Posted on 06/07/2024 9:04:13 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
According to a recent poll conducted by Emerson College, President Joe Biden has only a seven-point lead over rival and former President Donald Trump in the blue state of New York. Biden is also well under a 50 percent approval rating. Combined with the candidacy of independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., this potentially makes the state ripe for picking by Trump in this fall’s election.
The Empire State has changed over the years since Ronald Reagan won it in 1980 and again in 1984, but not so much that it is a slam dunk for Biden. He will have to expend tremendous resources to hold on to it.
When Reagan won New York in 1980, there was the third-party candidacy of John Anderson, the liberal Republican representative from Illinois. Post election, pollsters said he took proportionally from both Carter and Reagan. Liberals saw him as one of their own and some Republicans saw him as one of their own.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
i dont think Reagan got any rapper endorsements
If he loses by 9 it’s a 14 point swing think about other states
My belief is that part of what makes The Steal possible is the basic psychology of society as pushed by the media.
People EXPECT New York to support the Democrat.
People EXPECT 98% of blacks to support the Democrat.
People EXPECT big urban centers to support the Democrat.
How those locations and groups are currently thinking doesn’t necessarily matter, and how they actually vote in November doesn’t necessarily matter.
It will simply be announced that blacks, big cities, and New York voted for the Democrat. Most people will shrug and say, “That’s what I expected”. This makes The Steal pretty easy to pull off.
You are not wrong. Consultants like Craig Shirley who are still living in 1980s America are wrong. People no longer simply vote with their pocketbooks. Today, ideology is more important than survival. People would rather see their livelihood and existence threatened than to vote for Trump.
We’ll know if he’s serious about this if he picks Elise Stefanik as VP.
Lots of trial balloons to be floated between now and then.
Personally, I think NY is too far gone. But Trump will scare the s#it out of the Dems in NY between now and then.
Bonus, if by some chance he can flip NY, CT and NJ may not be far behind. PA, too.
in 2020, with a large number of mail-in ballots, it took some places in New York, particularly NY City, up to six weeks to count all ballots
Plenty of room for corruption there.
I don’t think Trump has a snowball’s chance in Manhattan.
Biden needs to win NY, not Trump. Trump would be wise to tell his supporters to vote for RFK, Jr. in CA, IL, NY, OR, WA, etc. hopefully in a deal with RFK, Jr. to tell his supporters to vote for Trump in AZ, GA, PA, MI, WI, etc. It would not only guarantee that Biden can’t win a majority in the Electoral College, but would damage the Rats as a national party in other races. That’s worth doing, even if it costs Trump some popular votes, which is irrelevant.
You are 100% correct. The persistent message that the Dims persistently win certain voting blocks is part of making the vote fraud accepted as "real".
Bonus, if by some chance he can flip NY, CT and NJ may not be far behind. PA, too.
To paraphrase 2000 election analyst Ron Brownstein*, if he flips NY, CT & NJ, PA won’t matter.
* I think it was him telling Wolf Blitzer that if Bush won CA, then the rest would not matter. If he was winning CA, he would be sweeping the country ala 1984.
Perfect choice. Can you imagine her debating Heels-up Harris?
“Personally, I think NY is too far gone.”
Agreed.
Zeldin ran an excellent campaign for governor—did everything right—and still got easily beaten by a joke of a Democrat.
“if he flips NY, CT & NJ, PA won’t matter”
###################
True. I was just throwing PA in there for effect.
My fear is that Trump will get too fixated on winning NY out of spite that it will detract from focusing on the true battleground states.
.........in the blue state of New York, Biden is well under a 50% approval rating..........
The irrepressible Republican Senator John Kennedy got off his best line (to date):
“Biden is in big trouble politically, his popularity’s polling right up there with fungal infections.”
> Today, ideology is more important than survival. <
Yep. And it’s fueled by relentless anti-Trump (and anti-Republican) propaganda. This propaganda is on the evening news. It’s on the late-night talk shows. It’s on ‘The View’. Etc.
Hear 1+1=3 often enough, and maybe you’ll start to believe it.
“Elise Stefanik as VP.
Perfect choice. Can you imagine her debating Heels-up Harris?”
######################
While not a bad choice, Elise mopping the floor with Harris, while satisfying in the short term, will be inconsequential in the long run.
Stefanik is something of a latecomer to the MAGA side of things. That scares me a bit. That, and she may be compromised being a longer-term Congressperson.
IMHO, the best choice would be Sarah Sanders, followed by Byron Donalds.
Can anyone help me find a source for this claim in the article:
“Several years ago, Biden foolishly said Ukraine was not in American’s defensive perimeter, giving carte blanche to President Vladmir Putin to invade Ukraine.”
I obviously can’t find it on Google and ChatGPT cites five links from the white house to deny it.
great point!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.