Posted on 07/22/2024 8:20:48 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
After a seismic shift atop the Democratic presidential ticket, the likely new nominee faces some of the same problems the current president does.
While Kamala Harris is likely much less prone than Joe Biden to show cognitive issues by mixing up names and losing track of what she’s saying, she’s still got to find a way to make up ground against Donald Trump in the next 104 days.
A HarrisX/Forbes poll released Monday (but conducted July 19 to 21, the day Biden left the campaign) has Trump in blowout territory, leading Harris 50% to 41% overall and 51% to 40% among likely voters.
“Kamala Harris starts her 2024 battle behind Trump, who is enjoying a strong post-convention bump and leads her by almost [double] digits in our polling,” commented Dritan Nesho, HarrisX CEO and chief pollster. “If the polls don’t start to close and show better traction for her, Biden’s decision to step aside for Harris may be a case of ‘too similar, too late.’”
That survey isn’t the only one with red flags for the blue team.
An On Point Politics/SoCal Research Sunday survey shows Trump with majority support, leading Harris 51% to 43% in one of the first national polls conducted after Biden left the race.
While the poll had a +2 Republican lean in sampling (with 38% of respondents being GOP versus 36% Democrat), other data should worry Democrats — including 24% of respondents saying they’re more likely to support Trump with Biden out, against just 18% less likely to do so.
The Trump camp spotlighted this survey along with a slew of Trump-Harris trial heats in its favor ahead of Biden deciding not to run,
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
FROM THE ARTICLE:
But not all polling is bad for Harris.
A Quinnipiac poll released Monday shows a too-close-to-call race, with Trump up 45% to 41% in a six-way run including minor candidates. To put that in perspective, Trump was up by 5 points against Biden in the same scenario.
“The dramatic reset at the top of the Democratic ticket does little to move the race as Vice President Harris enters the fray with numbers similar to President Biden,” said Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy.
A Morning Consult survey released Monday shows a 47% to 45% lead for Trump, a more positive look for Dems than the 6-point lead Trump had over Biden, even though just 65% of Democrats support her to lead the ticket.
That’s better than what a Sunday survey from YouGov showed. In that poll, 60% of Democrats say the Californian should be the party’s presidential nominee, with 21% of Democrats wanting someone else and 19% not sure what they want.
Honestly I am more concerned with the cheating.
Laura loomed posted
Biden is dying 🚨🚨🚨final preparations
Dying fast
Not sure if true but she posted and she seems to have a good track
It’s weird that we haven’t heard from Joe after Las Vegas. They said he caught covid. And now he’s dropping out. Something’s up.
Well if she picks that horrible Mark Kelly Trump is going to have a hard time of it.
More than JUST two states. Joe/Kamala loses AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI. She’ll probably lose MN, NH and Even NJ.
If he croaks over it makes that letter dropping out look even more suspicious
Harris is in a hurry to secure the delegate before more polls come out showing her losing even worse than Biden. At least Biden could pretend to be a working man from Scranton. Harris is just a far left wacko from California that wont play well in the swing states.
FROM THE ARTICLE:
Single-state polling is beginning to surface that includes at least some sampling from after Biden left the race, and it doesn’t show Harris delivering just yet. If the election were held today, she would lose at least two states Biden won in 2020.
An Atlanta Journal-Constitution survey released shortly after Biden left the race showed Trump leading Harris, 50.5% to 45.9%. Trump’s lead over Harris was more than the 3.5% advantage he had over the current president in the same sample.
And the poll suggests Harris is a turnoff among key demographics Democrats will rely on in the Peach State.
Among nonblack minorities (Asians and Hispanics), Trump leads the veep by 12 points — as compared with a more modest 3.8% lead he had with the same demographics against Biden in the same sample.
Harris also performs worse among women than Biden against Trump, carrying her own gender with a 7.4% margin, while Biden had a 9-point lead.
Meanwhile, Republicans last won New Hampshire in 2000 — but polling conducted between July 19 and 21 suggests they have at least an even shot this year in the Granite State.
The New Hampshire Journal poll released Sunday shows Trump ahead of Harris, albeit marginally — 40.2% to 39.3%, with an additional 20.5% favoring Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the Live Free or Die State.
Well, consider this:
* Joe Biden suddenly resigns via X/Twitter
* White House Staff Finds out One Minute Later
* Biden’s resignation letter NOT on official letterhead.
* Biden’s “signature” is suspect ( underlined)
* Steve Richetti helped write letter
* Jill Biden tweets “heart emoji” in response
* White House WIPES Biden’s Schedule
* White House Chief of Staff calls Cabinet, Manages Comms.
* Frank Biden confirms helath a factor
* Family suggests Biden MAY have a terminal illness
* Biden holds NO live press conference.
WHERE IS JOE?
National polls are worthless
This is what trump needs
Trump currently sits at 235 without tossups
He needs 36 if my calculations are correct
Az 11
Ga 18
Wi 10
PA 19
MI 15
Needs : 36
Combination:
GA PA 37
PA AZ WI 40
GA WI AZ 39
She’s got a month to go before the convention, that’s where the delegates officially give her the nomination. She has enough to qualify in the first round of voting.
As well you should.
No democrat can win the White House, they knew this from the start..
Replacing Biden is all about trying to prevent a down ballot massacre.... period.
FWIW, Biden (or a deep fake) was heard on a speaker phone call on Monday afternoon to staff at his Delaware campaign headquarters. The comments involved thanking the staff for their hard work and telling them how enthusiastic he was about campaigning for Kamala Harris.
Laura loomed posted
Biden is dying 🚨🚨🚨final preparations
Dying fast
Not sure if true but she posted and she seems to have a good track
><
I believe it.
WHERE IS JOE?
><
If all the rumors are true, he’s at Walter Reed.
He called into the Delaware campaign HQ today. Fox had it live.
Joe did not sound his normal decrepit self. Seemed like he had novocaine or a stroke on some of the words.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.