Posted on 06/22/2020 2:08:09 PM PDT by sodpoodle
1- Basic auto repair shops will disappear. Read on to know why.
2- A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has only 20 parts. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor.
3- Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with robots
4- Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a new electric motor!
5- Gas pumps will go away.
6- Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started in the developed world.
7- Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build only electric cars.
8-Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away. Drilling for oil will stop. Say goodbye to OPEC! The middle east is in trouble.
9- Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day and than they use, and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and dispense it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof?
10- A baby of today will see personal cars only in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.
11- In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?
12- What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years ... and most of us don't see it coming.
13- Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you'd NEVER take pictures on film again? With today’s smartphones, who even has a camera these days?
14- Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law – that technological capacity will DOUBLE every year. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became 'way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years.
15- It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.
16- Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4 th Industrial Revolution.
17- Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
18- UBER is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world! Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming.
19- Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties. Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.
20- Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
21- In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of computers, you can get legal advice (so far for right now, the basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy – compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, (what a thought!) only omniscient specialists will remain.
22- Computer programs already help nurses diagnosing cancer, and the programs are 4 times more accurate than human nurses.
23- Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans...
24- Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here. In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. You won’t WANT to own a car anymore as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination
25- You will not need to park it. You will pay only for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving The very young children of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.
26- This will change our cities because we will need 90-95% fewer cars. We can transform former parking lots into green parks.
27- About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles. With autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles. That will save more than a million lives worldwide each year.
28- Some traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt. They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
29- Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year – with the 2019 models using all-electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out the hybrid models.
30- Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla – and they should be. Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles. That was unheard of only a few years ago.
31- Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the costs will become cheaper. Their auto insurance business model will disappear.
32- Real estate will change. If you can work from home (or from literally anywhere), people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful affordable locations ...
33- Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.
34- Cities will have much cleaner air as well.
35- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.
36- Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. And it’s just getting ramped up.
37- Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.
38- Health: The "Tricorder X" will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the Tricorder from Star Trek) that works with your phone – taking your retina scan, your blood sample, and you breathe into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. There are dozens of phone apps out right now for health.
WELCOME TO TOMORROW! – some of these actually arrived already.
Only read this far. He's full of sh*t. Where does he think Electricity comes from? Vast majority comes from Coal and Natural Gas.
My 2018 Honda CRV is about halfway capable of driving itself. With Lane Assist and adaptive cruise control it can travel the Interstate with very little input from me. First time I saw it in action, I was amazed. Makes long car trips (remember them?) much easier. Because I’m older, I still keep my hands on the wheel and my foot ready to hit the brake. Studies have shown that younger drivers are much more trusting of the tech than geezers.
There is a company that offers a kit that upgrades all of this to the equivalent of Tesla’s Auto Pilot. I can certainly see kids being born right now never learning to drive—the car will do it for them. It happens. My grandfather, born in the 1870s knew how to drive a horse-drawn buggy and learned to drive a car. His son, my dad, never drove a horse in his life.
Electric cars may well be the future—but there’s going to have to be a battery breakthrough. Waiting up to an hour for a fill up won’t ever work for a lot of people. And that electricity isn’t going to generate itself.
“35- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.”
If it is truly “cheap” it will be heavily taxed. Not unlike a landline home telephone where the taxes and government fees exceed the cost of the service in many location. Booze, cigarettes, and gasoline being other examples of heavily taxed inexpensive to produce products.
You missed the part about no one will own cars anymore. The rest of your points may or may happen.
Wow the first 5 are such 100% hokum I couldn’t get past it. Wish we could find the author, so we could throw rotten vegetables at him, cause he’s stupid and should feel shame.
I personally liked #26 best.
26- The Clinton Foundation will be killing people long after Hillary herself is gone.
They’ll Be Spandex Jackets, one for everyone.
Me too, as promised by Popular Science magazine. We will be astounded by change but likely not in the way the article described. Luckily I retired 5 years ago. Today my job is done by a set of algorithms.
better question what are you going to replace steel with, no coal no steel.
Most families will need a gasoline powered vehicle for long trips of more than 50 miles.
You assume no further disruptions in the current transportation marketplace.
Be aware of tunnel vision. Even my contribution here has problems with tunnel vision, who can predict what solutions will take hold that we can't dream of today.
NO, houses will generate electricity and sell it to the grid I don’t know who will buy the electricity, maybe those on the other side of the world in the dark. We can purchase their power during our night.
Everything ties into electricity, which must use Nuclear, Coal, Hydro or a new source. Solar panels and wind turbines are a joke.
Bkmk
There is not enough electicity generation capacity to move people around the country with it daily.
Not close.
Naive, short sighted futurism.
Ever take an Amtrak train any distance in the country? Incredibly slow and time consuming. I live in Reno, NV. I can easily drive to Sacramento in less than three hours. Amtrak takes 5-6 hours and dumps you out in a crappy part of town. Loading and unloading vehicles would add hours to the trip. Look into how well the Chunnel works. The only reason it is used is because the alternative is a boat at 13 mph.
I read an article recently somwhere about a major breakthrough in power capacitors. Maybe that’s the future ..?
Production of electricity from solar energy is a chimera. It shall NEVER be cost-effective, so long as it relies upon uninterrupted sunshine, and is tied to some kind of bank of batteries in “off hours”,
In fact, any application of electrical power that relies even in part on battery storage is both cumbersome and excessively expensive in terms of resources and dollars per unit of electricity that is supposed to be available.
On-board electric generation is the only practical solution for a self-contained system like a motor vehicle or remote location without access to a grid of power supply. This may be done in several ways.
One is the widespread adoption of hydrogen fuel cells, or a modification of the technology in which hydrogen may be generated from hydrocarbon sources to be used to power a fuel cell. Another is to make a very small Thorium-fueled nuclear reactor that may generate the electric power directly that is fed to the electric power units and other needs for the proper operation of the platform, as computer power or lighting.
The applied science is not yet there, but with determination, it shall come. Expect any such breakthroughs to be greatly resisted by the stasis that is the part of the human psyche.
Every once in a while, you have nimble minds that skip over this resistance. Pray for their inspiration.
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