Posted on 10/10/2025 12:55:25 PM PDT by DFG
The Nobel Peace Prize has become mired in scandal today after suspicious bets were placed before a longshot was announced as the winner.
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado was an obscure candidate just 12 hours before she was announced as winner on Friday.
Her victory stunned the world after Donald Trump secured a peace deal in Gaza, ending a two-year war that has killed more than 70,000 people.
Machado had just a 5 percent chance of claiming victory, according to prediction market Polymarket.
But then a buying spree, from a newly created account '6741', rocketed her chances to 70 percent. That trader made more than $50,000 in profit.
Another trader, 'GayPride,' also got in on the action, placing a series of bets after Machado's chances had shot up and earned more than $85,000, Polymarket data shows.
A third, 'dirtycup', wagered around $70,000 just hours before the prize was announced, earning $30,000.
'We take this very seriously,' Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute, told Bloomberg. 'It seems we have been prey to a criminal actor who wants to earn money on our information.'
Polymarket did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
The prediction market does not prohibit insider trading. The offshore, unregulated marketplace is officially off-limit to Americans and is therefore not subject to the laws which ban tipoffs on the stock market.
Regulated US platforms like Kalshi ban insider trading, as do sports betting websites.
Harpviken said he is not aware of any similar controversy surrounding the peace prize, although there had been 'some leaks' around 15 years ago.
'We will look closely at this to find out what has happened,' he told Bloomberg. 'Secrecy for us is very important.'
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
I had $100 on Shohei Ohtani to win the Nobel Peace Prize. I thought it was a lock...
I have nothing against Machado, and I believe she’s a very nice lady, but...
I’m left wondering how much peace she has brought to the world or even her country.
I have zero faith in an institution which gave a peace prize to Yasser Arafat, a machine-gun-toting leader of a terrorist organization that is known for murdering Jews. Who stole $millions of aid money from the Palestinians it was intended for.
The prize was for 2024, BEFORE Trump became President! I’m going to save my furor for next year.
I fully expected this to be The Bee.
More and more reasons to discount the “achievement” of a Nobel Prize.
Arafat, Obama, .. Meaningless
I had a few bucks on Anyone But Trump.
It sure looks like the ‘results’ were leaked.
The prize was for 2024, BEFORE Trump became President!“
That argument disintegrates when you bring up obongo.
What is the uproar about? The nominations were closed September 30. Maybe next year?
“The Won” won his Nobel Peace prize for humiliating and muzzling Felonia Milhous von Pantsuit in 2024.
Prior to being handed the office of POTUS by Panama John.
It’s a major award!
...humiliating and muzzling Felonia Milhous von Pantsuit in 2008...
Just having all the talk about Trump deserving the prize is more valuable to him than the prize itself. So let the talk continue.
Don’t mention technicalities about what year the prize is for. Next year we can do it again, as people will say “the prize awarded in 2026 is for 2025”
Ive never heard of her but it was really nice of her today to mention Trump in her tweet and that she shares her prize with him, that was a really kind gesture
hilariously not surprising
“””Arafat, Obama, .. Meaningless”””
And Al Gore.
Repeat that! This is not an issue. Do not go down that rabbit hole!
The prize nominations were closed 1/31/25. Trump hadn’t started yet.
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