Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Romney’s Road to 270 Relies on ‘Hawkeye Granite’ or ‘Southern Sweep’
ABC News ^ | May 10, 2012 | Amy Walter

Posted on 05/10/2012 9:29:34 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Eager to debunk the conventional wisdom that suggests that the Obama campaign has an easier path to an electoral college victory than they do, Romney campaign officials briefed reporters today on the many ways they can reach the magic 270 number.

With names like the “3-2-1″ plan, the “Southern Sweep” and “Hawkeye Granite,” the Romney campaign argues that it can lose some traditionally “red” states and still win the White House.

In the “4 + 1″ plan, for example, Romney would need to carry four states – Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio, but just one of these former “red” states: Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico or Iowa. A win in Pennsylvania or New Hampshire – both of which went “blue” in 2004 – plus the original four would also work.

The “3-2-1″ map requires Romney to win three traditionally Republican states – Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana; pick up two states carried by George W. Bush in 2000/2004 – Florida and Ohio; and then pick up just one of eight states, many of which were considered Republican before 2008 – New Hampshire, New Mexico, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

The path that, in my estimation, looked the most realistic was dubbed the I-80 scenario. In it, Romney would need to hold onto to all the states carried by John McCain, carry the states along Interstate 80 – Nevada, Indiana, Colorado, Iowa and Ohio, and then North Carolina and Florida. Colorado is probably the toughest of those states for Romney to carry (and, technically, the interstate doesn’t go through there, it snakes along its northern border). If he lost Colorado, he’d need to carry Virginia.

The Romney campaign continues to be optimistic about its chances in traditionally blue states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-66 next last
To: BillyBoy
But I have a sinking feeling about Romney, and that he'll find someway to screw this up. Ick.

Like pick Lindsey Graham for a running mate...

There is still enough time and stupidity for the 'pubbies to blow it.

21 posted on 05/11/2012 12:58:36 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Salamander
I’m out here in relatively Normal World and not seeing much *for* him a’tall.....;D

He doesn't have any fans in the oil patch--at least none who'd admit it... Nor in the Natural Gas and Coal industries, which bleeds over into electrical power generation, etc.

He has done his best to make enemies in the Energy sector, and I really don't think he understands how many jobs outside the energy industry that sector supports. Not to mention the promise of higher rates and prices...

Even economic strangulation to the point where gasoline prices drop won't hide higher heating and air conditioning bills...

22 posted on 05/11/2012 1:06:00 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: VRWC For Truth

I have to agree Mittens is toast. WI? Last polling I saw was Obama +8. VA ? Again doubtful, polling +6. NC is a flip of coin. To think amdt 1 is defining is stupid and ignores facts. African Americans will not desert Obama and they voted 2 to 1 on a low turnout primary. NV? Could not even beat Harry. Hispanics kill us there. OH and FL toss up for now. Romney is an incredible boob and can’t brush off simple attacks. You can hate Obama but underestimate his political savy at your peril.

We had a chance to beat a weak sitting president and what happened? We run Romney who in case anyone forgot lost to McCain. He is a lousy campaigner and has no stance on anything. Ground game? Hell Dems will chew him up. IMO


23 posted on 05/11/2012 1:49:00 AM PDT by chopperjc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
"No presidential candidate in the future will be so inept that four of his major speeches can be boiled down to these historic four sentences: Agriculture is important. Our rivers are full of fish. You cannot have freedom without liberty. Our future lies ahead."
~ Louisville Courier-Journal, Nov 18, 1948
24 posted on 05/11/2012 2:02:42 AM PDT by mkjessup (Romney is to conservatism what Helen Thomas is to a high fashion model walkway.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Salamander

I saw Romney bumper stickers (on different cars, even) on consecutive days during my commute to work here in SE VA. I was gobsmacked, too.


25 posted on 05/11/2012 2:11:09 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Dragonspirit
Lot of Romney-haters on this thread who seem to cheerleading for an Obama victory to "show the rest of us up." Well, I can understand their bitterness, as I had a difficult time getting over the fact that Sarah Palin never even ran, but I like my country too much to wish for its destruction just because the GOP did not nominate a pure conservative.

Romney pretty much sucks as a GOP candidate. However he's going to be better than McCain was four years ago and this time around, you are not going to have a whole lot of people starry-eyed for Obama. Yes, Obama will get his core of America-hating socialists but we wouldn't get those votes if we nominated Reagan II.

I forecast a GOP landslide this November that will make 2010 look like a warmup. I'm not excited about the presidential race but the senate and congressional races (as well as the state contests) will give us here on Free Republic much reason for cheer. And a conservative Congress will keep Romney right of center. It will be a different Romney than you saw in Massachusetts when he had a 90%+ Democratic/Socialist state house to govern with.

26 posted on 05/11/2012 2:35:54 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Today, I officially outlive Phil Hartman)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: SamAdams76

Romney is a Democrat, and will not win.

Romney CANNOT win. The MSM has gops of materials
just waiting— beginning with Romney’s attacks
against gays.

Bully Romney. BULLY ROMNEY the BACKSTABBER.


27 posted on 05/11/2012 2:48:20 AM PDT by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: ScottinVA

Ever feel like you’ve followed a white rabbit down a hole?

;D


28 posted on 05/11/2012 3:41:37 AM PDT by Salamander (Hey blood brother, you're one of our own. You're as sharp as a razor and as hard as a stone.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: rogue yam; GOPsterinMA

Concur with you guys.

The primary results in NC, WV, IN, and WI all point to good things happening in November.


29 posted on 05/11/2012 3:44:44 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Salamander

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n18n9FdKNNw
Squat That Rabbit - Taj Mahal


30 posted on 05/11/2012 3:49:34 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: chopperjc
We run Romney who in case anyone forgot lost to McCain.

Reagan lost to Ford in '76. Just sayin'.

31 posted on 05/11/2012 3:52:08 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: RC one
play around with this interactive electoral vote map and tell me if you still think that Romney will be winning by a landslide or even at all.

I don't see a landslide either. I see a nail-biter. Give Romney OH, FL, VA, and NC + one smaller state, CO or NH perhaps and he barely squeaks past 270. I worry about Virginia. Virgil Goode, who won't break a fraction of one percent anywhere else could potentially spoil Virginia for Romney. Goode has name recognition in his home state where he served as a former congressman. He could conceivably pick up 5% in Virginia. This would be devastating to Romney's chances here. Lose Virginia and he's lost the election.

32 posted on 05/11/2012 3:59:11 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Salamander
His Birkenstock/patchouli incense constituency is fleeing him?

Don't get too excited, the "One" is not leftist enough for these people. Yes they are communists and they thought by now we would be in socialist utopia, They are disillusioned.

33 posted on 05/11/2012 4:06:24 AM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Drew68

I’m not convinced that he’ll carry Ohio either (and I live in Ohio). He may carry it but, like you said, he needs a lot more than Ohio to reach 270. He has proven to be quite the fighter though and there’s an awful lot of time between now and then so maybe he’ll manage it. I’ll be curious to see how he responds to this hair cutting nonsense. They’re trying to get him on the defense. he needs to get out of the corner and start beating on Obama like he was Newt Gingrich.


34 posted on 05/11/2012 4:22:17 AM PDT by RC one (all y'all had to do was vote for Newt but noooooo, he wasn't good enough.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: RC one
I’ll be curious to see how he responds to this hair cutting nonsense.

That'll be old news in a week. Even the family of the alleged victim (who died in 2004) is denying it happened. That the media has resorted to digging up dirt from Romney's high school years shows that they're pretty desperate right now. At any rate, those who are most outraged by this story had no intention of voting for Romney to begin with.

He's already apologized to anyone he might have bullied as a teenager. If he's smart, he won't make another comment regarding this incident.

35 posted on 05/11/2012 5:09:05 AM PDT by Drew68 (I WILL vote to defeat Barack Hussein Obama!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: chopperjc
I have to agree Mittens is toast. WI? Last polling I saw was Obama +8. VA ? Again doubtful, polling +6. NC is a flip of coin.

-

Not bad actually, considering Romney's not even our candidate yet.

Some portion of voters, won't support someone until they're a "winner". The fact Romney's already head to head against OCommunist before he's even the designated GOP champion, means he'll gain from here.

36 posted on 05/11/2012 5:15:38 AM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Vote for the straight guy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: RC one

So how does that tool justify your defeatism?


37 posted on 05/11/2012 6:38:54 AM PDT by rogue yam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: chopperjc
He is a lousy campaigner...

Compared to whom? All the people he just beat?

38 posted on 05/11/2012 6:41:08 AM PDT by rogue yam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: SamAdams76
Lot of Romney-haters on this thread who seem to cheerleading for an Obama victory to "show the rest of us up."

Welcome to the new Free Republic.

If Gen. George S. Patton was here he'd wear his arm out slapping all of the hysterical, blubbering faces around this place.

39 posted on 05/11/2012 6:45:20 AM PDT by rogue yam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: RC one
I’ll be curious to see how he responds to this hair cutting nonsense.

He handled it perfectly and the story has already unraveled. All in under 24 hrs.

40 posted on 05/11/2012 6:49:02 AM PDT by rogue yam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-66 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson