All models are guess by computer..The new number may be no good either..
But they have more data now...
These so called Drs had no idea so they took the worse case and here we are..
Except there were very few caveats with the original hysterical model guided estimation. The media and these so called experts need to be held accountable for their actions. They use fictitious numbers for political purposes (ie anthropogenic climate change), it massively affects peoples lives, and they have zero accountability. It’s social terrorism plain and simple.