccurate projections and unnecessary fear
"That is nowhere close to the numbers you see people putting out there. I think it has frightened the American people." pic.twitter.com/nZdM5fSpeW
— Elizabeth Harrington (@LizRNC) March 25, 2020
Dr. Birx: I know it has become a place where people are looking at numbers, rather than what is needed. Because when you do these projections, when you got to those projections that said – like a Germany and others that implied that 60% or 50% of the population would get infected – I want to be very clear: The only way that happens is if this virus remains continuously moving through populations in this cycle, in the fall cycle, and another cycle. So that’s three cycles with nothing being done.
We’re dealing with Cycle A right now, not the one that could come in the fall of 2020, and we’re getting prepared for it by innovations that are being worked. And not the 2021. We’re really dealing with the here and now while we’re planning for the future.
And I think the numbers that have been put out there are very frightening to people. But I can tell you if you go back and look at Wuhan and Hubei and all of these provinces, when they talk about 60,000 people being infected, even if you said, alright, well, there’s asymptomatics and all of that, so you get to 600,000 people out of 80 million. That is nowhere close to the numbers that you see people putting out there.
I think it has frightened the American people, I think that on a model that you just run full-out that you can get to those numbers if you have zero controls and you do nothing. We know that every American is doing something.
So, I think what our job right now is is to carefully detail, on a hospital by hospital, state by state, county by county level, to outline what the infrastructure needs are and ensure that we are meeting them, both from the stockpile, and from the movement and the generosity of the American people and other hospitals.
[End]
Now, since the corrupt media just kept on putting out bad information after Wednesday’s polite lecture, here is Dr. Birx reinforcing those messages as they relate specifically to New York at Thursday’s press conference:
Dr. Birx rips media hysteria over a potential shortage of beds and ventilators:
“There are still ICU beds remaining and there is still… over a thousand or two thousand ventilators that have not been utilized yet.”pic.twitter.com/rWCNt91ncW
— TheWu-HanClan.357 (@ASimplePatriot) March 26, 2020
Dr. Birx: Then finally the situation about ventilators: We were reassured in a meeting with our colleagues in New York that there are still ICU beds remaining, and there are still significant – over a thousand or two thousand – ventilators that have not been utilized yet.
Please, for the reassurance of people around the world, to wake up this morning and look at people talking about creating DNR situations – Do Not Resuscitate situations for patients – there is no situation in the United States right now that warrants that kind of discussion.
You can be thinking about it in a hospital; certainly, many hospitals talk about this on a daily basis. But to say that to the American people, to make the implication that when they need a hospital bed it’s not going to be there, or when they need that ventilator it’s not going to be there, we don’t have an evidence of that right now.
And it’s our job collectively to assure the American people that, it’s our collective job to make sure that does not happen. Right now, you can see these cases are concentrated in highly-urban areas. There are other parts of the state that have lots of ventilators, and other parts of New York State that don’t have a lot of infections right now.
So we can be creative. We can meet the need by being responsive. But there’s no model right now, no reality on the ground where we can see that 60-70% of Americans are going to get infected in the next 8 to 12 weeks. I just want to be clear about that. So we’re adapting to the reality on the ground. We’re looking at the models and how they can inform, but we are also learning very clearly from South Korea, and from Italy, and from Spain.
[End]
There, clear enough? Certainly, it will be to any reader of Today’s Campaign Update, since you are all well-meaning and intelligent people with actual functioning synapses in your cranial cavities.
But what about the hate-filled, rage-filled liberal clowns who infest the corrupt news media? All you need to do is look at how former Clinton press secretary Joe Lockhart, himself a paid contributor at CNN, responded to Dr. Birx’s Thursday comments:
Dr Birk has drunk the Kool Aid
— Joe Lockhart (@joelockhart) March 26, 2020
The guy’s such an ignorant jackass that he can’t even spell her name correctly. And he is utterly typical of the people working in the corrupt national news media today.
Don’t get me wrong here: I am not attempting to downplay the seriousness of this virus. All I am trying to do is deal with reality, and with the facts on the ground. We should all be watching the daily Coronavirus Task Force updates, and updates provided by our state and local officials.
My wife and I are staying at home, other than trips to the grocery and drug stores. We are washing our hands 25 times a day, if not more. We are social distancing like a couple of fiends. We are driving our cat stark, raving mad with our constant presence in the house. We are following every piece of advice that these experts and public officials are giving us, and so should you.
What we are NOT doing is spending even a moment watching CNN or MSNBC or any of the three major broadcast networks, because we know that we will get nothing but corrupt disinformation from all of those sources.
This is the model of behavior that everyone should be following, because it is the model of behavior that will get our country past this viral outbreak and our lives returned to some semblance of normalcy as soon as possible.
Let’s all deal with facts and reality: The best way to do that is to ignore the corrupt news media.
That is all.
Hear, hear!
We don’t call it a ‘panic pandemic’ for no good reason at all!
this is not true
neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
1/4 - I think it would be helpful if I cleared up some confusion that has emerged in recent days. Some have interpreted my evidence to a UK parliamentary committee as indicating we have substantially revised our assessments of the potential mortality impact of COVID-19.
4:52 PM · Mar 26, 2020·Twitter for iPhone
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neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
·
14h
Replying to
@neil_ferguson
2/4 -This is not the case. Indeed, if anything, our latest estimates suggest that the virus is slightly more transmissible than we previously thought. Our lethality estimates remain unchanged.
neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
·
14h
3/4 - My evidence to Parliament referred to the deaths we assess might occur in the UK in the presence of the very intensive social distancing and other public health interventions now in place.
neil_ferguson
@neil_ferguson
·
14h
4/4 - Without those controls, our assessment remains that the UK would see the scale of deaths reported in our study (namely, up to approximately 500 thousand).
By the day it’s becoming clearer that the B.S. is being exposed. In the meantime enjoy the light traffic. The useless idiots are off the road.
When this is over we will be wondering why we were so gullible and wondering what happened to the “disappeared” two trillion dollars.
Here is, through a Jewish doctor, a medical protocol which helps human bodies ward off the worst effects of this “flu” virus, and helps people recover.
The out-patient treatment protocol developed by Dr. Vladimir Zelenko, of Monroe, NY, being as follows:
1) Hydroxychloroquine 200mg 2x/d 5 days,
2) Azithromycin 500mg 1/x 5days, and
3) Zinc Sulfate 220mg/d 5 days,
“is inexpensive and generally well tolerated.”
They are the old malaria drug, an antibiotic, and a mineral our body needs to function. It is keeping people out of hospital, and not needing ventilators.
This simple and inexpensive protocol, which is supported by the president - is being first laughed at, then scorned, and now the attempts by those whose god is money, to be withheld from those ill.
Forgive me for having over-posted this information yesterday. Let those whom I annoyed by doing so forgive me.
The information is live-saving. Please let us disseminate this information to every patient and their family, doctor and politician.
Well, maybe not every politician.
Dr. Vladimir Zelenko
845-238-0000
501 Rt 208, Monroe, NY 10950
Upon request, Norski will supply the a copy of Dr. Zelenko’s complete letter, protocol, and video, which has been ccd to President Trump.
Thank you.
“”When this is over we will be wondering why we were so gullible and wondering what happened to the “disappeared” two trillion dollars.””
Agreed, and can’t be said enough...
Same thing with Bush/Obozo recovery $$$
Dr. Birx has a certain encouraging magic to her.
Prince Charles and Boris Johnson might feel you are too conservative.
“My evidence to Parliament referred to the deaths we assess might occur in the UK in the presence of the very intensive social distancing and other public health interventions now in place.”
So what is the “not true”?
They have put those in place. Thus the “NOW”.
As predicted he’s using the act of social distancing as cover for his ridiculous hysterical 500.000 death predictions. He’s a subhuman propagandist whose fearmingering contributed to 3.2 million jobless claims in the US this past week.
So what is the “not true”?
because the previous 500,000 number was with no action and the new 20,000 number is with intense social distancing measures over a long period of time
people are comparing the two , apples and oranges, he didn’t revise anything
if the social distancing is taken off the number rapidly rises again
LOL about your cat.
I hate to spoil the soup but the “data” being referenced in this article seems to be just the opinions of experts or a reference to the ((almost certainly) lying Chinese.
Looking at the chronological data that we actually collect, infections and deaths, will give you very little if any assurance that the spread of this virus is slowing down. It will, eventually. And when it does the rates of growth will slow, flatten out and fall.
I see very little sign of that hoped for transition in the published data. We do have a day or two of better data. That could be the start. I hope so. But it is simply not enough to claim a downward trend.
Pay attention to the situation in New York, particularly NYC. It is about to get much worse.
We will get through this but predictions of when by supposed experts are worth about what you paid for them. They are looking at the same infection and fatality rates as I and many others here at FR are.
Maybe someone knows how to detect positive changes in the seemingly steady trends. If so, there would be a lot interest in hearing how that works. Listening to “experts” is not good enough for me.
The media narrative is that this is Spanish Flu 2.0 and Trump is responsible for how this ends. When this ends as a medical nothing burger and an economic comeback they can’t allow Trump to be held responsible. Will it be Cuomo’s leadership, against all Trumpian odds, that saved the nation?
All models are guess by computer..The new number may be no good either..
But they have more data now...
These so called Drs had no idea so they took the worse case and here we are..
I seriously do not see anything encouraging about the numbers at all.
There were 69,158 new cases and 3,292 deaths in the last 25 hours. Contrast this with one week ago when there were 23,633 new cases and 923 deaths in a 24 hour period.
I graph the daily total cases, deaths, and recoveries every day. The rate of increase of new cases is in an exponential growth phase currently.
The projections that Blackmon is referring to are the worst case scenarios—the projections *if nothing is done*. The efficacy of control measures is shown by how far short of projections the actual numbers fall. The fact that the real numbers are falling short of projections is NOT a sign that the virus is not very serious or that we are victims of some great fear mongering conspiracy. It is a sign that public health measures work.
The bottom line is that we cannot afford to become complacent just because the number of cases is lower than worst case scenarios. The worst case scenario is still a very grave threat until we get this thing under control.
Typically, an outbreak is considered ended when 2 full incubation periods have passed without new cases. We are nowhere near that point yet.
Wuhan is bad stuff if you get a serious case but the media reporting is way over the top and very much misinformation
The do not resuscitate stories are very misleading and really despicable
Given that a large fraction of very critical Wuhan virus patients for whom death is imminent typically have some other very serious ailment, pre existing condition or just plain old failing health from being over 80 yrs old, any of which mean their death is likely in short term even without Wuhan virus.
In these cases, naturally there is some debate as to whether heroic efforts to resuscitate them if they code are justified if there is a huge backlog of other critical patients who need a ventilator.
Why go to heroic efforts to resuscitate a patient Wuhan virus if you would not resuscitate that patient due to prognosis of their pre existing state of health in normal times when there is no concerns about ventilators shortages.
The media lie here is obvious - the part the media is leaving out is that the patient in need of potential resuscitation is already receiving intensive care treatment including a ventilator - the doctors are just debating on heroic measures to revive if the patient expires
Doctors always face this debate with this kind of patient
How hard do really want push to resuscitate when dealing with an 85 year old memory care Alzheimer’s nursing home resident with chronic diabetes and congestive heart failure.
These media people are despicable
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