Louisiana Election Turnout Thread- Here come the results

C-SPAN ^ | Dec. 6, 2002 | Brian Lamme

[ewing]

Tell us how crowded/not crowded it was when you went to vote!

Did you see voter fraud and what is the talk about exit polling and the possible outcome?

[GoMonster]

senator loser breaux in on fox now. he is predicting Laundrieu win.

[winin2000]

Seriously my fellow American, check out who is Attorney General. Also, who is LA Governor. Also, who is State Elections Commissioner!

C'mon, dude, are that new to the game? You know, or I guess you don't know, how it works.

Foster was Governor in 1996 also; and in any event has little control over what happens behind closed doors in dozens of RAT controlled polling places. They wait 'til late evening without reporting, find out what kind of margin they've got to overcome, and if it's even remotely doable, they manufacture however many they need and report in at the last minute to put the RAT over the top.

And they are as brazen as they please, because they know the first peep of protest from a white Republican will be shouted down with howls of - oh, c'mon guess - "racism!"

At which point the GOP dutifully rolls up into a fetal position and lets it go! You can hold as many local offices as you please, but if you ain't inside the ghetto polling places, you're just as vulnerable as ever.

[McGavin999]

The pubbies need to outsmart this by holding back the vote in several safe republican districts. They can claim problems with the equipment, whatever, even a spilled cup of coffee on a printout requireing a carefully monitored recount. Let's see who can outwait who.

[Sparta]

"senator loser breaux"

Will be ex-Senator Breaux in 2004.

[comebacknewt]

Does he look confident?

[stands2reason]

Eagle Scout bump!

[GoMonster]

couldn't really tell. good news is the next guy was the congressman from LA who said Terrell was going to win. Wouldn't read to much in it. However, i wished he looked depressed so I would feel better.

[Holden Magroin]

South-Central Louisiana State University bump.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Can you tell us more about where you are getting your data to come up with the models and the data to do your predictions using the models? Are you just operating off poll numbers or what? Do you have voter registration trends or turnout trends you are using? How do you account for the variables (presidential job approval, number of visits by him)? How many variables do you use?

[GoMonster]

Ditto's

[truth defector]

It is kind of like the sun coming up in the morning. You can count on it. If I knew how they did it, they wouldn't be able to get away with it. The rep answer to the fraud is to win by a landslide so that it doesn't matter. Works for me, but in a close race, as in SD the thief takes the prize.

[No dems 2002]

"senator loser breaux in on fox now. he is predicting Laundrieu win."

Did you think he would say that she would lose? Don't pin anything on that.

[ST.LOUIE1]

BUMP!

Thanks for the thread.

[deport]

I do feel Terrell will run 10 points behind in Orleans, what she does statewide as a whole,

Suzie will have to kick it up to do that... Mary carried 75% of the vote in Orleans in the primary... so if Mary holds close to that number I don't see how Suzie can only be 10 points below her statewide average and still win. Maybe I'm missing something here.

[unspun]

"They wait 'til late evening without reporting, find out what kind of margin they've got to overcome, and if it's even remotely doable, they manufacture however many they need and report in at the last minute to put the RAT over the top."

Not when there's a (Republican) state or federal official with eyes on the ballot --and a sizeable bladder.

[txrangerette]

Has anyone ever seen Breaux appear
either jubilant or depressed? Not me!

Breaux is "Mr. Cool" no matter what.

I don't see his face as a barometer.

[clintonh8r]

Yes, Newt went to Tulane, as did Bob Livingston (as well as clintonh8r).. go Greenies!

[crystalk]

There are 19 but most of them don't change from day to day, but the Black Turnout statewide, which even yesterday was showing nearly 22 [pct of all votes cast], and now looks like not even 21, maybe just a peek over 20 even. And it seems that Orleans is the main place where that is happening.

If there is going to be a big fraudulent vote, somebody needs to stand outside these precincts this afternoon and evening and be able to say that nowhere near the number of people came in, that were said to have voted.

Another interesting factor is that this has the factor for Neither Black nor White, which no one else is looking at in Louisiana, but there do now seem to be Hispanics, Asians, and Mixed Race voters in the state, and this is now looking like over 4% of the total vote, a higher turnout than for Whites.

And it looks very good for Terrell, if I dared to say it I would say it may be more Republican than the White vote.

But Louisiana is always a fascinating study, and only in America, huh.

[ewing]

No problemo!

[Recovering_Democrat]

Hi, boys and girls. I'm John Edwards. I used to be able to obstruct President Bush's judges, but now I'm reduced to whining on Meet The Press and in front of crowds like ya'll.