New Battleground Polls Show Harris Has Fundamentally Changed the Race

If there were any doubt whether Vice President Kamala Harris has transformed this year’s presidential election, Saturday morning’s latest New York Times/Siena College polls put it to rest.

In the first Times/Siena College swing state polls since her entry into the race, Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 4 points each in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin among likely voters. It’s a major shift from previous Times/Siena polls, which found Trump leading Harris and President Joe Biden by an average of 1 or 2 points each across the same three states.

Sometimes, it can be hard to explain why polls shift from week to week or month to month. In today’s polarized politics, it can even be hard to explain why voters ever shift at all. In this case, it’s easy: Harris’ entry into the race has upended the fundamentals of this election.

Until now, the basic dynamic of the race was driven by Biden’s unpopularity. It prevented Democrats from running their usual strategy against Trump and his MAGA allies: Make an election a referendum on Trump by running a broadly acceptable candidate. Millions of voters were left with an agonizing choice between two candidates they disliked.

With Harris riding an extraordinary wave of momentum at the top of the ticket, at least for now, the usual political dynamic of the Trump era has been restored. In the poll, at least 49% of likely voters in each of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin say they have a favorable view of her, a level neither Harris nor Biden obtained in any previous Times/Siena poll this cycle.

Look into the numbers deeper. Look at the pre and post drop out polling.

Where is Kamala supposedly drawing these voters from? You believe Trump has lost support? If you believe that you are just fooling yourself. So where are they coming from? The 3rd parties? Undecideds? Where in these magical push polls of the last week or so is Kamala converting voters ?

Replacing Biden simply energized the exists D base, who had nothing to be excited about.. you get a shift but it’s minor not major.

There has been no shift of any significance in the race.

National polls probably have realistically moved a point or two… the rust belt moving 6-8 points? Not a chance in hell. Went through this nonsense in 16 and 20.

If you believe that Kamala shifted the race 6-8! Points in the rust belt states
You are certifiable insane.

I am sure the bolstered enthusiasm in the D base is showing up in polling and in. National polling the shift may be larger but anyone telling you the rust belt states have flipped and flipped hard is just playing games with the numbers.

Harris has energized the dem base, but the she hasn’t shifted the race 6-8 points.. its laughable.

The internals are crap.

Do you know anyone who who was supporting Trump and now shifting to Harris? She may draw some of the 3rd party, but not 6-8 points...

These are push polls.

This guy goes into the details...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8UCtFLsFzJo

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