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Hurricane Lili Now A Category 4
TWC | 10-02-02 | my favorite headache

Posted on 10/02/2002 11:30:00 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Category 4 storm now....we are talking Andrew style now.


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricanelili
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To: Chairman_December_19th_Society
We get another update a 23:00 EDT. That should tell the tale. Probably will lose 5-10 mph of velocity during the overnight. Still, my guess is it will strike as a 4. It is moving too fast I think for the GOMEX temps to affect it enough. Still don't like the turn though....

This is probably the last one of the season (not counting Kyle, who never got his act together).

581 posted on 10/02/2002 7:14:02 PM PDT by Tuxedo
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To: WFTR
DumB!
582 posted on 10/02/2002 7:14:27 PM PDT by Cold Heat
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To: My Favorite Headache
Thanks for the warning. I'm going to sign off in a few minutes to get more food. I may stop by my storage unit and get my kayak. If the news shows a fat guy in a blue kayak waiting on his roof for the waters to lift him, it's probably me. I still really don't think that it will be that bad, but I'm going to try to get more tape and make an attempt at waiting it out.

WFTR
Bill

583 posted on 10/02/2002 7:14:29 PM PDT by WFTR
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To: Conservobabe
You are right on the money. I went through Andrew from 12:30 am til what it felt like 10 pm the next night. There was no power for days and ice was running like 20 dollars a bag. It was crazy but I will never forget it as long as I live.
584 posted on 10/02/2002 7:15:04 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
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To: CedarDave
Its pretty clear here in Albuquerque ...how is it east of the mountains?
585 posted on 10/02/2002 7:15:12 PM PDT by woofie
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To: My Favorite Headache
That sounds great!!!! I am definitely looking forward to it! Thanks!
586 posted on 10/02/2002 7:15:20 PM PDT by Tuxedo
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To: blam
I keep seeing a beautiful blue Huron Indian hunkered down behind your pond dam.HeHe.

Took me a second to figure out that you meant a heron,I need a nap. :)

587 posted on 10/02/2002 7:17:27 PM PDT by Free Trapper
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To: Black Agnes
You do know Bo don't you. (same around here)
588 posted on 10/02/2002 7:17:43 PM PDT by blam
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To: WFTR
LOL...I'm in tornado ally in Kansas City.....Its not going to get tttooooooclose to me.
589 posted on 10/02/2002 7:17:47 PM PDT by KC Burke
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To: austingirl
I have IE ver 5.00.2... and I can't get that radar to run at all. Must need some upgrade. Sorry
590 posted on 10/02/2002 7:18:09 PM PDT by spunkets
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To: Black Agnes
You are correct in your assumption. There were cases after Andrew where looters were shot/killed by those guarding their homes, and I do not recall anyone charged.
591 posted on 10/02/2002 7:18:18 PM PDT by Conservababe
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To: My Favorite Headache
It like waiting for your wife to have her baby. That's the only other thing that has made me as apprehensive and nervous. Alicia was pretty mean near downtown Houston and the eye and everything about it was pretty unforgettable. Going up on the roof at 10:00 in the evening to look at the stars while waiting for the eye to pass was weird. The storm part was incredibly intense, black maelstrom and fiery lightning everywhere.
592 posted on 10/02/2002 7:18:31 PM PDT by kinghorse
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To: Tuxedo
Still, my guess is it will strike as a 4.

I agree with 4 - NHC says 145, at least in their 5 PM ET package. I think 140 is more like it.

593 posted on 10/02/2002 7:19:05 PM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
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To: WFTR
God be with you.
594 posted on 10/02/2002 7:20:01 PM PDT by KC Burke
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To: Free Trapper
"I keep seeing a beautiful blue Huron Indian hunkered down behind your pond dam.HeHe."

Sorry my mistake. No blue Indians around here. lol

595 posted on 10/02/2002 7:20:01 PM PDT by blam
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To: Chairman_December_19th_Society
Heck I would even be scared in Pensacola. That Unisys map makes it look like it's about to do a 90 to the east. Probably just the angle but I dunno.
596 posted on 10/02/2002 7:21:58 PM PDT by kinghorse
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To: Tuxedo
Yikes looks like its moving north! even slighly east of due north the past 1/2 hour......I pray this is a just a jog otherwisw NO is in deep trouble. but it also looks like the COD is shrinking some
597 posted on 10/02/2002 7:22:18 PM PDT by newsperson999
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To: Tuxedo
This is probably the last one of the season (not counting Kyle, who never got his act together).

Kyle is an enigma. Should have died twice already, but keeps hanging in there.

Let me tell you, if it survives the next round of upper-level shear that is going to be thrown at it from VT +24 till VT +72 hrs forecast time (5 PM ET basis), then this system could be a problem.

It has continually drifted SW to an extent where is has migrated away from the westerlies and has been meandering ever so slowly but steadily toward the manna of tropical cyclones - the Gulf Stream.

Ironically, the same HP center that is steering Lili is beginning to offer steering control for Kyle, and will slip northward of Kyle. Beyond that ridge, is "open" air - little shear.

598 posted on 10/02/2002 7:22:55 PM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
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To: blam
*cackle*. My dad's pond (stocked) is visited by one of those just after he feeds the fish. Darned thing waits in a nearby stand of trees till dad gets done, then swoops down and scoops up all the fishies as they eat. It's like McDonalds drive by for big blue birds. Course my father curses and shakes his fist at the bird and my mother would probably hurt my dad if he actually ever *did* anything to the bird. *cackle*. Big pretty blue bird, taller than me but spindly-gorgeous.
599 posted on 10/02/2002 7:23:20 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: woofie
Down south in Hobbs. Very warm, humid, small thunderstorm forming further south by Jal.
600 posted on 10/02/2002 7:23:21 PM PDT by CedarDave
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