Posted on 11/13/2001 1:05:28 PM PST by X-Servative
At the NTSB press conference, they just stated that both engines appear to be intact and that there are no signs of engine failure, according to George Black, NTSB Boardmember.
Actually not. Since the UAL DC-10 incident with loss of control due to hydro loss due to engine fan fracture, systemshave been isolated. AB300 is completely fly-by-wire, so worst case redundancy is required for certification as part 121 A/C
Assuming 1/8 inch diameter per rivet, that's over 3900 square inches of rivets (and I think those rivets are larger than that). Sounds a bit much to me. Nontheless metal fatigue in the vertical stabilizer is a possibility but I still don't understand how losing the vertical stabilizer would cause the engines to separate before impact.
You didn't list "bomb"
My thoughts on that -- traditionally bombs have been set with either timers or pressure devices so as to blow over the sea and leave little evidence. However, we are dealing with some imaginative terrorists there. And when I posted I did not know that the plane is said to have been security held (I bet the security hold turns out to be some lady's nail scissor having put the wind up the wretched losers at the checkpoints, and nothing germane -- but that is just a hunch). If a bomb was on a timer, a security hold could have made it blow up earlier than expected. Further, it is possible that these goons wanted to blow it in the New York area. They could even have used a command detonated bomb.
If there is any evidence of a bomb, there will be no hiding that fact from the public as the NTSB will have to chop the investigation back to FBI. and you forgot to take uncontained engine failure off the list of possibles.
I thought sabotage was last on the list, and bomb was #1, due to the witness who said she saw a bright flash.
Eyewitness statements, especially to the media, are not too trustworthy. A bright flash could have been anything, even the bright sun off the polished fuselage and wings.
Now that it appears certain the fash was NOT caused by the engine blowing up... ?
Even if the engine fails, it doesn't usually blow up -- it just scatters parts and pieces of parts. It looks more like a puff of dust than an explosion... unless of course it causes a real explosion. The witnesses seem to differ on whether the plane was burning before it hit.
But then why did the vertical stabilizer come off so cleanly?
Everything fails at its weakest point, right? It may be that the fasteners or the bracketry are the weakest point. It's common to find parts of planes that look almost undisturbed until you look a little closer, too.
More on witnesses. Like I said I was in NYC with the radio on a talk station. My host changed to a news station when we heard of the crash. In the course of twenty minutes we were told:
So... that's how reliable early witness reports are! That whole process took about an hour and a half, and when you think about it, was not too inordinately long to get accurate information. One wishes they hadn't put out inaccurate information first, but you can't have everything.
The same is true of the investigation. At first all you get is a few pointers. After a while more and more pieces of the puzzle fall into place and a picture starts to emerge. Sometimes this happens quickly (the Concorde invcestigation pointed at the tires and then at debris in days) and sometimes it takes much longer (it took years and two accidents to get onto the trail of 737 rudder actuators as a problem).
d.o.l.
Criminal Number 18F
They're upset because you're interfering with the only excercise that some of them get: "jumping" to conclusions and being "hopping" mad.
If it's not you, great. Nice job. You're a really, really, really nice, good person.
I really hope that you're not referring to me as a clinton butt kisser. You're not, are you?
I have it on good authority that John Lithgow and William Shatner have come up with an alternate theory...
I don't see how it is a *sizeable* leap to surmise there is a very strong possibility of sabotage, in light of Sept. 11 and subsequent threats of "Death to America", and "planes falling from the sky," coupled with the fact that terrorists were found to have been employed as baggage handlers at the Boston airport ON Sept. 11th (later arrested).
Can anyone explain why this is such a *great* stretch?
BTW, don't say "kph." There are some lurking who are ready to pounce on that.
You're making a straw man argument. The government (no, we are not "the government"---we are the "governed"---that's not in your civics textbook, but that's reality) does lie to us---sometimes from base motives, sometimes from a sincere belief that "it's good for the country." Pushing a "mechanical failure" explanation for Fl. 587--which after 36 hours of hearing "there is no evidence that this is anything other than a mechanical failure," I believe is exactly what the government is doing---can have a number of motivations that are arguably "for the good of the country."
For one thing, the airlines really are on the ropes. Attributing the wreck to a terrorist act would have potentially a far more detrimental impact on airline viability than a "mechanical failure" explanation, because "mechanical failure" is a "one-time" accident that sometimes happened before Sept. 11. The airline that had the wreck takes the hit in lawsuits, but it and other airlines keep flying and keep getting reservations.
A terrorist attack is more ominous. That would show that once again terrorists had breached airline security in ways we hadn't foreseen, or worse, in a way that could have been foreseen but wasn't prepared for because the airlines are too cheap and Congress is dithering over an airline security bill.
So, yes. I believe the government could be lying about the cause of the Fl. 587 crash. It may have "reasons" that seem good enough to it.
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