[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

I love this report!

[Karsus]

Which GOP is this? The report can not be talking about the current GOP, the one in control of DC, the one that loves illegals from Mexico and H1B visa holders, the one that keeps their mouth shut when GOP govs raise taxes instead of cutting goverment.

That GOP? If they don't start doing what they preach they do not stand a chance.

[truth_seeker]

It is my hope that Scott Rasmussen is CORRECT in this prediction.

I do recall, however, that for Nov. 2000, he missed the mark. He predicted Bush by a few percentage points, and he was wrong.

[Clintons Are White Trash]

This should be enough to send my sister the Democrat looking for a bridge to jump from. I think she just now took her head out of the oven from the election results in Nov.

[AndyTheBear]

Before losing its majority in the 1994 midterm elections, Democrats controlled the House for 40 years

I think the Pubbie majority has more to do with Clinton then with Bush--primarily a delayed reaction to the sleaze. I think many who did not want to acknollege Rat corruption while Clinton was POTUS, are acknolleging it now. I suppose what old Abe said still applies today:

"But You can't fool all of the people all of the time"

[Dark Wing]

ping

[Johnny Shear]

I was excited about this thread! Then I saw it came from World Net Daily.....

Since it's from them, I can only assume it's propaganda. Sigh...

[maxwell]

Also, making inroads with minority voters remains a focus of the party, though conservatives fear that effort will lead to promises of new spending on old social programs.

Is this an insinuation that the only way to appeal to minority voters is to buy 'em?

If that's true, that doesn't speak well of minority voters...

[Diddle E. Squat]

Don't confuse opportunity with inevitability.

[u-89]

There are way too many variables to make such a prediction. 1st if it weren't for the war the GOP might not have faired so well against Democrat attacks this past year. Second increasing numbers of immigrants could tip the balance back to the Dems. Then there is vote fraud. There is the GOP itself aka. The Stupid Party. They're good at screwing things up or depressing the base. Next if the war goes wrong somehow or a major economic downturn occurs the GOP will be wiped out.

On the plus side the malcontents over the immigration issue will still vote GOP just out of fear over a Dem winning. They can carp all they want but they're not going anywhere just like conservatives who cry about RINOs and the establishment. Also a plus for Bush and the GOP is that they have recognized the reality that we are a socialist welfare state and old fashioned conservatism is dead so they are forging a new centrist party. They will not try to out liberal the liberals they will paint the liberals and the old conservatives as out of the main stream. They will forward a pragmatic "workable" governance program and go after the undecided voters and centrist Dems. This could be a long term winning "stra-tee-gery". From my libertarian point of view it might not be so keen but from cold analytical perspective it's workable.

[TRY ONE]

"GOP to dominate for generation ..."

Is this sorta like two years ago:
"The budget surplus is here for ~10 more years!!

[TaRaRaBoomDeAyGoreLostToday!]

bump for later reading!

[TaRaRaBoomDeAyGoreLostToday!]

[Willie Green]

"One of the surprises in the data … was that the economy and war issues were intertwined, almost as a single issue. As international tensions rose, the economy suffered, so one of the best economic policies for the president to follow was to focus on national security problems."

Following the 9/11 travesty, it's not surprising at all that this was true for the 2002 elections. However, it is unlikely that it will hold for '04, let alone a whole "generation". And sadly, Dubya's pushing all the wrong economic/trade/immigration buttons to turn things around.

The article is more wishful thinking than thoughtful analysis.

[Salvation]

Traditional Values Coalition

Democrats Face Minority Status For Generation

Thursday, December 05 @ 20:31:10 EST


Summary: Two recent analyses of the future of the Democratic Party show that it may be relegated to minority status for the next generation as voters shift allegiance to the Republican Party.

National Review and WorldNetDaily have reported that recent polls and surveys indicate that the Democratic Party is losing power and may be relegated to minority status for the next generation.

Byron York with National Review reported on November 12, 2002 that a significant number of voters believe the Democratic Party is failing to respond properly to our nation’s war on terrorism—and that the Republicans are doing the right thing. Sixty-four percent of those polled by Gallup say the GOP is tough enough on terrorism; only 34% said Democrats were tough enough.

The poll also found 57% of those polled believe that the Republicans are doing the right thing on our economy. Sixty-percent also were encouraged that Republican control of the Senate would allow President Bush to get his judicial nominees approved.

To read Byron York’s article, go here: http://www.nationalreview.com/york/york111202.asp

WorldNetDaily also reported on the future demise of the Democratic Party on December 4, 2002. WND published the results of a post-election analysis of pollster Scott Rasmussen who wrote “The GOP Generation.” According to the introduction to this report: “Building upon proprietary survey data…[the report] explains underlying issues, trends and other factors moving the nation to a lasting Republican majority.”

According to Rasmussen: “What I see is that because of the performance of the president in the past couple of years, the Republicans are now truly a majority party, and it’s a lot deeper than I or other analysts first thought.”

To read more on this: WorldNetDaily: Study: GOP to dominate for generation

To learn more details about Rasmussen’s report, go to: The GOP Generation