Rush: Minnesota is now a dead heat again

Rush Limbaugh | Nov 1, 2002

[John Jorsett]

Rush has just reported on his show that internal Republican polling now shows Minnesota to be a statistical dead heat once again, Mondale having dropped 7 points. He cites the Democrat funerally (my borrowed term from another talk show) for Wellstone as one reason, particular among independent voters who were turned off by the tone of the event and Ventura's walking out.

[Trajan88]

Bill to Fritz: Your daughter is SPICY.

Trajan88

[SGCOS]

Don't get excited. If Coleman wins, there will immediately be 4 lawsuits contesting the election.

[Snuffington]

Rush has just reported on his show that internal Republican polling now shows Minnesota to be a statistical dead heat once again, Mondale having dropped 7 points.

I'm not sure what this means. Mondale was never 7 points ahead in internal Republican tracking polls. A Star-Tribune poll reported Mondale ahead by 8, but that poll was demonstrated to have oversampled Democrats. INternal Republican polls had Mondale up by 2.

If Mondale has dropped 7 from what the Republican internal polls reported initially, that means Coleman is up by 5, and we're seeing some real movement. If he "dropped" only by comparing the Star Trib results to the Republican internal poll results, we may be seeing no movement at all, since the new internal poll results are within the margin of error of the previous poll.

[cajungirl]

I sort of like Pep Rally for Death title,,Lucianne coined it.

[mwl1]

Good post, and you are right. Rest assured that Coleman is receiving and deploying excellent political judgment from Karl Rove and the NRSC.

Coleman is with Cheney today; Saturday with Laura Bush; Sunday with the President; and Monday with Rudy Guiliani. Heavy hitters.

[John Jorsett]

Landrieu at 45(LA) - enough for runoff

Is the thinking that Landrieu will lose if she's forced into a runoff?

[hobbes1]

if he's smart,

If he doesn't, ad he loses his consultants should be banned from party work for life.

[Spunky]

Correction: I just heard it again.

'WE WILL TAX THEIR BUTTS ASS OFF."

[hobbes1]

Is the thinking that Landrieu will lose if she's forced into a runoff?

Sort of. She will have blown her wad, on the Race, plus Campaign Finance Kicks in after election day, and she will be forced to compete on Hard Money terms, a tough call for any democrat.

[frmrda]

A good shot she could lose. That runoff could decide balance of power and Racicot has said if that is the case the GOP will pour between $30-$40 million in there in a month.

Also, LA is a Bush state, and the whole focus of the campaign run-off could be the national implications, which would favor the GOP

[VRWC_minion]

A debate plus a Bush visit ought to nail it then.

[cajungirl]

yep, that is the thinking but I doubt it.

[McGruff]

Also from Rush's show:

Wednesday morning Coleman's campaign had 25 and 50 dollar donations coming in so fast they couldn't keep up with it.

Thanks again Bill, Hill and Terry and keep up the good work.

[clamper1797]

If I was Fritz I would go lite on the Air Travel till after the election.

If I were Fritz I would be VERY careful not to travel by air AFTER the election if he wins. The Dims would have no hesitations ofting him so that the governor could appoint (annoint) someone of their choosing ... (Bubba ???)

[ambrose]

Is the thinking that Landrieu will lose if she's forced into a runoff?

The thinking is "anything can happen" if she's forced into a runoff. A runoff would be a low turnout affair in December.

[clamper1797]

Same advise to Lautenberg

[John Jorsett]

I'm not sure what this means. Mondale was never 7 points ahead in internal Republican tracking polls. A Star-Tribune poll reported Mondale ahead by 8, but that poll was demonstrated to have oversampled Democrats. INternal Republican polls had Mondale up by 2.

Perhaps Rush misphrased what the poll is saying, then. Could be that he meant that Mondale had shifted in relation to Coleman by 7. Or could there have been a different internal poll with a wider gap at some point?

[mrs9x]

The only problem with Republican internal polls is that they might just be propaganda. I'm hoping that they are accurate, but if all of these internal polls are accurate, how come Republican polls always come out in favor of us and Dem internal polls always come out in favor of Dems?

[RetiredArmy]

I loved the photo of him standing tall and full salute!

[chnsmok]

Coleman's not within the margin of fraud. Will be an interesting election night.