Posted on 04/06/2016 11:01:54 AM PDT by TexasCajun
With his win in Tuesday’s open primary in the blue state of Wisconsin, Ted Cruz has now beaten Donald Trump in 11 of 21 states that have been contested to date outside of the South. Cruz has now beaten Trump in three Midwestern states (Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota—with Cruz having finished second and Trump third in the latter), one Northeastern state (Maine), three Plains states (Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas), three Western Frontier states (Idaho, Utah, and Wyoming), and one state outside of the Lower 48 (Alaska).
The South is Trump country, and he is undefeated there, having posted 11 wins and 0 losses in states ranging from Arkansas and Louisiana to the west and Kentucky and Virginia to the north. Yet Trump has now posted a winning percentage of just .429 (with 9 wins and 12 losses) outside of the South. None of the remaining contests are in the South (unless one considers West Virginia to be part of the South, in which case Trump will likely soon be 12-0 in Southern states).
It is striking that Cruz won in Wisconsin despite John Kasich's continued presence in the race. While the Ohio governor is anything but a juggernaut, his presence helps divide the anti-Trump vote. Indeed, it is not clear what other purpose his candidacy is serving at this point.
Kasich's won-lost record is now 1-31. To put that into perspective, his winning percentage (.031) is exactly half of the historical winning percentage of #15 seeds versus #2 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Outside of his home state of Ohio, Kasich is 0-31, matching the historical winning percentage for #16 seeds. No last-second shot is going to save Kasich.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
yea must be. Here in the south we have to must win states called swing states. Lose them we lose the election.
they are VA, FL where cruz never win a single county, and came third in both.
I’m in FL and trust me there is no enthusiasm for cruz here and it will go to Clinton.
Meaning we lose the election against Clinton. This state is not WI which will go Dem every time.
just answer the questions I posed here.
****************
What is your question you posed?
Now were are the remaining delegates going?
769 delegates remaining to be chosen
479 Trump needs to win
732 Cruz needs to win.
LOL, no I don't think you are.
I wonder how well Cruz will hold up when the media starts giving him the Trump treatment. Never mind. They will completely bury him in about 2 weeks. Cruz may be conservative, but he has no chance in the general. Just wait until women find out more about him.
LOL Thanks
Bookmarking this to see what the statement will be after the April primary results are in...
It is WTA when its over 50 percent and thats expected
Thanks for the info.
Oh I’ve given it 21 days myself before he becomes Bob Dole II.
And they wont have to use much more than Buzzfeed, John Oliver, The Daily Show, Salon, and MSNBC for good measure.
They are covering for him today because he’s a tool for their ends. It blows my mind that his supporters think that there wont be a firestorm pointed at him.
I guess they think Levin, Beck, RedState and NRO will be their “secret weapon”?
He was hammered pretty good by everyone during the government "shutdown." Unlike the other candidates, he's shrugged off the vast majority of the body blows Trump's been trying to land.
"Lyin Ted" is almost worn out by now, for example. The infidelity story has about run its course. What else does Trump have left in his quiver?
The Cruz pump up machine is on warp speed. Didn’t know Wisconsin was that important. Snicker, snort.
Sucks for Ted that the upcoming six primaries in April are east of the Mississippi.
It’s a winner take most state, and Trump will win New York.
There are so many for winning the state, and then 3 for each congressional district won.
So, it’s quite likely that Trump will win all of those delegates.
There are 715 available delegates remaining. Trump needs 494 which is possible. Cruz needs 720 which is impossible.
Therefore, where are the places that Cruz can block Trump out of 226 delegates to keep him at least one below 1237?
Nebraska, Montana, Colorado might go to Cruz naturally, but that’s only a 100 delegates, and Colorado is a caucus and not winner take all.
Best election evah!
Pray America wakes
So in your opinion (that was a good write up by the way), can Cruz with the GE?
Which doesn't include the 12 delegates Trump will get for winning Missouri.
A candidate wins all delegates in a congressional district if he is over 50% in NY.
Liberal math
Trump won 21 out of 31
Cruz won 11 out of 31
So... Cruz has won one more than one-half the number of states Trump has.
Or in other words Trump has not won TWICE AS MANY states any more, only a little less than TWICE AS MANY
So.... something.
The South did not go for him..it was simply that this was an early phase and there were a lot of candidates, and some of these were winner take all states. So he “won” by default, simply because he had more votes individually with his 20-30% than those who represented the other 70-80%, who were divided.
Without the press loving him for his shock value, giving him free publicity and magnifying his marginal wins, Trump would never have made it this far.
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