Most families will need a gasoline powered vehicle for long trips of more than 50 miles.
You assume no further disruptions in the current transportation marketplace.
Be aware of tunnel vision. Even my contribution here has problems with tunnel vision, who can predict what solutions will take hold that we can't dream of today.
Ever take an Amtrak train any distance in the country? Incredibly slow and time consuming. I live in Reno, NV. I can easily drive to Sacramento in less than three hours. Amtrak takes 5-6 hours and dumps you out in a crappy part of town. Loading and unloading vehicles would add hours to the trip. Look into how well the Chunnel works. The only reason it is used is because the alternative is a boat at 13 mph.