FROM THE ARTICLE:
But not all polling is bad for Harris.
A Quinnipiac poll released Monday shows a too-close-to-call race, with Trump up 45% to 41% in a six-way run including minor candidates. To put that in perspective, Trump was up by 5 points against Biden in the same scenario.
“The dramatic reset at the top of the Democratic ticket does little to move the race as Vice President Harris enters the fray with numbers similar to President Biden,” said Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy.
A Morning Consult survey released Monday shows a 47% to 45% lead for Trump, a more positive look for Dems than the 6-point lead Trump had over Biden, even though just 65% of Democrats support her to lead the ticket.
That’s better than what a Sunday survey from YouGov showed. In that poll, 60% of Democrats say the Californian should be the party’s presidential nominee, with 21% of Democrats wanting someone else and 19% not sure what they want.
Honestly I am more concerned with the cheating.
Laura loomed posted
Biden is dying 🚨🚨🚨final preparations
Dying fast
Not sure if true but she posted and she seems to have a good track
Well if she picks that horrible Mark Kelly Trump is going to have a hard time of it.
More than JUST two states. Joe/Kamala loses AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI. She’ll probably lose MN, NH and Even NJ.
Harris is in a hurry to secure the delegate before more polls come out showing her losing even worse than Biden. At least Biden could pretend to be a working man from Scranton. Harris is just a far left wacko from California that wont play well in the swing states.
No democrat can win the White House, they knew this from the start..
Replacing Biden is all about trying to prevent a down ballot massacre.... period.
p
Unfortunately, the election isn’t today and Harris will be a more formidable opponent than many here seem to think. We should already be working the phones, sending more money, and giving people who aren’t Trump voters a good reason to vote for him. Otherwise, we’re all toast.
4months guys. Let’s not lose sight of that. Today is not the election.
Michigan is much tougher for Trump now with “Genocide Joe” out of the way of angry Arab voters. Kamala is a solid Israel-basher, and her husband is a self-hating “Jew.”
He always was insanely popular.
They’ll just cheat more.
Jaw-Dropper! Trump Leads Kamala 64% to 29% in Polymarket Money Bet – Up 10 Pts. in PA… Up 30 Pts in AZ… Up 40 Pts in GA!
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/jaw-dropper-trump-leads-kamala-64-29-latest/
The two states talked about in the article are GA and NH. No other states are named for lack of new polls since Biden withdrew. But, based on the new national polls showing Trump with a lead of at least 2 points, Trump will win all seven “battleground states” (AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA and WI), and probably also ME, MN, NH and VA. This would be as many as ten states won by Biden in 2020 (NC was won by Trump in 2020, all the others by Biden).
Here are the Real Clear Politics “with toss-ups” and “no toss-ups” maps:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
If you click on AZ, GA, NC, NV and PA, you will see that Trump has leads of 4 to 6 points in these states. In my view, these aren’t toss-up states. They lean to Trump.
MI, MN, NH, VA and WI, on the other hand, are within 3 points. Given RCP’s methodology, they’re toss-up states.
BUT ... we have more than 3 months to go, almost anything can happen. We can’t take any of these states for granted. Plus, there are important Senate, House, Governor, state legislature, municipal and county office, district attorney and school board races all over the country.
Trump is concerned about a lot of things including restoring his 2016 margin in the white vote. Also winning the Hispanic and Asian vote, and eroding the Democratic margin in the black vote. His wants to do well with women and younger voters. He wants Republicans to offer voters a real alternative in the cities. As he might put it, with a big, beautiful victory, Trump will be better able to Make America Great Again.
That doesn't mean anything. All polls are adjusted to fit a "likely voter" turnout model. A poll is not supposed to magically poll people in the exact proportion that party registration exists.
In the end, the Democrat nominee or the VP who will be on the ticket is Mark Kelly from AZ. He was an astronaut and that is about as American as you can get. He can then use the shooting of his wife Gabby Giffords as a backdrop to neutralize Trump’s assassination attempt.
It’s in the rats playbook.
In the end, the Democrat nominee or the VP who will be on the ticket is Mark Kelly from AZ. He was an astronaut and that is about as American as you can get. He can then use the shooting of his wife Gabby Giffords as a backdrop to neutralize Trump’s assassination attempt.
It’s in the rats playbook.