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Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May
Fox News ^ | June 19, 2024 | Dana Blanton

Posted on 06/20/2024 9:05:03 AM PDT by lasereye

President Biden is the frontrunner in a hypothetical matchup against former President Trump for the first time since October, as positive views of the economy inch up — hitting their highest level thus far in the Biden presidency, according to a new Fox News national survey.

Since May, there was a 3-point change in the presidential race. Trump was ahead by 1 point last month, while Biden is up by 2 points today: 50%-48%. That’s well within the margin of error.

Beyond improved evaluations of the economy, a range of other events since the May survey could influence small shifts in vote preference, including Trump’s hush money conviction, Hunter Biden’s gun trial conviction, a positive U.S. jobs report and Biden’s immigration executive order.

Biden’s current 50% support is his best this election cycle; he hasn’t been ahead of Trump since October 2023 and that was by just 1 point (49%-48%).

There was also a 4-point shift in the expanded ballot. When other potential candidates are included, Biden tops Trump by 1 point (43%-42%), Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 10% and Cornel West and Jill Stein get 2% each. Last month, Trump was ahead of Biden by 3 points (43%-40%).

--snip Voters trust Trump on two of the top five issues: immigration (by 9 points) and the economy (+5). However, those are narrower advantages than he enjoyed in May (+15 immigration and +13 economy). He’s also preferred on handling the Israel-Hamas war (+4). More trust Biden to do a better job on health care (+10) and the future of American democracy (+6), while his biggest advantages are on the somewhat lesser priorities of abortion (+13) and climate change (+20).

--snip "we saw notable erosion of Trump’s advantage on the economy and immigration" [says Anderson]

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; fauxnews; fox; poll; polls; trump
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To: Liz

Good points.

Also, California, NY , MA and IL for instance can have 65% for Dems and “flyover states” can have a 2% Trump margin.

Dems have to be far ahead every time to win the non sure thing always Dem states plus all the others for 270 electoral votes.


21 posted on 06/20/2024 9:21:12 AM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls.)
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To: laconic

“…under no circumstances is this possible. Remember, this is the same Fox News that threw Arizona…”

It’s the same Fox News whose leader Paul Ryan the gutless was out there this week with Fox News producer, Neil Cavuto the Trump hater detracting Trump

He’s frightened, cornered, making things up like a 7th grade brat caught by the nun, cheating


22 posted on 06/20/2024 9:22:11 AM PDT by stanne
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To: lasereye
This is what Daily Caller is reporting this morning:

New Election Forecast Paints An Ugly Picture For Joe Biden In November

"While there is still a long way to go until the November presidential election, former President Donald Trump looks like the favorite to win the White House in 2024."

23 posted on 06/20/2024 9:22:28 AM PDT by Bon of Babble (You Say You Want a Revolution?)
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To: Bob434

Trump could turn that to his favor doing what you said.


24 posted on 06/20/2024 9:22:36 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (“When exposing a crime is treated like a crime, you are being ruled by criminals” – Edward Snowden)
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To: BigEdLB

fox pulled this crap last election which discouraged voters from going to the voting booths0- theywerre called out on their false polls (all other polls were saying different)- but they refused to take the polls down - and by called out, i mean it was discovered that the polling took place in heavily democrat area- not sure what theyu call that? push polling? or some label i cant recall=- Fox was caught intentionally trying to discourage conservative voters-


25 posted on 06/20/2024 9:22:38 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: lasereye
ROTFLMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ha ha... ha ha.."Positive views of the economy.." HA HA HAHA haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!


26 posted on 06/20/2024 9:23:09 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare)
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To: lasereye

Nobody should get their knickers in a twist.

That is one cooked poll.


27 posted on 06/20/2024 9:23:20 AM PDT by mewzilla (Never give up; never surrender!)
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To: laconic

“Charlie Kirk noted that the Fox “poll” cited Biden leading in rural America by 52-48.”

Preposterous. Funny FNC comes up with this right after that treasonous prick Ryan declares Trump is unfit…funny.


28 posted on 06/20/2024 9:23:38 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: Liz

I well remember the morning of the POTUS election in 2016, the media reported that “Hilary had a 95% chance of winning the election” - hell, she had the fireworks and blow-out election show all ready to go and had to cancel it.

What a sweet victory that was.


29 posted on 06/20/2024 9:24:21 AM PDT by Bon of Babble (You Say You Want a Revolution?)
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To: cdcdawg

I agree. To use a football analogy, if I am running the ball down my opponent’s throat, and they are unable to stop me, I am going to continue doing it.

Until they do stop me.

Same thing.


30 posted on 06/20/2024 9:27:14 AM PDT by rlmorel (In Today's Democrat America, The $5 Dollar Bill is the New $1 Dollar Bill.)
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To: Bon of Babble

[[she had the fireworks and blow-out election show all ready to go and had to cancel it.]]

That was particularly satisfying to see=- it is said she was so furious she threw a bottle of champagne through the TV monitor she was watching at the time- that story came out soon after the election


31 posted on 06/20/2024 9:27:27 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: chajin

I would add the abortion industry has a lot of support in this country. Hence, why Trump backed off the Roe v Wade success that has led to more abortion in this country.

Anti-Israel sentiments/student loan forgiveness/marijuana being removed as a schedule 1 drug = the effort for younger voters
No effort on the ground against election fraud is evident - only mirror the fraud that takes place; sounds like the effort will be to ‘out fraud’ the other side.
Not even fighting the last 4 years - plus, Trump denigrating the Freedom Caucus that he praised when in office - the ultimate in political expediency is the Trump campaign; because we have to win!

VP will be Tulsi Gabbard (just as reasonable as everything else that has happened so far)- another sign this is all pointless considering how fall we have fallen.


32 posted on 06/20/2024 9:29:43 AM PDT by linedrive ( )
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To: frank ballenger

Based on its past history, I base NOTHING on any FOX Poll.

That is a truism I have followed through many years of their
bad polling - and to this day I can’t tell if they have untrustworthy results because of poor methodology or they want to show they’re really NOT for Conservative RePubs to maintain a facade of “impartiality” or BOTH...

And I’m talking about decently close to reality polling - not contrived for ANY kind of reason (or merely wrong methods)...


33 posted on 06/20/2024 9:30:49 AM PDT by txrangerette (Make America Great Again)
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To: Bon of Babble

She had her inauguration speech ready.... she was so SURE she’d be elected.


34 posted on 06/20/2024 9:35:41 AM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray: Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: lasereye

Sample question:

In the 2024 presidential election, who do you prefer?

A. President Joe Biden

B. Convicted Felon Donald Trump

Or something like that...


35 posted on 06/20/2024 9:36:13 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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To: lasereye
The Des Moines Register, which has a very good polling record of accuracy in Iowa for decades, released a poll this week showing Trump +18 in the Hawkeye state.

And now, Fox "News" wants us to believe Biden is winning nationally by two points? Not buying it. Fox polls are total garbage and have been for a long time.
36 posted on 06/20/2024 9:37:11 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Alas Babylon!

NEWSMAX NEWSMAX NEWSMAX

f*ck fox news. I was at the gym last week and one of the tv’s had fox on. I can’t recall what hour or show it was but the banner across the bottom of the screen was “Voters concerned with mental acuity of Trump and Biden”

SMFH


37 posted on 06/20/2024 9:38:07 AM PDT by BuckeyeGOP ( )
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To: lasereye

How heavy did Rove oversample Dems?


38 posted on 06/20/2024 9:38:49 AM PDT by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races you do not like.)
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To: txrangerette

Rest assured... Even though they hate Fox News with a passion, CNN, Joy Reid, The View and Joe and Mika Scarborough will be all announcing this poll with a gleam in their eyes...

“See, if even evil Republican Fox News is saying Biden’s ahead, he must crushing Trump!!!”


39 posted on 06/20/2024 9:39:34 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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To: mewzilla

Exactly. One data point does not make a trend.

I would love to look at the internals and the “verbatims” on these polls. Those are the comments that people make on the open ended questions. They are often recorded verbatim and included in the appendix of many polls. You use these to see if your “message” is being received because you will “see it” repeated back to you.

While not applicable to this poll, I bet the dems are looking for the phrase “cheap fake” and “convicted felon” which are the key phrases they’ve been using over the past two weeks. The republicans would be looking for “demented” or some sort of mentally challenged phrasing.

The pollsters and marketers use these textual responses to “develop” their talking points and then it becomes a feedback loop.

Polling is interesting to learn about. Manipulating the minds that can be swayed is as old as politics themselves. More often than not, the poll questions are so biased you won’t get a reasonable answer. And these days, getting people to answer polls must be a real challenge.


40 posted on 06/20/2024 9:39:54 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (Don’t vote for anyone over 70 years old. Get rid of the geriatric politicians.)
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