Posted on 06/07/2024 9:04:13 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
According to a recent poll conducted by Emerson College, President Joe Biden has only a seven-point lead over rival and former President Donald Trump in the blue state of New York. Biden is also well under a 50 percent approval rating. Combined with the candidacy of independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., this potentially makes the state ripe for picking by Trump in this fall’s election.
The Empire State has changed over the years since Ronald Reagan won it in 1980 and again in 1984, but not so much that it is a slam dunk for Biden. He will have to expend tremendous resources to hold on to it.
When Reagan won New York in 1980, there was the third-party candidacy of John Anderson, the liberal Republican representative from Illinois. Post election, pollsters said he took proportionally from both Carter and Reagan. Liberals saw him as one of their own and some Republicans saw him as one of their own.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
I disagree with this article. Reagan won NY and Mass. in 1980 because they were big Ted Kennedy states. The primary brawl with Carter ripped the Democrats in half that year. One of my wife’s distant relatives was Kennedy’s 1980 chairman for Central California and she voted for Reagan.
In 1984, Mondale named Rep. Geraldine Ferraro of NY as his running mate and the Gipper still beat him there. So much for the local female rep helping out.
Exactly!
New York County and the city for that matter hasn’t gone GOP in a presidential election since 1924. Also the last time NY County saw a GOP candidate over 30% was when Nixon won his national landslide in 1972. He ended up with 33.4%.
Those are dismal numbers. I knew it was bad, but...
There basically wasn't any harvesting. Plus, we all voted in one day using paper ballots, and in most places the ballots were expected to be counted that same night, leaving little room for cheating based on the early returns. The only places vulnerable to cheating were those where it was clear before election day that cheating was needed.
The sad thing about Trump’s performance in NYC was that he actually improved his overall percentage of the vote from 18.1% in 2016 to 22.7%(+ 4.6%) in 2020. In comparison, his performance for the whole state was only 1.22% higher from 2016 which means his percentage outside NYC shrank a few points.
Interesting. Thanks for the info.
You’re welcome.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.