Posted on 08/10/2024 2:23:19 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
If there were any doubt whether Vice President Kamala Harris has transformed this year’s presidential election, Saturday morning’s latest New York Times/Siena College polls put it to rest.
In the first Times/Siena College swing state polls since her entry into the race, Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 4 points each in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin among likely voters. It’s a major shift from previous Times/Siena polls, which found Trump leading Harris and President Joe Biden by an average of 1 or 2 points each across the same three states.
Sometimes, it can be hard to explain why polls shift from week to week or month to month. In today’s polarized politics, it can even be hard to explain why voters ever shift at all. In this case, it’s easy: Harris’ entry into the race has upended the fundamentals of this election.
Until now, the basic dynamic of the race was driven by Biden’s unpopularity. It prevented Democrats from running their usual strategy against Trump and his MAGA allies: Make an election a referendum on Trump by running a broadly acceptable candidate. Millions of voters were left with an agonizing choice between two candidates they disliked.
With Harris riding an extraordinary wave of momentum at the top of the ticket, at least for now, the usual political dynamic of the Trump era has been restored. In the poll, at least 49% of likely voters in each of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin say they have a favorable view of her, a level neither Harris nor Biden obtained in any previous Times/Siena poll this cycle.
Whether this will last is an entirely different question.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Yes and
Yes
👍👍👍👍👍
The debates will have no effect, as the MSM will declare her victorious no matter what idiocy she espouses. They’ll only focus on how “Trump told 32 lies, looked old and sounded demented”. The polls will move further towards Harris’ favor until Election Day, perhaps showing her up by 2-4 points nationally. Trump will “surprisingly” win and then the riots will ensue.
She hasn't even given an interview to the media.
Anyone not paying attention has no clue about her radical left-wing record.
The propaganda and push polls are ridiculous.
Disciplined counter? Trump? hahahaha
The Second part of what you say is true. The left must be put down like the dogs that they are.
Let’s put The NYSlime to bed and not give them facetime.
Get ready
The least liked VEEP in US history who never won a single delegate turned into the most loved, most joyful candidate in a mere two weeks! Amazing.
This is classic nyt BULL$HIT!!!!
The bottom has dropped out for O-Kamla... She’s in freefall, and no fake news polls are going to save her.
They are setting the groundwork for a massive WHAT HAPPENED????? Storyline, of how the fake polls got things so wrong. Will blame everything and everyone but themselves.
Loving this fake news ride!
We are now to believe that Kamala, who was more unpopular than Biden, is now leading the race after Biden retired? How does Biden quitting the race increase Kamala’s popularity?
Gaslighting push polls.
I believe everything the New York Slimes prints ... Bwhahahahahahahaha
The polls showing Biden losing were all to get him out of the race.
It would be foolish to discount the stupidity of the American public. The rats have a floor of 45% so Trump will never have a big lead in the polls.
Therein lies the problem.
I don’t think Trump has good advisors at this point. It’s all his kids.
I’ve seen dozens of Harris ads here in Douther Oregon and not one single as for Trump. I just don’t get it…
Trump is nearly 80 years old the days of him campaigning everyday are over. He even said he’s not doing much till Labor Day
I think either Trump doesn’t have the money, or they think it’s a waste right now.
I don’t agree. There is a Disney version of Kamala being created.
Whatever, Trump isn’t listening.
People, relax, this was not a great poll. They had 600 samples per state, and in one instance 580.
There were no cross tabs on partisan mix. The only model information was Women +3 and Blacks 9%. This is because Wisconsin has so few.
Go look at the CBS News poll on the RCP list. Scroll all the way to the bottom. They explicitly say they oversampled blacks with respect to their model. Their previous measure was Trump +1. The new one with oversampling, Harris+1.
That is a national measure. Given Calif and NY so intensely affect the national measure, and it was Harris +1 even with a black oversampling, you cannot get Harris+4 from states that are NOT Calif and NY. Those two have 20+% leads and they could only do Harris+1 **even with black oversampling**.
This is an MOE issue, and a fundraising issue.
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