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For Now, A Third Party's An Empty Threat (GOP evangelical leaders)
The Atlantic ^ | October 1, 2007 | Marc Ambinder

Posted on 10/01/2007 11:46:51 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Like a cranky older child demanding the attention of his parents doting over their newer infant, the threat of some conservative leaders to seceed from the Republican Party is, at this point, more bombast than susbtance.

Sources close to the evangelical leaders on the call are plain: the talk "was an attempt to signal that Giuliani is unacceptable," one of them says.

The thinking inside social conservative circles this morning is that their leaders' desire to defer to James Dobson -- still the movement's cappo di tutti cappi -- led them to make a tactical blunder. Threatening Giuliani is not the way to preserve influence if he's the nominee.

The breakout group of CNPers first broached -- or floated -- the idea of a third party candidate at a CNP meeting in Miami in 2005, sources say. At that point, though, members decided to wait and see whether George Allen would survive his Senate race. Allen did not. Fast forward to mid 2007. The CNP's executive director, Steve Baldwin, was singing the praises of Fred Thompson to some CNP fundraisers and members. The members did not fall in love Thompson, either. And here we are.

Tony Perkins, James Dobson, and many other leading lights of the social conservative political apparatus, are perceived by their members to have seats at the table in the Bush Administration. Whether they exert real influence is unclear -- probably less than they'd admit, but more than skeptical reporters (myself included) think...(continued)

(Excerpt) Read more at marcambinder.theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 3rdparty; abortion; christianity; christians; conservatism; conservatives; electionpresident; elections; evangelicals; fred; fredthompson; georgebush; gop; jamesdobson; karlrove; patrickbuchanan; presidentbush; prolife; religion; republicans; rinorudy; rudygiuliani; socialconservatives; tonyperkins
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I feel they will regret snubbing Fred Thompson.
1 posted on 10/01/2007 11:46:55 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I wish Dobson and his followers would realize this is a POLITICAL party.

Some people are so into their religion that instead of just practicing it, they have to turn every non-religious organization and activity into an extention of that religious practice. I get the feeling some would prefer if we had a Catholic Republican Party, a Baptist Republican Party, a Jewish, etc. so they can feel like "their own" are the only ones let in.

2 posted on 10/01/2007 11:52:48 PM PDT by Darkwolf377 (Pro-Life atheist living in Boston)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This guy’s projecting like a Cineplex.

Even Karl Rove admitted Christians staying home was why 2000 was such a squeaker. This has been coming for a long time, but some yoyo always manages to convince the republican leadership Christians have nowhere to go.


3 posted on 10/01/2007 11:58:24 PM PDT by papertyger
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I feel they will regret snubbing Fred Thompson.

They will have plenty of chances to come back around. I don't expect rank-and-file evangelical Christians to overwhelmingly support Rooty in the primaries. If Fred wins the nomination, as I think he will, these evangelical leaders will then have an opportunity to "come to Jesus" regarding Fred. I expect most of them will realize the inanity of doing anything other than supporting Fred's candidacy at that point.

4 posted on 10/01/2007 11:58:44 PM PDT by rogue yam
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Like a cranky older child demanding the attention of his parents doting over their newer infant, the threat of some conservative leaders to seceed from the Republican Party is, at this point, more bombast than susbtance

Smells to me like what got Clintoon I elected in '92 without a majority of the votes.

And when I close me eyes I can see a short angry man with jug ears saying:"Larry what we gotta do is lift up the hood....."

This is the perfect prescription to let Clintoon II in again without an absolute majority.

5 posted on 10/02/2007 12:00:21 AM PDT by ninonitti
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

at the margins people will simply not vote for Rudy, they will not work hard to get out the vote for rudy and that will make a difference in key battleground states


6 posted on 10/02/2007 12:00:33 AM PDT by ari-freedom (I am for traditional moral values, a strong national defense, and free markets.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Push me Marc Abinder?!


7 posted on 10/02/2007 12:01:53 AM PDT by JSDude1 (When a liberal represents the Presidential Nominee for the Republicans; THEY'RE TOAST)
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To: Darkwolf377
I wish Dobson and his followers would realize this is a POLITICAL party.

And, maybe you ought to realize that certain people care more about the issues they believe in than whether Republicans win or not.

From a political standpoint, Giuliani will drive out millions from the GOP and can't hold the south. The GOP would be far better off if he quit the race.

8 posted on 10/02/2007 12:09:25 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: papertyger
This has been coming for a long time, but some yoyo always manages to convince the republican leadership Christians have nowhere to go.

There is no chance of that happening this time.

9 posted on 10/02/2007 12:11:03 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Most of them haven’t, mainly it has been Dobson. Mainly, imo, because he had another choice in mind.

I disagree with the bottom paragraphs, that Rudy would feel indebted and therefore be more in allaince with social conservative’s. Fool’s gold.

I do think some people have made a mistake.

Yes, I DO feel the coalition will fracture with rudy as a nominee. The republicans are kidding themselves if they believe otherwise. Even IF in some fantasy it did not, Reagan Democrats aren’t voting for him. Then there are those conservative’s that don’t bother to vote absent a Presidential election because of these issues. Yeah, count them out. No amount of lectures about DEMOCRATS managed to coerce these voters into voting for republicans in 2006, and it won’t work in 2008.

Where I feel some “leaders” have gone wrong, is that they assessed Thompson and didn’t for whatever reason feel he was good enough. And their congregations apparently assessed him and feel differently. Those poll numbers have risen in spite of everyone telling us not to support him, and those numbers have come from conservatives/christians. IMO, some people need to get back in touch with their base. Not just Republican politicians, but punditry and coalitions on the right. From what I can tell the only coalition typically aligned with the right in presidential politics the last few years that is listening to its base...is the NRA.

Speaking only for myself as a social conservative all my life, Thompson’s acceptable to me. I may not have nailed G.W.B.’s character completely (never suspected the names he’d call his base), but I was right that if he EVER found a VETO pen it would be on embryonic stem cell research.

I was right about his faith and pro-life credentials.

I was right in opposing Clinton, although I think people were also right to oppose Bush 41 with his new world order talk and questionable stance on life.

I don’t think Thompson is as deeply religious as Reagan or as pro life as Bush, but I don’t believe his views are too far away to make him unacceptable. I have a pretty good track record on social/pro-life/faith candidates and have cause to trust my instincts here whatever their scepticism on top.


10 posted on 10/02/2007 12:11:53 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (A government that’s big enough to do everything for us is powerful enough to do anything to us.- F.T)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I have looked at many third parties, and been made privy to the inner dealings of the largest. What I found in the largest were people that had draped themselves in Christian themes, but their heart are full of hatred, and what they seek is a time when they can make a corrupt political system serve their own selfish needs.

I believe there is room for a good third party dedicated to ending the corruption that is government today. There is not such a party on the horizon at this time.

11 posted on 10/02/2007 12:14:18 AM PDT by backtothestreets (My bologna has a first name, it's J-O-R-G-E)
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To: Darkwolf377

Christians have just as much right to get involved in the political process as the NRA does. Are you going to knock the NRA because it says it doesn’t support a certain candidate because that candidate doesn’t support gun rights? Then why are you upset with Dobson for saying he won’t vote for Rudy if he gets the nomination? Ann Coulter said the same thing and I agree with both of them. It’s not because of what they said that makes me say I won’t vote for Rudy, it is the principle of pro-life that I adhere to. Do I have a litmus test? You bet I do, just like all those who say they won’t vote for Hillary have a litmus test also.


12 posted on 10/02/2007 12:14:51 AM PDT by taxesareforever (Never forget Matt Maupin)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Win first, sort out ideological differences later.
Wasn’t that Reagan’s philosophy?


13 posted on 10/02/2007 12:18:46 AM PDT by Soft Bigotry
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To: Soul Seeker

Former Senator Fred Thompson is the only major candidate that gets it. He makes decisions based on principles. Principles don’t change. You have to stand for something and not change who you are based on the polls. That is what Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani have done and all of the Democrats do it. Give me a leader that will stand by his principles anyday versus someone that stands for everything.

I know many, many Republicans that will stay home if Rudy Giuliani is the candidate. He does not represent our values as Conservatives, and never will. Mitt Romney is a RINO (though seemingly a very nice man) that simply has everything else and nothing to do. “I guess I’ll just try to buy the presidency”. Conservatives will simply stay home and the Democrats will pick up additional seats in the House and probably get the 60 seats in the Senate they need to completely destroy our Country. Nice picture huh?

However, I think Fred can bring America back together, if that’s even possible. America needs a rebirth of patriotism and honor. Republicans also need a rebirth. President Reagan was our last rebirth and he can never be duplicated. Fred Thompson will bring his own down-to-earth common sense to this Country and strength back to our party. A little of the good old days of faith and family would do well for this Country. If a Conservative runs as a Conservative, he will win!

Think of it this way: Eight years of another Clinton White House? Now if that is not a sufficient enough reason to pull together as a party, as a Country, and fight this socialist liberal takeover of our government, what is? It is not impossible to take back the House and the Senate. We are winning in Iraq—they know it. The best they can do now is stop our progress and choose defeat, just like they did during Vietnam. We lost because Congress chose defeat. History repeats itself when not learned from.

Folks, we are in for the fight of our lives, just as our young men and women are fighting for our freedoms in Iraq and Afghanistan, we must fight for our Country right here and now! I truly believe Fred Thompson is the one man who can pull this party and nation back together! Rudy Giuliani will just tear us apart as a party. Liberal is liberal every day of the week.

Really tick off the leftist democrats and contribute to Fred Thompson: https://www.fred08.com/contribute.aspx?RefererID=c637caaa-315c-4b4c-9967-08d864cd0791


14 posted on 10/02/2007 12:23:43 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (https://www.fred08.com/contribute.aspx?RefererID=c637caaa-315c-4b4c-9967-08d864cd0791)
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To: taxesareforever
Christians have just as much right to get involved in the political process as the NRA does.

And I said they didn't...where?

15 posted on 10/02/2007 12:25:23 AM PDT by Darkwolf377 (Pro-Life atheist living in Boston)
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To: Ol' Sparky
And, maybe you ought to realize that certain people care more about the issues they believe in than whether Republicans win or not. From a political standpoint, Giuliani will drive out millions from the GOP and can't hold the south. The GOP would be far better off if he quit the race.

Yeah.

Whatever this has to do with what I posted, I have absolutely no idea, but...yeah.

16 posted on 10/02/2007 12:26:13 AM PDT by Darkwolf377 (Pro-Life atheist living in Boston)
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To: taxesareforever

I believe the owner of this site has made a similiar declaration about not supporting Rudy, but the Christian bashers here have been ignoring that stance.

I’m not happy with Dobson, but not for the reasons the bashers of Christian involvement in politics have. I simply don’t think he was honest about his reasons for opposing Thompson. I don’t care if he has another candidate. i just want him to be honest about it.

All the same, unless people want to bash the involvement of the NRA, The Fairtax movement, CFG, etc...I do think they have no place deriding the organization of social conservatives. It reveals a bias on their part, and I want no part of it.


17 posted on 10/02/2007 12:27:33 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (A government that’s big enough to do everything for us is powerful enough to do anything to us.- F.T)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Great post.


18 posted on 10/02/2007 12:28:45 AM PDT by Darkwolf377 (Pro-Life atheist living in Boston)
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To: Soft Bigotry
Win first, sort out ideological differences later.

That's the point. Christians have been handing the republicans victories since the eighties with damn near nothing to show for it in the one issue that got them involved in the first place.

And now a very strong contingent of the republican party wants to put up an abortion advocate.

That's not dancing with the one that brung ya; that's laughing at them for thinking they ever had a chance!

19 posted on 10/02/2007 12:29:11 AM PDT by papertyger
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To: Darkwolf377

“I wish Dobson and his followers would realize this is a POLITICAL party.
Some people are so into their religion that instead of just practicing it, they have to turn every non-religious organization and activity into an extention of that religious practice. I get the feeling some would prefer if we had a Catholic Republican Party, a Baptist Republican Party, a Jewish, etc. so they can feel like “their own” are the only ones let in.”

Darn right. How dare these people seek to promote their principles? What are they thinking, that this is some kinda participatory system where they, too, are allowed to adhere to their moral values? When are they going to realize they are expected to shut up and support their betters regardless of what positions they may take on issues these people consider fundamental and non-negotiable? Stay in your churches, Dobson and others, and vote as you are told by your superiors such as Darkwolf377.


20 posted on 10/02/2007 12:33:30 AM PDT by Robwin
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