Posted on 10/29/2024 9:18:46 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump looks to make it 2016 all over again in Michigan, scoring a win despite Democratic dominance elsewhere in the state.
The latest Emerson College survey shows the 45th president ahead of Kamala Harris for the first time in this poll since July, when the vice president entered the race amid hosannas and uncritical coverage from the corporate press.
Trump, who defeated Hillary Clinton by just 0.2 points in 2016, is on track to win 49% to 48%, per the survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted between Oct. 25 and 27.
The split extends to favorability numbers, where the once and perhaps future GOP president is slightly ahead of Harris.
Trump is treading water, with 50% liking him and 50% disliking him, while Harris is 49% favorable and 51% unfavorable.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
Can you have a “narrow mandate”? Doesn’t mandate mean a clear majority? Journalism...
From an “Emerson College survey” no less. Good news.
Trump could get 90% of the vote and the media would term it a “narrow win” and imply that power sharing with the Democrats would be the only honorable way forward.
This just caused the Real Clear Politics average to flip to Harris
Michigan
Harris 52% (+5)
Trump 47%
Susquehanna #B - 400 LV - 10/27
Who is right then lol
Sample size of 400, resulting in a big MOE. This poll is of questionable value.
If you look at the internals of the poll, which I just did, you will see that this was slanted towards Democrats and that over half of the participants were in Detroit. You can throw the results of this poll out the window. Very poor statistical poll.
Yeah, but RCP won't toss it. These bogus polls are needed for the narrative.
Not with 115% turnout in Detroit.
Michigan - absent prosecution - is already determined.
🙏. We need a “W”, slim or not. Same in NV. 33,000 vote difference in 2020 in NV. So far looking good. I hear NM might even be in play. 😳👍
Doesn’t make sense unless the cheat in Wayne County is intensified? In 2020 the Susquehanna polling was the second best in the Nation and when it did error, it typically favored R’s. If the internals are skewed toward D’s there may be a legit reason.
President Trump seems to be focusing on PA. MI doesn’t matter if the Marxists lose PA.
Fine, then Trump has lost Michigan.
Michigan must be ridiculously difficult to poll this year with the Middle East issue overhanging Democrat leaning voters.
Some Democrats may have the same hostility towards pollsters that some of us do.
I would not attempt to call this race in Michigan based on any polling.
They're not doing it in Wayne.
My guess is that they threw out Trump votes in Wayne in 2020, thus reducing the Wayne County vote totals.
I didn’t say that!
Wayne County Republican total Obama 2008 660,085 74% 219,582 25% 891,731 Obama 2012 595,846 73% 213,814 26% 818,136 cankles 2016 519,444 66% 228,993 29% 782,719 pedo joe 2020 597,170 68% 264,553 30% 874,018
RCP is actually the most Repub favoring of all the aggregators.
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