Couldn't have been because of the five states that stopped counting in the middle of the night with Trump winning and came back the next morning with Biden winning.
No, I do not believe it could have been because of that.
Posted on 06/12/2024 3:33:21 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
If you read nothing but posts from conservative influencers on X, you’d be convinced that Donald Trump has already won the 2024 election.
The source of this sensationalized optimism comes from public polling data, which shows the former president with leads in key battleground states he needs to win this November. Some surveys also seemingly indicate that traditionally “blue states” like Virginia and Minnesota are in play.
With numbers like these and Biden’s approval rating sinking faster than Rachel Levine in a swimming pool, there’s no way Trump can lose, or so the conventional thinking goes.
While it’s certainly possible the polls are accurate, the outcome of recent elections should give conservatives reason to pump the brakes on celebrating before any ballots have been cast. Case in point: A special election held in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District on Tuesday.
The matchup between Democrat Michael Kripchak and Republican Michael Rulli wasn’t expected to be a close race. According to the Associated Press, former GOP Rep. Bill Johnson — who represented the district until his resignation earlier this year — “won his last four elections by more than 30 percentage points.” Trump similarly won the district by roughly 30 points during the 2020 contest.
While Rulli defeated Kripchak in Tuesday’s matchup and expanded Republicans’ thin House majority, the election was much closer than originally predicted. Preliminary results indicate Rulli won the race by 9.4 points — a more than 20-point shift in Democrats favor.
Most dead GOP voters are no longer registered.
Bummer.
right, big diff
People who try to write massive national trending out of individual district special elections are just crazy.
Turnout in special elections, particularly house district special elections are always low, and as such the motivated activists
Always overrepresented compared to a normal
Election cycle.
Anyone want to bet the Republican will carry it by 30 points or so next regular cycle?
I am not saying remotely be complacent this fall, but attempts to spin these special elections, particularly for district offices as massive indicators is fools gold.
That is 20.04% of registered voters dictate the outcome. And here, those 20.04% are highly charged liberals largely from the Seattle area.
Voter apathy, direct vote or by mail in, is who is “electing” liberals here.
MAGA skews older demographically, so some not insignificant percentage of MAGA voters have passed on to their eternal rewards between 2016 or even 2020. There are at least 6 less from just my immediate family.
Still, if it is close, Democrats will try to find ways of cheating to steal the election.
What is the GOP doing about the “turn-out” problem? What have the done over the past few election cycles (decades)? Very little if you ask me. In the past year, Scott Presler has done more to register conservative voters than the GOP has done in the past four years.
Also, Brandon Straka on his own, started and expanded the walk-a-way campaign giving many, especially 25 to 40 year-old voters, the courage to say they are walking away from the left.
Charlie Kirk started his Turning Point USA project reaching college aged students and the university chapters are growing in numbers and chapters.
The GOP has bad turn-out because the leadership is weak and has few conservative values. They are controlled opposition to the left and have no real desire to win.
The America-First conservatives are the ones increasing the voter registrations, voter turn-out, and number of true conservatives running for elected office. That’s Donald Trump’s party. If he can’t increase turn-out, then don’t count on the GOPe to do so.
Now, we just have to make the win larger than the margin of cheating.
/rant!
Trump and DeSantis should lead the MAGA party. Their platform should be one term in the Senate, two terms in the House. No career politicans.
“While Rulli defeated Kripchak in Tuesday’s matchup and expanded Republicans’ thin House majority, the election was much closer than originally predicted. Preliminary results indicate Rulli won the race by 9.4 points — a more than 20-point shift in Democrats favor.”
That’s what I mean.
Rulli’s support was over and above the margin of cheating. Democrats weren’t expecting that and didn’t plan for a sufficient number of fake ballots. Rulli was probably supposed to lose by 1 or 2 percent.
Midterms 2020 was also suppossed to be a “Red Wave” which turned out to be barely a ripple.
Without a spine...why waste our time?
Couldn't have been because of the five states that stopped counting in the middle of the night with Trump winning and came back the next morning with Biden winning.
No, I do not believe it could have been because of that.
STALIN'S WARNING TO AMERICA (2 MINUTES)
https://youtu.be/Iao12S_Wbc4
Horse S#$t alert.
This is a primary. Your clear lack of depth of knowledge about politics is shining brightly.
In blue Minnesota the very enthusiastic to vote numbers are
62/31 Trump over Crime Boss Joey.
Go away.
In ‘20 Trump had huge coattails despite the steal.
This is a deep red district where the voters took a victory for granted. Doubt they will be as casual about the November election..
We win turnout but lose turn-in.
Sorry I meant midterms 2022 were supposed to bring a "Red Wave". Instead, it was a ripple at most.
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