Skip to comments.Romney’s Road to 270 Relies on ‘Hawkeye Granite’ or ‘Southern Sweep’
Posted on 05/10/2012 9:29:34 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Eager to debunk the conventional wisdom that suggests that the Obama campaign has an easier path to an electoral college victory than they do, Romney campaign officials briefed reporters today on the many ways they can reach the magic 270 number.
With names like the 3-2-1″ plan, the Southern Sweep and Hawkeye Granite, the Romney campaign argues that it can lose some traditionally red states and still win the White House.
In the 4 + 1″ plan, for example, Romney would need to carry four states Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio, but just one of these former red states: Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico or Iowa. A win in Pennsylvania or New Hampshire both of which went blue in 2004 plus the original four would also work.
The 3-2-1″ map requires Romney to win three traditionally Republican states Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana; pick up two states carried by George W. Bush in 2000/2004 Florida and Ohio; and then pick up just one of eight states, many of which were considered Republican before 2008 New Hampshire, New Mexico, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
The path that, in my estimation, looked the most realistic was dubbed the I-80 scenario. In it, Romney would need to hold onto to all the states carried by John McCain, carry the states along Interstate 80 Nevada, Indiana, Colorado, Iowa and Ohio, and then North Carolina and Florida. Colorado is probably the toughest of those states for Romney to carry (and, technically, the interstate doesnt go through there, it snakes along its northern border). If he lost Colorado, hed need to carry Virginia.
The Romney campaign continues to be optimistic about its chances in traditionally blue states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
Like pick Lindsey Graham for a running mate...
There is still enough time and stupidity for the 'pubbies to blow it.
He doesn't have any fans in the oil patch--at least none who'd admit it... Nor in the Natural Gas and Coal industries, which bleeds over into electrical power generation, etc.
He has done his best to make enemies in the Energy sector, and I really don't think he understands how many jobs outside the energy industry that sector supports. Not to mention the promise of higher rates and prices...
Even economic strangulation to the point where gasoline prices drop won't hide higher heating and air conditioning bills...
I have to agree Mittens is toast. WI? Last polling I saw was Obama +8. VA ? Again doubtful, polling +6. NC is a flip of coin. To think amdt 1 is defining is stupid and ignores facts. African Americans will not desert Obama and they voted 2 to 1 on a low turnout primary. NV? Could not even beat Harry. Hispanics kill us there. OH and FL toss up for now. Romney is an incredible boob and can’t brush off simple attacks. You can hate Obama but underestimate his political savy at your peril.
We had a chance to beat a weak sitting president and what happened? We run Romney who in case anyone forgot lost to McCain. He is a lousy campaigner and has no stance on anything. Ground game? Hell Dems will chew him up. IMO
I saw Romney bumper stickers (on different cars, even) on consecutive days during my commute to work here in SE VA. I was gobsmacked, too.
Romney pretty much sucks as a GOP candidate. However he's going to be better than McCain was four years ago and this time around, you are not going to have a whole lot of people starry-eyed for Obama. Yes, Obama will get his core of America-hating socialists but we wouldn't get those votes if we nominated Reagan II.
I forecast a GOP landslide this November that will make 2010 look like a warmup. I'm not excited about the presidential race but the senate and congressional races (as well as the state contests) will give us here on Free Republic much reason for cheer. And a conservative Congress will keep Romney right of center. It will be a different Romney than you saw in Massachusetts when he had a 90%+ Democratic/Socialist state house to govern with.
Romney is a Democrat, and will not win.
Romney CANNOT win. The MSM has gops of materials
just waiting— beginning with Romney’s attacks
Bully Romney. BULLY ROMNEY the BACKSTABBER.
Ever feel like you’ve followed a white rabbit down a hole?
Concur with you guys.
The primary results in NC, WV, IN, and WI all point to good things happening in November.
Squat That Rabbit - Taj Mahal
Reagan lost to Ford in '76. Just sayin'.
I don't see a landslide either. I see a nail-biter. Give Romney OH, FL, VA, and NC + one smaller state, CO or NH perhaps and he barely squeaks past 270. I worry about Virginia. Virgil Goode, who won't break a fraction of one percent anywhere else could potentially spoil Virginia for Romney. Goode has name recognition in his home state where he served as a former congressman. He could conceivably pick up 5% in Virginia. This would be devastating to Romney's chances here. Lose Virginia and he's lost the election.
Don't get too excited, the "One" is not leftist enough for these people. Yes they are communists and they thought by now we would be in socialist utopia, They are disillusioned.
I’m not convinced that he’ll carry Ohio either (and I live in Ohio). He may carry it but, like you said, he needs a lot more than Ohio to reach 270. He has proven to be quite the fighter though and there’s an awful lot of time between now and then so maybe he’ll manage it. I’ll be curious to see how he responds to this hair cutting nonsense. They’re trying to get him on the defense. he needs to get out of the corner and start beating on Obama like he was Newt Gingrich.
That'll be old news in a week. Even the family of the alleged victim (who died in 2004) is denying it happened. That the media has resorted to digging up dirt from Romney's high school years shows that they're pretty desperate right now. At any rate, those who are most outraged by this story had no intention of voting for Romney to begin with.
He's already apologized to anyone he might have bullied as a teenager. If he's smart, he won't make another comment regarding this incident.
So how does that tool justify your defeatism?
Compared to whom? All the people he just beat?
Welcome to the new Free Republic.
If Gen. George S. Patton was here he'd wear his arm out slapping all of the hysterical, blubbering faces around this place.
He handled it perfectly and the story has already unraveled. All in under 24 hrs.
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