Hurricane Lili Now A Category 4

TWC | 10-02-02 | my favorite headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Category 4 storm now....we are talking Andrew style now.

[Travis McGee]

I've had big boats to look after in FL and SC when hurricanes were bearing down, it's a royal pain, a week out of your life for a near miss requiring the full works (up rivers, multiple storm anchors, all sails off etc).

But at least the Atlantic canes go in more or less predictable lines. I don't know how they stand it in the Gulf, where they wobble, stall, loop, and back track.

[Moose4]

Well, welcome aboard, have some cheese and watch out for the mooses...

I'm perfectly harmless until somebody gets between me and the cheese. Then things get ugly.

}:-)4

[Libertina]

Thanks for the update storm warning banner under the FReepathon bar. Good idea!

[dirtboy]

There are three factors that affect storm surge:

One other factor - the nature of the ocean floor just off the coast of the area to the right of where the eye makes landfall. Surge tends to get amplified in shallow waters...

[Chairman_December_19th_Society]

Actually, it's a common global phenomenon.... and as of yet unexplained. I don't remember the exact times, but there times of the day where air pressure goes up, and corresponding times where it goes down.

It is a tropical and desert phenomonon. (Actually, it occurs everywhere, but it is difficult to measure anywhere else because so much else is going on - storms, etc.) Pressure drops a few milibars during the day, and rises at night. This occurs because the sun heats the air and it expands (same amount of air, but in more space, pressure drops). At night, the air cools, and it contracts. Denser - thus higher pressure.

[Chairman_December_19th_Society]

One other factor - the nature of the ocean floor just off the coast of the area to the right of where the eye makes landfall. Surge tends to get amplified in shallow waters...

Conceded. I was talking about what happens to the water after it crosses the MSL shoreline, but you are absolutely right.

[Chairman_December_19th_Society]

I'm perfectly harmless until somebody gets between me and the cheese.

Yes, eventually all threads on FR get to cheese.

[Moose4]

And the cheese in Louisiana tonight is going to get VERY soggy.

There. Back on topic. :)

}:-)4

[fnord]

I checked the panty and I have two fresh bottles of Tabasco and a bottle of "Red Rooster" hot sauce.

Always nice to find something spicy there, indeed!

[Chairman_December_19th_Society]

I know NHC is saying Blanche Bay on their diagram, but the NEXRAD trace is still showing either the west end of Vermillion Bay, or Pecan Island.

[baseballfanjm]

Bad news. I think it'll have a direct hit, or very close to one.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Yep, right up the Atchafalya swamp, so other than the towns along Highway 90, not much in the eyepath. IIRC, the I-10 bridge through there is something like 15-20 miles long. It will be 50 miles inland when its east side hits Baton Rouge, so wouldn't that drop the intensity a good bit?

[My Favorite Headache]

Gracias. P.S. Mississippi and La. are now declared a state of emergency.

[sibb1213]

If I remember correctly Camille was in 1969.

[not-alone]

My prayers are with you and your family cajungirl, I was 1500 miles away when a cat 3 hurricane hit my home and it was horrible feeling of being so out of control. I just had to trust God to protect those I loved. We lost almost everything materially, but survived. I was able to talk to everyone staying at my house by phone through most of the storm and had the only phone working the next day for miles. Not much left of the house, but at least I knew everyone was okay. Two months later when I got the largest phone bill I have ever seen, we let everyone use it to call their families, I was a little upset with the phone co for not giving me a break. Tell your husband matresses are very good protection against flying objects. Hopefully they all get some rest tonight and you ,if possible.

[strela]

"BTW: Sharon Resultan is a total babe."

There are websites devoted to her. But I'll not post any pix - not on this thread (doggonit).

[My Favorite Headache]

Kinda how Andrew worked over the Glades...it actually fed it a bit when it lost some of that Gulf Stream juice.

[dennis1x]

yes...although the storm is moving quickly so it will cover the 50 miles in 2 or 3 hours limiting time for weakening over land/swamp.

radar definitely showing a nw component now as opposed to the nnw earlier.......trying to predict this within 20 miles (which could make all the difference for your town of interest) is impossible.

[John Jamieson]

Spent many a long night driving that bridge thru the swamp. There's a rest stop in the middle. Will it still be there tommorrow night?