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Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio, who predicted 2008 market crash, warns of US debt risks going beyond credit ratings; here's why
MINT ^ | 05/21/2025

Posted on 05/22/2025 9:36:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Billionaire investment manager Ray Dalio has warned that the risks of US debt go beyond credit ratings amid the US government's mounting debt in the current economic scenario. The founder of one of the world's largest hedge funds said that regarding the US debt downgrade, credit ratings understate risks because they rate the risk of the government not paying its debt.

According to Dalio, credit rating agencies do not include the greater risk that countries in debt will print money to pay their debts, thus causing bondholders to suffer losses from the decreased value of the money they are getting (rather than from the decreased quantity of money they are getting).

Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates and one of the few to foresee the 2008 financial crisis. "Said differently, for those who care about the value of their money, the risks for US government debt are greater than the rating agencies are conveying,” added Dalio in a post on ‘X’ (formerly Twitter).

Ray Dalio on US debt risks

“The US debt downgrade, you should know that credit ratings understate credit risks because they only rate the risk of the government not paying its debt. They don't include the greater risk that the countries in debt will print money to pay their debts, thus causing holders of the bonds to suffer losses from the decreased value of the money they're getting (rather than from the decreased quantity of money they're getting). Said differently, for those who care about the value of their money, the risks for US government debt are greater than the rating agencies are conveying,” said Dalio on ‘X’.

Moody’s cut the US' sovereign credit rating by one notch to Aa1 from Aaa last Friday, citing the government’s expanding fiscal deficit and elevated interest costs...

(Excerpt) Read more at livemint.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bigbeautifulbill; debt; deficit; inflation; raydalio; spending; stockmarket

1 posted on 05/22/2025 9:36:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

No worries. The FED was created to protect dollar currency. They are on the job!


2 posted on 05/22/2025 10:11:42 AM PDT by Bobbyvotes (Only thing that scares me now is my age number. I am older than Biden, but in very good health!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Did he predict only the 2008 crash or is he one of the people who also predicted the crashes of 2002, 2003, 2004, twice in 2005, 2006, 2007,2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 etc. etc. ?


3 posted on 05/22/2025 10:13:19 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (I refuse to call the left "progressive" because I do not see slavery to the government as progress.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Where was this clown when Biden was racking up Trillions of dollars in debt for the last 4 years, spending a lot of it on posh hotels for illegals, on NGO’s who recycled the money to the Democratic Party and hundreds of billions of US tax payer dollars handed over to the corrupt sleazy Zellensky regime in Ukraine?
4 posted on 05/22/2025 10:19:10 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

5 posted on 05/22/2025 10:20:14 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: All

Doesn’t matter who he is and what his history is.

All that matters is mathematics.

If you doubt any numbers he is addressing, get your own numbers.


6 posted on 05/22/2025 10:22:41 AM PDT by Owen
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To: KarlInOhio

Hell I predicted the crash here on FR for over a year and most here made fun of me.

It was obvious back then far more than now. People were buying houses and flipping them every 3 months for $20,000-$50,000 gains. Over and over.

Record low interest rate and Bush’s put everyone in a house programs and the wholesale corruption of giving people who obviously could not pay for a house a loan made it worse.

The came the interest only loans so California people could buy houses that were priced so far out of line, no one could buy one with a regular loan.


7 posted on 05/22/2025 10:25:37 AM PDT by packrat35 (Pureblood! No clot shot for me!)
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To: packrat35

“Record low interest rate and Bush’s put everyone in a house programs and the wholesale corruption of giving people who obviously could not pay for a house a loan made it worse.”

Bush didn’t do that.


8 posted on 05/22/2025 10:31:56 AM PDT by TexasGator (/'1'11\1I11111111111.1'11.'11/'~~'111./.)
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To: TexasGator

The policy was mainly pushed by the democrats but he talked about record numbers of first time home buyers and record home owner rates. Its more the democrats than Bush, but he was a part of it too.


9 posted on 05/22/2025 12:46:21 PM PDT by packrat35 (Pureblood! No clot shot for me!)
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To: packrat35

“Its more the democrats than Bush, but he was a part of it too.”

He went to Congress 3 times with warnings and calls for action.

He was ignored.


10 posted on 05/22/2025 1:01:02 PM PDT by TexasGator ().'1'11\1I11111111111.1'11.'11/'~~'111./.)
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