Posted on 06/12/2024 3:33:21 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
If you read nothing but posts from conservative influencers on X, you’d be convinced that Donald Trump has already won the 2024 election.
The source of this sensationalized optimism comes from public polling data, which shows the former president with leads in key battleground states he needs to win this November. Some surveys also seemingly indicate that traditionally “blue states” like Virginia and Minnesota are in play.
With numbers like these and Biden’s approval rating sinking faster than Rachel Levine in a swimming pool, there’s no way Trump can lose, or so the conventional thinking goes.
While it’s certainly possible the polls are accurate, the outcome of recent elections should give conservatives reason to pump the brakes on celebrating before any ballots have been cast. Case in point: A special election held in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District on Tuesday.
The matchup between Democrat Michael Kripchak and Republican Michael Rulli wasn’t expected to be a close race. According to the Associated Press, former GOP Rep. Bill Johnson — who represented the district until his resignation earlier this year — “won his last four elections by more than 30 percentage points.” Trump similarly won the district by roughly 30 points during the 2020 contest.
While Rulli defeated Kripchak in Tuesday’s matchup and expanded Republicans’ thin House majority, the election was much closer than originally predicted. Preliminary results indicate Rulli won the race by 9.4 points — a more than 20-point shift in Democrats favor.
The main poll I’m interested in is which candidate is leading the midnight ballot box dump voters.
Special elections are not presidential elections.
The author buys his panties pre-waded.
The cheat-by-mail-in ballots always go 100% Democrat.
Rulli did underachieve MASSIVELY in the low-turnout special election thanks to typical GOP complacency and lack of motivation, but Rulli did win and he is going to win again iin November. Any Rats who are crowing about this result as if it means anything are just whistling past the graveyard.
Democrats aren’t likely to waste one thin dime here (they didn’t in the special election) — even though they have far more $$$ than Republicans everywhere — because they know they aren’t flipping an R+16 district no matter how much they spend.
It would be the equivalent of the GOP flipping a typical district in Massachusetts. Ain’t happening, at any price.
Still we get slaughtered by the rats on voter turnout all the time. Let’s see if Lara can fix the problem. Bus people in.. get their mail in ballots. Whatever it takes
If one wants to discount the overwhelming poll advantage for Trump fine. It would be a mistake to ignore the incredible amount of cash that has poured in to republican war chests since the NY trial and the crowd counts of every campaign stop that President Trump has made this year. While it’s a lifetime between now and November 5th you have to believe that the turnout passion of republicans will as high as ever. Biden and his fellow criminals have really pissed off millions of voters.
Ignore The Federalist.
Or it could be a failed theft attempt. But yes, everyone must go vote.
It’s not so much voter turn out they win, but they do excel at finding ballots that are fraudulent. They win that by a lot.
Setting the stage for acceptance of “BIG STEAL #2”
I don’t trust any polls. I don’t think polls can possibly be accurate in today’s environment. Many like me never answer unknown calls.
At the end of the day, the only real check on power is what The American people will put up with and how they will react to yet another much more obviously stolen election. They should be worried about stealing the next election and what it will do to this country. What happens when the vast majority of people no longer look to elections to fix the nation’s problems? The country will be headed for a crack up.
Apples and oranges. Republicans simply didn’t turn out like they should have for a special election. Now, let’s compare:
In 2020, Johnson beat his opponent 249,000 to 85,000.
This 2024 special election had Rulli winning 33,000 to 27,000 with 95% of the vote counted.
Republican turnout will be much better this November in a presidential election year.
“The main poll I’m interested in is which candidate is leading the midnight ballot box dump voters.”
You have to be in it won it, and our side is not.
Still we get slaughtered by the rats on voter turnout all the time.Yep. Our insistance that voters be voters gets us every time.
I don’t know any Republicans celebrating.
Here in Texas it was an extremely disappointing turnout. You would think being a Border state you would see a massive rush to the polls to kick out all those spineless RINOS but unfortunate for our side our base didn’t show up!😡 it feels like people don’t give a damn anymore if this country survives or not. Complacency will be the death of America. They have this figment of their imagination that America will always be successful, powerful undefeatable, etc. boy everyone’s gonna be in for a shock when China and Russia become the number one superpowers and will have their boots on our necks! So now we’re stuck with that ass at the state house. It’s going to be very scary come November. Don’t let the poll numbers fool you….. if we can’t even turn out those crucial MAGA primary candidates we are screwed in November.
Grasping at straws.
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