NEW Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update

X ^ | Nate Silver

[SmokingJoe]

Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update

🔴 Trump: 54.4% 🔵 Harris: 45.3%

[SmokingJoe]

Even the Dem fanatics like Silver are starting to forecast a Trump win.

[Sarah Barracuda]

Ive been telling EVERYONE..a winning campaign does NOT refer to their opponent as Hitler and their supporters as Nazis unless they are LOSING..if Harris were truly winning her message would be unity, a positive message..when you scream HITLER, its cause you are getting your ass kicked

[ifinnegan]

54 to 45?

Seriously?

[Tell It Right]

More detail in the X post of Nate Silver's predictions:

[Frank Drebin]

The long knives will come out for her after her “closing argument” speech falls flat. They’re going to turn on her.

[CatOwner]

He’s slicing the bologna a little too thin with these stats.

[DarrellZero]

Awesome. Everyone go vote!

Put it outside the margin of cheating.

[fwdude]

California skews everything on the popular vote. Oh, and sChitcago and New York too.

[1Old Pro]

The long knives will come out for her after her “closing argument” speech falls flat.

I'll be watching the World Series, possibly the last game

[johniegrad]

54 to 45?

I thought it was a poll at first. But it’s a probability prediction.

[epluribus_2]

Wait a minute, I thought Georgia is now considered a “Swing State”... well, maybe they got their plumbing fixed and certified this time.

[thirdgradeteacher]

I hope early next Tuesday that a Trump lead is insurmountable.

[rdl6989]

These polls are all over the board.

[Hammerhead]

The Long knives will come out for Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, the Clintons, the Obamas and all the rest of the media that pushed Biden out.

Mostly Pelosi. I want to see the jackals turn on her so badly. Notice how you haven’t heard anything from her????

[snarkytart]

Can you or anyone else in this thread give an opinion? This person thinks Harris is polling well in red states is go

[Fido969]

Still too close. 54% percent is too close to break even.

[Dr. Sivana]

54 to 45?

Seriously?

These are estimated odds of winning, NOT final percentages.

In other words, if this scenario were played out now at this moment, Trump would win 54 times, and Harris 45 times. He still has it as a close race.

[Governor Dinwiddie]

Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain. Vote like your and your children's future depends on it. Take nothing for granted.

And don't be shy about asking for a ride to vote, early or same day. Call a taxi if need be. Or ride Shank's mare.

[CatOwner]

I have no idea what’s going on in the non-battleground red states. And while I still believe they will steal the election for Harris, a college poll without parameters isn’t worth considering, other than manipulating the masses or setting up the coming narrative.

[catnipman]

doesn’t seem like a good way to attract more voters to your side by calling half the voters NAZIS ... still, at least with being called “deporables”, one could come up with some great T-shirts ... NAZIS on the other hand ...